Yorkshire vs Leicestershire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

4th July 2026

Yorkshire host Leicestershire at Headingley on Saturday for a T20 Blast clash with contrasting fortunes. First ball is at 13:30 BST on 5 July.

Yorkshire sit 4th in the table on 22 points from 9 matches, riding a two-match winning streak and level with the teams in 5th and 6th. Leicestershire are in 15th on 12 points (W3 L5), needing a dramatic turnaround to stay alive in the competition. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Yorkshire vs Leicestershire fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Headingley is a batting paradise. Across the last 31 T20 matches here since May 2021, the average match total is 368 runs and the average first-innings score stands at 202. Teams batting first have won 65% of matches at this ground – a significant home advantage. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz, with seam bowlers taking 58.4% of wickets at an economy of 10.19, while spinners account for 37.6% of dismissals at 8.75. The most recent T20 here saw Yorkshire beat Durham by 5 wickets on 3 July 2026 (YOR 208/5, DUR 205/9).

Form and Table

Yorkshire – 4th (P9 W5 L3 T1, 22 pts)

Yorkshire have steadied the ship with back-to-back wins and sit comfortably in the top four. They are clinical at home and have won 16 of their last 31 T20s at Headingley since 2021:

Leicestershire – 15th (P8 W3 L5, 12 pts)

Leicestershire are in deep trouble. Three losses from their last five away matches have left them second-bottom in the table with little margin for error:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 8 8 0 32
2 Hampshire 8 6 2 24
3 Nottinghamshire 9 6 3 24
4 Yorkshire 9 5 3 22
…
15 Leicestershire 8 3 5 12

Yorkshire have seven group matches remaining and are well-placed for the quarter-finals. Leicestershire must win here and string together a run of victories to have any realistic chance of qualification.

Head-to-Head

The two sides have met 9 times in T20 cricket (Statz data). Leicestershire hold a narrow edge with 5 wins to Yorkshire’s 4. However, the recent trend favours Yorkshire – they have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. The most recent clash came on 7 June 2026 at Headingley, where Leicestershire won by 12 runs (LEI 147/8, YOR 135/10). Away from home, Leicestershire have won just 2 of 4 matches at Headingley since 2021, with Yorkshire dominating the venue.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections give Yorkshire a clear edge at home.

If Yorkshire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 209.4, match total of 402.1. Win probability – YOR 58.8%, LEI 39.2%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 179 to 240.

If Leicestershire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 204.6, match total of 397.6. Win probability – YOR 52.6%, LEI 45.4%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 168 to 239.

Both projected match totals (397-402) sit well above the Headingley average of 368, suggesting the model rates both batting lineups highly. The projected first-innings totals of around 207 are also above the venue average of 202 – expect a run-fest. Match total P10-P90 range: 340 to 460.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Beau Webster Warwickshire 474 9
George Munsey Nottinghamshire 459 9
Liam Livingstone Lancashire 348 7
James Rew Somerset 342 6
Alex Lees Durham 341 8

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Hasan Ali Yorkshire 18 8
James Sales Northamptonshire 18 8
Mohammad Ali Nottinghamshire 18 9
Reece Topley Surrey 16 8
Duan Jansen Gloucestershire 16 6

Yorkshire Season Leaders

Runs: Jonny Bairstow – 321 runs, avg 35.67, HS 83 | Adam Lyth – 201 runs, avg 22.33, HS 97 | William Luxton – 192 runs, avg 21.33, HS 46

Wickets: Hasan Ali – 18 wkts, best 4 | Jafer Chohan – 14 wkts, best 4 | Andrew Tye – 13 wkts, best 3

Leicestershire Season Leaders

Runs: Nick Kelly – 242 runs, avg 30.25, HS 61 | Ashton Turner – 212 runs, avg 26.5, HS 57 | Ben Cox – 140 runs, avg 17.5, HS 51

Wickets: Ben Green – 10 wkts, best 2 | Liam Trevaskis – 9 wkts, best 2 | Ian Holland – 7 wkts, best 2

Predicted XIs

Yorkshire (based on XI vs Durham, 3 Jul 2026)

  1. Adam Lyth
  2. Jonny Bairstow (c, wk)
  3. William Luxton
  4. Sam Whiteman
  5. Moeen Ali
  6. Matthew Revis
  7. Faheem Ashraf
  8. Hasan Ali
  9. Andrew Tye
  10. Daniel Moriarty
  11. Jafer Chohan

Leicestershire (based on most recent XI)

  1. Rishi Patel
  2. Rehan Ahmed
  3. Nick Kelly
  4. Ben Cox (wk)
  5. Ashton Turner
  6. Joey Evison
  7. Ben Green (c)
  8. Liam Trevaskis
  9. Ben Mike
  10. Samuel Wood
  11. Alex Green

These lineups are based on the most recent matches for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Hasan Ali (YOR) – projected 124.2 pts. The Pakistan international is Yorkshire’s standout bowler with 18 wickets this season at an average of 2.25. He has taken a wicket in 100% of his matches and 2+ wickets in 62.5% of games. His batting cameos add value.

Vice Captain: Jonny Bairstow (YOR) – projected 74.9 pts. Yorkshire’s captain and keeper with 321 season runs at 35.67. He has scored 30+ runs in 55.6% of matches and 20+ runs in 55.6% of games. A consistent source of fantasy points.

Also consider:

Key Players

Hasan Ali (Yorkshire)

The Pakistan fast bowler is joint-leading Purple Cap holder with 18 wickets from 8 matches. His consistency is remarkable – he has taken at least one wicket in every single match this season (100% hit rate). Even more impressively, he has taken 2+ wickets in 62.5% of his matches, with his last three returns reading 1, 3 and 3 wickets. At Headingley, pace bowlers thrive with an economy of 10.19, and Hasan’s control makes him a standout threat.

Jonny Bairstow (Yorkshire)

Yorkshire’s captain and wicketkeeper has been their batting anchor with 321 runs at an average of 35.67. His last three scores of 5, 0 and 66 show a player capable of explosive contributions. He has scored 30+ runs in 55.6% of his matches this season and 20+ runs in the same percentage – a reliable source of runs at the top of the order.

Nick Kelly (Leicestershire)

Leicestershire’s leading run-scorer with 242 runs at 30.25. Kelly has been their most consistent batter with a 75% hit rate for 20+ runs across the season and 80% in his last five matches. His last three scores of 44, 49 and 0 show he is capable of big contributions when Leicestershire need them most.

Ben Green (Leicestershire)

The Leicestershire captain and all-rounder has taken 10 wickets from 8 matches with a 1+ wicket hit rate of 87.5%. His last three returns of 1, 1 and 1 wicket show he is a regular contributor with the ball. His batting in the middle order adds balance to a struggling Leicestershire side.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Headingley with temperatures around 19 degrees at the start and humidity at 62%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 3.6 km/h from the south-west – ideal batting conditions throughout the afternoon and evening.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Yorkshire are clear favourites here. The Statz projections give them a 55.7% win probability, and their home record at Headingley (65% win rate for teams batting first) is a significant advantage. Leicestershire’s form has collapsed away from home, and they have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches. The recent meeting at this ground went Yorkshire’s way, and the projections suggest another comfortable home victory.

The bookmakers reflect this. Indicative odds have Yorkshire at 1.57 and Leicestershire at 2.30.

I am leaning Yorkshire. The home advantage is decisive at Headingley, their bowling attack – led by Hasan Ali – is world-class, and Leicestershire simply lack the form to trouble them. A straightforward home win is the call.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture: