Lancashire vs Durham Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

10th July 2026

Lancashire host Durham at Old Trafford on Sunday for a T20 Blast clash with both sides fighting to stay in contention. First ball is at 14:30 BST on 12 July.

Lancashire sit 11th in the table on 18 points from 10 matches, level with Durham on points but ahead on net run rate. Durham are 12th on 16 points (W4 L6), with six group matches remaining for both sides. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Lancashire vs Durham fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Old Trafford has been a run-fest in T20 cricket. Across the last 10 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 337 runs with an average first-innings score of 168. Teams batting first have won 52.6% of matches at this ground – a modest home advantage. Seam bowlers have taken 50.3% of wickets at an economy rate of 9.02, while spinners have been more economical at 7.88 but account for 45.5% of dismissals. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz. Lancashire’s home record at Old Trafford since 2021 reads W21 L6 NR4 – a fortress for the Red Rose.

Form and Table

Lancashire – 11th (P10 W4 L5 T1, 18 pts)

Lancashire have stuttered in recent weeks. A tie against Derbyshire on 6 July and a loss to Nottinghamshire on 3 July have left them in the bottom half, but they showed character with wins over Derbyshire and Leicestershire earlier in the month:

Durham – 12th (P10 W4 L6, 16 pts)

Durham have found the going tough on the road. Three away defeats in succession – to Leicestershire, Nottinghamshire and Yorkshire – have left them struggling, though a win over Middlesex on 28 June showed they can still compete:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 10 9 1 36
2 Hampshire 10 7 3 28
3 Nottinghamshire 10 7 3 28
…
11 Lancashire 10 4 5 18
12 Durham 10 4 6 16

Both sides have six matches left in the group stage. Lancashire’s home record gives them a genuine edge here, but Durham’s recent away win over Leicestershire shows they can travel and compete. This is a must-win for both if they are to harbour realistic hopes of the quarter-finals.

Head-to-Head

Lancashire hold the upper hand in recent meetings. In nine matches since 2022, Lancashire have won five to Durham’s three, with one no-result. The most recent clash came on 9 June 2026 at Old Trafford, where Lancashire chased down Durham’s 128/2 in just 9.1 overs to win by 7 wickets – a dominant display. At Old Trafford specifically, Lancashire are unbeaten in this fixture across the Statz data window.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections make this a coin-flip contest with a marginal lean to Lancashire.

If Lancashire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 167.5, match total of 323.9. Win probability – LAN 49.5%, DUR 48.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 142 to 193.

If Durham bat first: Projected first-innings total of 166.9, match total of 323.2. Win probability – LAN 49.9%, DUR 48.1%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 141 to 194.

Both projected match totals sit just below the Old Trafford average of 337, suggesting the model rates both bowling attacks as capable of restricting scoring. The projected first-innings totals of around 167 are also below the venue average of 168 – expect a tightly contested match. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Beau Webster Warwickshire 552 10
Alex Lees Durham 465 10
George Munsey Nottinghamshire 460 10
Chris Lynn Northamptonshire 437 8
Aneurin Donald Derbyshire 390 10

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Hasan Ali Yorkshire 22 9
James Sales Northamptonshire 19 10
Mohammad Ali Nottinghamshire 19 10
Reece Topley Surrey 18 10
Scott Currie Hampshire 18 10

Lancashire Season Leaders

Runs: Liam Livingstone – 379 runs, avg 47.38, HS 85 | Ben McDermott – 199 runs, avg 19.9, HS 68 | Keaton Jennings – 177 runs, avg 17.7, HS 51

Wickets: Liam Livingstone – 11 wkts, best 3 | Tom Hartley – 11 wkts, best 4 | Thomas Aspinwall – 7 wkts, best 3

Durham Season Leaders

Runs: Alex Lees – 465 runs, avg 46.5, HS 108 | Graham Clark – 252 runs, avg 25.2, HS 62 | Colin Ackermann – 167 runs, avg 16.7, HS 36

Wickets: Matty Potts – 17 wkts, best 3 | Callum Parkinson – 16 wkts, best 3 | Kasey Aldridge – 13 wkts, best 3

Predicted XIs

Lancashire (based on XI vs Derbyshire, 6 Jul 2026)

  1. Michael Jones
  2. Keaton Jennings (c)
  3. Liam Livingstone
  4. Ben McDermott
  5. Joseph Moores
  6. Shadab Khan
  7. Matthew Hurst (wk)
  8. Jack Blatherwick
  9. Tom Hartley
  10. Mitchell Stanley
  11. James Anderson

Durham (based on XI vs Leicestershire, 8 Jul 2026)

  1. Alex Lees (c)
  2. Graham Clark
  3. Ben McKinney
  4. Colin Ackermann
  5. Brydon Carse
  6. Ollie George Robinson (wk)
  7. Kasey Aldridge
  8. Matty Potts
  9. Callum Parkinson
  10. Luke Robinson
  11. Nathan Sowter

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Shadab Khan (LAN) – projected ~99 pts. The Pakistan international is the standout fantasy asset in this match, combining batting prowess with leg-spin bowling. His projected runs of 18.3 at a strike rate of 151.9 plus 1.5 wickets per game make him the safest captain choice.

Vice Captain: Liam Livingstone (LAN) – projected ~86 pts. Lancashire’s talisman with 379 runs at 47.38 this season plus 11 wickets. Projected for 28.6 runs with genuine wicket-taking ability through his leg-spin. A dual threat that any opposition fears.

Also consider:

Key Players

Liam Livingstone (Lancashire)

Lancashire’s most important player by a distance. Livingstone has 379 runs at an average of 47.38 with a high score of 85, plus 11 wickets with his leg-spin. He is a genuine match-winner on both sides of the ball. His 20+ run hit rate stands at 75% for the season (80% in his last 5), while he has taken 1+ wicket in 87.5% of his matches. A dual threat that any opposition would fear.

Alex Lees (Durham)

The standout performer in the Durham lineup. Lees sits second in the Orange Cap race with 465 runs at an average of 46.5 and a high score of 108. His last three scores of 73, 44 and 80 show a player in excellent form. The Statz bet builder shows Lees has hit 30+ runs in 70% of his matches this season (100% in his last 5) – an extraordinary consistency rate for a T20 opener.

Matty Potts (Durham)

Durham’s leading wicket-taker with 17 wickets in 10 matches. Potts has been relentless – he has taken at least one wicket in 77.8% of his matches this season and 2+ wickets in 66.7% of games. His last three returns of 0, 3 and 2 wickets show a bowler who can strike at any moment. A key figure in Durham’s bowling attack.

Tom Hartley (Lancashire)

Lancashire’s off-spinner has been a steady presence with 11 wickets in 10 matches. Hartley has taken 1+ wicket in 90% of his matches and provides the control Lancashire need in the middle overs. His economy rate and consistency make him a vital cog in the Lancashire machine.

Conditions

Overcast skies are forecast for Old Trafford with temperatures around 19 degrees at the start and humidity at 68%. There is a 15% chance of rain during the match. Wind is light at 4.2 km/h from the south-west – conditions that should favour seam bowling early on.

Verdict and Betting Angles

This is a finely balanced contest on paper. The Statz projections make it essentially 50-50, with Lancashire gaining a marginal edge if they bowl first (49.9%). Lancashire’s home record at Old Trafford – W21 L6 since 2021 – is formidable, and their recent head-to-head dominance (5-3) tilts this in their favour. However, Durham’s recent away win over Leicestershire and Alex Lees’ outstanding form suggest they cannot be written off.

The bookmakers have Lancashire as slight favourites. Lancashire are the pick here based on home advantage and recent form, but this is a match where nothing is guaranteed. Both sides need the points desperately.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture: