Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

10th July 2026

Yorkshire host Nottinghamshire at Headingley on Saturday for a T20 Blast clash with significant playoff implications. First ball is at 14:30 BST on 12 July.

Yorkshire sit 4th in the table on 26 points from 10 matches, level with Nottinghamshire on points but ahead on net run rate. Nottinghamshire occupy 3rd on 28 points (W7 L3), having won five of their last six away matches. Both sides are firmly in the mix for the quarter-finals, but this fixture could prove decisive in the final push. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Yorkshire vs Nottinghamshire fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Headingley is a batting paradise. Across the last 10 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 370 runs – well above the competition norm. The average first-innings score is 204.8, and teams batting first have won 70% of matches at this ground since 2021. Pace bowlers have taken 59.7% of wickets at an economy rate of 9.81, while spinners have been more economical at 8.69 but account for 36.9% of dismissals. The pitch is tagged as Batting paradise by Statz. This is a venue that rewards aggressive batting and punishes defensive bowling.

Form and Table

Yorkshire – 4th (P10 W6 L3 T1, 26 pts)

Yorkshire have steadied themselves with two consecutive wins over Leicestershire and Durham, but they remain vulnerable. Their recent form shows a mixed picture – they have won three of their last five matches but also suffered defeats to Hampshire and Derbyshire (no result):

Nottinghamshire – 3rd (P10 W7 L3, 28 pts)

Nottinghamshire have been the more consistent side this season. They have won five of their last six matches, with their only recent loss coming against Lancashire. Their away record is particularly strong – they have won four of their last five away games:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 10 9 1 36
2 Hampshire 10 7 3 28
3 Nottinghamshire 10 7 3 28
4 Yorkshire 10 6 3 26
5 Gloucestershire 10 6 4 24

Both sides have six group matches remaining. Nottinghamshire’s superior record and away form give them the edge on paper, but Yorkshire’s home advantage at Headingley – where they have won 17 of 32 T20s since 2021 – cannot be underestimated.

Head-to-Head

Nottinghamshire dominate this fixture. In their last five meetings, Nottinghamshire have won four to Yorkshire’s one. The most recent clash came on 05 June 2026 at Headingley, where Yorkshire hammered 213/7 batting first and bowled Nottinghamshire out for 107/10 to win by 106 runs. However, that result masks Nottinghamshire’s overall superiority in the series – they have won at Headingley before and hold a 4-1 record in the last five encounters. At Headingley specifically, Nottinghamshire have won one and lost one from two visits since 2021, with an average score of 79 runs in their away match here.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections make this a coin-flip contest with a slight edge to Yorkshire at home.

If Yorkshire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 212.9, match total of 411.5. Win probability – YOR 56.2%, NOT 41.8%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 182 to 245.

If Nottinghamshire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 211.6, match total of 410.3. Win probability – YOR 47%, NOT 51%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 179 to 244.

Both projected match totals (410-411) sit well above the Headingley average of 370, suggesting the model rates both batting lineups highly. The projected first-innings totals of around 212 are also above the venue average of 204.8 – expect a high-scoring affair. Match total P10-P90 range: 355 to 465.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Beau Webster Warwickshire 552 10
Alex Lees Durham 465 10
George Munsey Nottinghamshire 460 10
Chris Lynn Northamptonshire 437 8
Aneurin Donald Derbyshire 390 10

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Hasan Ali Yorkshire 22 9
James Sales Northamptonshire 19 10
Mohammad Ali Nottinghamshire 19 10
Reece Topley Surrey 18 10
Scott Currie Hampshire 18 10

Yorkshire Season Leaders

Runs: Jonny Bairstow – 349 runs, avg 34.9, HS 83 | Adam Lyth – 332 runs, avg 33.2, HS 131 | William Luxton – 194 runs, avg 19.4, HS 46

Wickets: Hasan Ali – 22 wkts, avg 2.44 | Andrew Tye – 17 wkts, avg 1.7 | Jafer Chohan – 14 wkts, avg 1.56

Nottinghamshire Season Leaders

Runs: George Munsey – 460 runs, avg 46.0, HS 88 | Tom Moores – 242 runs, avg 24.2, HS 75 | Jack Haynes – 235 runs, avg 23.5, HS 50

