Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers Preview – April 7 2026

7th April 2026

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Indiana Pacers in a game dominated by one headline: Anthony Edwards is out. That shifts this game enormously. The Pacers are listed as 1.16 moneyline favourites with Minnesota at 7.41 – a massive line that reflects Edwards’ absence.

The Line

IND -12.5 on the spread. Moneyline: IND 1.16, MIN 7.41. Total: O/U 231.5 via Polymarket. Indiana are heavy, heavy favourites.

Pace and Shooting

Indiana push the pace hard (106.1, rated Fast). Minnesota are slow (93.3, rated Slow). IND faster by 12.8 – the biggest pace gap on tonight’s slate. Indiana should be able to dictate tempo. However, MIN shoot 48.4% FG and 38.3% from three – better than IND‘s 41.9% FG and 30.7% from deep. Minnesota’s shooting efficiency is the one thing that could keep them in it.

Ratings

IND: offensive rating 110.5, defensive rating 112.8. MIN: offensive rating 99.3, defensive rating 97.2. Minnesota defend better (97.2 vs 112.8) but their offence collapses without Edwards. Check Statz projections for Edwards-out model adjustments.

Injuries

Anthony Edwards (Out) is the headline. Rudy Gobert is also out for Minnesota. Indiana are missing Obi Toppin and Aaron Nesmith. Still, Indiana go in with the more complete roster tonight.

Prop Streaks

Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) is on a streak worth noting: UNDER rebounds+assists (6.5) for 8 straight, averaging just 3.4 (4, 1, 2, 5, 5). Also UNDER assists (3.5) for 8 games and UNDER rebounds (3.5) for 7 games. DiVincenzo unders look strong. Kobe Brown (IND) has gone OVER P+A (13.5) for 5 straight, averaging 18.4. See the full prop streaks board.

Head-to-Head

One meeting this season – Indiana won 114-110 back in October (Siakam 33, Julius Randle 31 for IND). Series: 0-1 for Minnesota.

Verdict

Without Edwards and Gobert, Minnesota are a shell. Indiana at home, running fast, with the better offensive rating – this is a strong cover candidate. The spread at -12.5 is large but the talent gap without Edwards is real. DiVincenzo unders and Kobe Brown overs are the prop angles to watch. Full game preview on Statz with live prop builder.