Sussex vs Hampshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

10th July 2026

Sussex host Hampshire at the County Ground in Hove on Sunday for a T20 Blast clash with sharply contrasting fortunes on the line. First ball is at 13:30 BST on 12 July.

Sussex sit rock-bottom of the table on 8 points from 10 matches – two wins, eight losses – with their season spiralling. Hampshire, by contrast, are second in the standings on 28 points (W7 L3) and very much in the hunt for a quarter-final spot. This is a fixture where form and momentum matter enormously. For full head-to-head records, live projections and confirmed lineups, visit the Sussex vs Hampshire fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

The County Ground in Hove is a batting paradise. Across the last 30 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 335.2 runs and the average first-innings score is 180.4. Seam bowlers have taken 73.4% of wickets at an economy of 9.47, while spinners account for 21.6% of dismissals at a tighter 7.86. The pitch is tagged as Batting Paradise by Statz – runs flow freely here.

Sussex’s home record at this ground since 2021 reads W12 L21 (one no-result) from 34 matches. Hampshire have visited just four times, winning twice and losing twice. The most recent T20 at Hove saw Surrey beat Sussex by 7 wickets on 8 July 2026 (SUS 176/7, SUR 177/2).

Form and Table

Sussex – 18th (P10 W2 L8, 8 pts)

Sussex are in freefall. They have won just two of their opening ten matches and lost their last four in succession. The collapse has been brutal:

Hampshire – 2nd (P10 W7 L3, 28 pts)

Hampshire are flying. Seven wins from ten matches has them second in the table, level on points with Nottinghamshire but ahead on net run rate. They have won three of their last five:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 10 9 1 36
2 Hampshire 10 7 3 28
3 Nottinghamshire 10 7 3 28
…
18 Sussex 10 2 8 8

Sussex have six matches remaining and are effectively out of contention. Hampshire, with five games left, are in a strong position to secure a top-four finish and a quarter-final berth.

Head-to-Head

Hampshire hold a commanding record in this fixture. From nine meetings in Statz data, Hampshire have won six to Sussex’s three. The most recent clash came on 26 June 2026 at the Rose Bowl, where Hampshire won by 7 wickets (SUS 171/10, HAM 175/3). At Hove specifically, the record is level at 2-2 from four meetings since 2021. Hampshire’s overall record at this ground reads W2 L2.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections make this a clear Hampshire lean.

If Sussex bat first: Projected first-innings total of 177.9, match total of 346.7. Win probability – SUS 38.3%, HAM 59.7%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 143 to 210.

If Hampshire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 185.6, match total of 354.2. Win probability – SUS 42.1%, HAM 55.9%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 159 to 213.

Both projected match totals (347-354) sit just above the County Ground average of 335.2, suggesting a typical high-scoring encounter at this venue. Hampshire’s win probability stays above 55% regardless of who bats first – a clear structural advantage. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Beau Webster Warwickshire 552 10
Alex Lees Durham 465 10
George Munsey Nottinghamshire 460 10
Chris Lynn Northamptonshire 437 8
Aneurin Donald Derbyshire 390 10

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Hasan Ali Yorkshire 22 9
James Sales Northamptonshire 19 10
Mohammad Ali Nottinghamshire 19 10
Reece Topley Surrey 18 10
Scott Currie Hampshire 18 10

Sussex Season Leaders

Runs: Daniel Hughes – 275 runs, avg 27.5, HS 45 | Harrison Ward – 220 runs, avg 31.43, HS 69 | Tom Alsop – 189 runs, avg 18.9, HS 43

Wickets: Tymal Mills – 12 wkts, best 3 | Danny Briggs – 9 wkts, best 2 | Sean Hunt – 8 wkts, best 3

Hampshire Season Leaders

Runs: Joe Weatherley – 315 runs, avg 31.5, HS 63 | James Vince – 300 runs, avg 33.33, HS 84 | Tristan Stubbs – 276 runs, avg 30.67, HS 69

Wickets: Scott Currie – 18 wkts, best 4 | Chris Wood – 17 wkts, best 3 | Liam Dawson – 8 wkts, best 3

Predicted XIs

Sussex (based on XI vs Surrey, 8 Jul 2026)

  1. Daniel Hughes
  2. Harrison Ward
  3. George Thomas
  4. James Coles
  5. Tom Alsop (wk)
  6. Charlie Tear
  7. Tom Price
  8. Jack Carson
  9. Danny Briggs
  10. Sean Hunt
  11. Tymal Mills (c)

Hampshire (based on XI vs Middlesex, 8 Jul 2026)

  1. Toby Albert (wk)
  2. James Vince (c)
  3. Joe Weatherley
  4. Ben Mayes
  5. Tristan Stubbs
  6. Hilton Cartwright
  7. James Fuller
  8. Scott Currie
  9. Andrew Neal
  10. Eddie Jack
  11. Chris Wood

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Key Players

James Vince (Hampshire)

Hampshire’s captain and their most prolific run-scorer this season. Vince has amassed 300 runs at an average of 33.33 with a high score of 84. He has hit 20+ runs in 44.4% of his matches this season – a reliable source of points in a side that is clicking. His last three scores of 84, 63 and 15 show a player capable of match-winning knocks on any given day.

Scott Currie (Hampshire)

Hampshire’s leading wicket-taker with 18 scalps from 10 matches – joint-third in the competition-wide Purple Cap race. Currie has taken at least one wicket in 80% of his matches this season and 2+ wickets in 60% of them. His last three returns of 0, 3 and 0 show the variance inherent in bowling, but his overall consistency is undeniable. Against a Sussex batting lineup in freefall, he will fancy his chances.

Daniel Hughes (Sussex)

Sussex’s most consistent batter with 275 runs at 27.5 from 10 matches. Hughes has hit 20+ runs in 70% of his matches this season and 30+ runs in 50% of them – the only Sussex player with a genuine hit rate. He will need to be at his best if Sussex are to mount any sort of challenge here.

Joe Weatherley (Hampshire)

Hampshire’s second-leading run-scorer with 315 runs at 31.5 from 10 matches. Weatherley has hit 20+ runs in 70% of his matches and 30+ runs in 50% of them. His last three scores of 24, 61 and 11 show a player in excellent form. He provides Hampshire with a solid middle-order foundation that Sussex will struggle to break.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Hove with temperatures around 22 degrees and humidity at 58%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 4.2 km/h from the south-west – benign conditions that should favour batting throughout the afternoon.

Verdict and Betting Angles

This is a mismatch on paper. Hampshire are second in the table and firing on all cylinders. Sussex are bottom and have lost four straight. The Statz projections give Hampshire a 57.8% win probability – a clear lean. The bookmakers agree. Indicative odds have Hampshire at around 1.50 and Sussex at 2.50.

I am leaning Hampshire here. The form gap is enormous, their bowling attack – led by Scott Currie’s 18 wickets – is among the competition’s best, and they have the batting firepower to post a big total at a ground where runs flow freely. Sussex’s collapse shows no signs of stopping.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture: