Glamorgan vs Worcestershire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

4th July 2026

Glamorgan host Worcestershire at Sophia Gardens on Saturday for a T20 Blast 2026 clash with both sides hunting wins to cement their quarter-final push. First ball is at 14:30 BST on 5 July.

Glamorgan sit 7th in the table on 20 points from 8 matches, level with Surrey and Gloucestershire but riding a three-match winning streak. Worcestershire are one place below in 9th on the same 20 points but from 9 matches, meaning they have played one more and are under pressure to convert games into wins. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Glamorgan vs Worcestershire fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Sophia Gardens is a high-scoring ground. Across the last 30 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 327.6 with an average first-innings score of 168. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz, but the boundary percentages tell the real story – 56.3% of runs come from boundaries, indicating aggressive cricket is rewarded.

Seam bowlers have taken 67.6% of wickets at an economy of 8.81, while spinners account for 27.9% of dismissals at 8.05. Glamorgan’s home record at this ground since 2021 reads W14 L16 NR2 from 32 matches – a win percentage of 43.75%. The most recent T20 here saw Glamorgan beat Warwickshire by 7 wickets on 3 July 2026 (GLA 187/3, WAR 184/4).

Form and Table

Glamorgan – 7th (P8 W5 L3, 20 pts)

Glamorgan have found their rhythm with three straight wins. They are chasing down targets with ease and building strong totals at home:

Worcestershire – 9th (P9 W5 L4, 20 pts)

Worcestershire have been inconsistent on the road. Two wins in their last three away matches show signs of improvement, but they remain vulnerable:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 8 8 0 32
2 Hampshire 8 6 2 24
3 Nottinghamshire 9 6 3 24
4 Yorkshire 9 5 3 22
5 Surrey 8 5 3 20
6 Gloucestershire 8 5 3 20
7 Glamorgan 8 5 3 20
8 Essex 9 5 4 20
9 Worcestershire 9 5 4 20

Both sides are locked on 20 points but Glamorgan have a game in hand. A win here would push Glamorgan to 22 points and into the top 6 conversation. Worcestershire, having played more matches, need to win to stay in contention.

Head-to-Head

Worcestershire hold the edge in this fixture. In their sole meeting this season on 5 June 2026 at Sophia Gardens, Worcestershire chased down Glamorgan’s 141/10 to win by 8 wickets (WOR 168/8). That victory gives Worcestershire confidence, but Glamorgan’s home form since then has been transformed – three straight wins with convincing margins.

The full H2H stats and projections are available on Statz.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections make this a genuine coin-flip, with Glamorgan holding a marginal edge at home.

If Glamorgan bat first: Projected first-innings total of 168.5, match total of 321.6. Win probability – GLA 52.9%, WOR 45.1%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 141 to 195.

If Worcestershire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 163.2, match total of 316.2. Win probability – GLA 51.1%, WOR 46.9%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 130 to 194.

Both projected match totals (316-322) sit slightly below the Sophia Gardens average of 327.6, suggesting the model rates both bowling attacks as solid. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Beau Webster Warwickshire 474 9
George Munsey Nottinghamshire 459 9
Liam Livingstone Lancashire 348 7
James Rew Somerset 342 6
Alex Lees Durham 341 8

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Hasan Ali Yorkshire 18 8
James Sales Northamptonshire 18 8
Mohammad Ali Nottinghamshire 18 9
Reece Topley Surrey 16 8
Duan Jansen Gloucestershire 16 6

Glamorgan Season Leaders

Runs: Kiran Carlson – 266 runs, avg 33.25, HS 109 | Sean Dickson – 235 runs, avg 29.38, HS 67 | Will Smale – 200 runs, avg 25.0, HS 62

Wickets: Mason Crane – 10 wkts, best 4 | Nathan McAndrew – 10 wkts, best 4 | Daniel Douthwaite – 7 wkts, best 2

Worcestershire Season Leaders

Runs: Sikandar Raza – 258 runs, avg 28.67, HS 47 | Adam Hose – 221 runs, avg 24.56, HS 50 | Kashif Ali – 158 runs, avg 17.56, HS 38