Wickets: Mohammad Ali – 19 wkts, avg 1.9 | George Linde – 10 wkts, avg 1.11 | Dillon Pennington – 8 wkts, avg 1.33

Predicted XIs

Yorkshire (based on XI vs Leicestershire, 05 Jul 2026)

  1. Adam Lyth
  2. Jonny Bairstow (c, wk)
  3. William Luxton
  4. Sam Whiteman (wk)
  5. Moeen Ali
  6. Matthew Revis
  7. Faheem Ashraf
  8. Hasan Ali
  9. Andrew Tye
  10. Jafer Chohan
  11. Daniel Moriarty

Nottinghamshire (based on XI vs Durham, 05 Jul 2026)

  1. Joe Clarke (c)
  2. George Munsey
  3. Jack Haynes
  4. Tom Moores (wk)
  5. George Linde
  6. Benny Howell
  7. Liam Patterson-White
  8. Freddie McCann
  9. Olly Stone
  10. Mohammad Amir
  11. Mohammad Ali

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Hasan Ali (YOR) – projected 136.6 pts. The Pakistan international is Yorkshire’s leading wicket-taker with 22 wickets this season at an average of 2.44. He has taken at least one wicket in every single match this season (100% hit rate) and has taken 2+ wickets in 66.7% of matches. His last three returns of 3, 3 and 4 wickets show a bowler in devastating form.

Vice Captain: George Munsey (NOT) – projected 81.4 pts. The Nottinghamshire opener has been the standout batter in the competition with 460 runs at an average of 46.0. His 20+ run hit rate stands at 80% for the season (80% in his last 5), making him one of the most reliable batting options available.

Also consider:

Key Players

George Munsey (Nottinghamshire)

The Scottish left-hander has been the standout batter across the entire competition. With 460 runs at an average of 46.0 and a high score of 88, Munsey sits third in the Orange Cap race. His last three scores of 75, 51 and 1 show occasional inconsistency, but his 80% hit rate for 20+ runs across the season is extraordinary. At Headingley, a big ground that can suppress scoring, Munsey’s ability to find the boundary will be crucial to Nottinghamshire’s chances.

Hasan Ali (Yorkshire)

The Pakistan international is Yorkshire’s most important player. With 22 wickets in 9 matches at an average of 2.44, Hasan Ali leads the Purple Cap race. He has taken at least one wicket in every single match this season (100% hit rate) and has taken 2+ wickets in 66.7% of matches. His last three returns of 3, 3 and 4 wickets show a bowler at the peak of his powers. Against Nottinghamshire’s strong batting lineup, his ability to take early wickets could prove decisive.

Jonny Bairstow (Yorkshire)

Yorkshire’s captain and wicketkeeper has 349 runs at an average of 34.9 with a high score of 83. His 50% hit rate for 30+ runs shows he is capable of big scores, though he has been inconsistent in recent matches. At Headingley, where he knows every blade of grass, Bairstow’s experience could be vital in anchoring Yorkshire’s innings.

Mohammad Ali (Nottinghamshire)

Nottinghamshire’s leading wicket-taker with 19 wickets in 10 matches. Mohammad Ali has taken at least one wicket in every single match this season (100% hit rate) and has taken 2+ wickets in 60% of matches. His consistency is remarkable – he provides a reliable second strike bowler to complement Nottinghamshire’s batting firepower.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Headingley with temperatures around 19 degrees at the start and humidity at 62%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 3.2 km/h from the south-west – conditions that should favour batting throughout the afternoon and evening.

Verdict and Betting Angles

This is a finely balanced contest on paper. The Statz projections make Yorkshire slight favourites at home (51.6% win probability) with Nottinghamshire at 46.4%, but the strength is rated as a coin-flip. Nottinghamshire’s superior away record and overall form this season are compelling, but Yorkshire’s home advantage at Headingley – where they have won 17 of 32 T20s since 2021 – cannot be ignored.

The bookmakers reflect the closeness of the contest. Indicative odds have Yorkshire at around 1.90 and Nottinghamshire at 1.85.

I am leaning Yorkshire here. The home advantage at Headingley is significant, and Hasan Ali‘s form with the ball – 22 wickets in 9 matches – gives them a genuine edge in a high-scoring contest. Nottinghamshire’s batting is strong, but Yorkshire’s bowling attack has the quality to restrict them.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture: