Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans Preview – April 7 2026

7th April 2026

The Utah Jazz travel to New Orleans to face the Pelicans on Tuesday night. New Orleans are heavy favourites at 1.20 moneyline despite their 10% win rate – Utah (win rate: unlisted) are listed at 6.06, with NOP -11.5 on the spread.

The Line

NOP -11.5 on the spread. Moneyline: NOP 1.20, UTA 6.06. Total: O/U 242.5 via Polymarket. Utah are massive underdogs with a depleted roster.

Pace and Shooting

Utah push the pace (106.7, rated Fast). New Orleans are average (96.4). UTA faster by 10.3. NOP shoot 45.2% FG and 31.6% from three. UTA shoot 46.5% FG and 35.5% from three – Utah actually shoot better from deep. Utah have a +6.2% edge at the free-throw line too.

Ratings

NOP: offensive rating 97.0, defensive rating 106.0. UTA: offensive rating 103.8, defensive rating 120.9. Utah defend poorly (120.9) but have a higher offensive rating. New Orleans defend better and have far more talent available. Check Statz NBA projections for outputs.

Injuries

Utah are devastated – Lauri Markkanen, Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Bryce McGowens and Micah Peavy are all out. New Orleans are missing Yves Missi – relatively minor by comparison. The depth gap is enormous.

Prop Streaks

Zion Williamson (NOP) has gone UNDER his points line (22.5) for 7 straight games, averaging just 17 (17, 13, 15, 18, 22). At 1.87 with Caesars, that’s a significant streak. Saddiq Bey (NOP) has gone UNDER rebounds+assists (8.5) and UNDER assists (3.5) for 7 straight. Dejounte Murray has gone UNDER P+R (24.5) six games running. Full board at Statz prop streaks.

Head-to-Head

New Orleans lead the season series 2-0 – won 115-105 on Feb 28 (Saddiq Bey 24, Isaiah Collier 21 for UTA) and 129-118 on Feb 26 (Bey 42, Airious Bailey 23 for UTA). Average margin: +10.5 in NOP’s favour despite Utah having some key contributors in those games who are now out.

Verdict

NOP cover -11.5 looks well-supported. Utah are missing most of their meaningful rotation, while New Orleans go in healthier with a strong H2H record and home court. The Zion under at 22.5 is the standout prop given his 7-game UNDER run – he’s averaging 17 during the streak. See the full game preview on Statz and prop builder for full options.