Wickets: Usama Mir – 14 wkts, best 3 | Matthew Waite – 13 wkts, best 3 | Adam Finch – 12 wkts, best 3

Predicted XIs

Glamorgan (based on XI vs Warwickshire, 3 Jul 2026)

  1. Kiran Carlson (c)
  2. Will Smale
  3. Ben Kellaway
  4. Asa Tribe (wk)
  5. Sean Dickson
  6. James Neesham
  7. Chris Cooke
  8. Daniel Douthwaite
  9. Timm van der Gugten
  10. Mason Crane
  11. Nathan McAndrew

Worcestershire (based on XI vs Kent, 3 Jul 2026)

  1. Isaac Mohammed
  2. Kashif Ali
  3. Gareth Roderick (wk)
  4. Adam Hose (c)
  5. Sikandar Raza
  6. Brett D’Oliveira
  7. Henry Cullen
  8. Matthew Waite
  9. Usama Mir
  10. Tom Taylor
  11. Ben Allison

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Sikandar Raza (WOR) – projected ~89.6 pts. The all-rounder is Worcestershire’s most consistent performer with 258 season runs at 28.67 and 0.81 projected wickets. His batting strike rate of 140.8 and ability to contribute with the ball make him the standout captain choice.

Vice Captain: Daniel Douthwaite (GLA) – projected ~92.7 pts. The Glamorgan all-rounder offers genuine value with 1.35 projected wickets and 14.4 projected runs. His recent form and home advantage boost his ceiling.

Also consider:

Key Players

Sikandar Raza (Worcestershire)

The Zimbabwe international has been Worcestershire’s heartbeat this season. With 258 runs at an average of 28.67 and a high score of 47, Raza combines batting consistency with genuine all-round value. His leg-spin has yielded 0.81 projected wickets per match. The Statz bet builder shows Raza has hit 20+ runs in 66.7% of his matches this season (80% in his last 5) – a strike rate that makes him a reliable batter in any lineup.

Kiran Carlson (Glamorgan)

Glamorgan’s captain and leading run-scorer with 266 runs at 33.25 and a highest score of 109. Carlson has been the anchor of Glamorgan’s recent winning streak, providing stability at the top of the order. His 50% hit rate for 20+ runs this season shows he can deliver the big innings when needed, and his captaincy has coincided with three straight wins.

Usama Mir (Worcestershire)

The Pakistan leg-spinner has been Worcestershire’s most prolific wicket-taker with 14 wickets in 9 matches. His 88.9% hit rate for 1+ wicket this season is exceptional, and he has taken 2+ wickets in 44.4% of matches. At Sophia Gardens, where spinners take 27.9% of wickets, Mir’s control and variation could be decisive.

Nathan McAndrew (Glamorgan)

The Glamorgan pace bowler has taken 10 wickets in 6 matches with an impressive 83.3% hit rate for 1+ wicket. His last three matches show 1, 2 and 1 wickets respectively – a consistency that makes him invaluable in the powerplay and death overs. His strike rate of 167.5 with the bat also provides lower-order hitting when needed.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Sophia Gardens with temperatures around 21 degrees at the start and humidity at 62%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 4.2 km/h from the south-west – conditions that should favour stroke play throughout the afternoon.

Verdict and Betting Angles

This is a tight contest on paper. The Statz projections give Glamorgan a marginal edge at home (52.9% if they bat first, 51.1% if they chase), but Worcestershire’s recent away form – two wins in their last three – suggests they are not to be underestimated. Glamorgan’s three-match winning streak and home advantage are the deciding factors.

The bookmakers reflect the closeness. Indicative odds have Glamorgan around 1.85 and Worcestershire around 1.95.

I am leaning Glamorgan here. The momentum is with the home side, their recent wins have been convincing, and Sophia Gardens’ high-scoring nature suits their aggressive batting lineup. Worcestershire will compete, but Glamorgan’s form is too strong to ignore.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture: