Liverpool vs Brentford Predictions and Betting Tips
22nd May 2026
Liverpool host Brentford at Anfield on the final day, and this has not been the season the Reds were hoping for. Sitting 5th on 59 points with 12 defeats, Liverpool’s form has been patchy – W4 D2 L4 in the last 10. Brentford, in 9th on 52 points, have been the draw specialists of the league recently with 6 draws in their last 10. This one could be tighter than you think.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:
Liverpool: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.
Brentford: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.
Key Stats
Mohamed Salah remains Liverpool’s top projected goalscorer at 0.39 goals/game with 2.43 shots and 0.82 SOT per game. Alexander Isak matches that 0.39 goals/game projection and leads the way on SOT with 0.95 per game. Cody Gakpo (2.32 shots/game) and Dominik Szoboszlai (1.94 shots/game) add plenty of threat from midfield.
For Brentford, Igor Thiago is the danger man – projected for 0.53 goals/game from 2.04 shots (1.04 SOT). He also leads the league in fouls committed with 1.78 per game and is the Bees’ fouls leader over the last 10 with 25 total (2.50/game). Kevin Schade (0.23 goals/game, 1.47 shots) offers pace on the break.
Liverpool’s recent form (WLDLWWWLDL) includes a 4-2 loss at Villa last time out. Brentford’s WDDDDDLWLD run shows they are hard to beat but rarely blow teams away.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections have Liverpool edging this one: 1.83 projected goals from 15.37 shots (4.78 on target), with 5.49 corners. Brentford are projected for 1.41 goals from 10.30 shots (3.59 on target) and 4.06 corners. Liverpool project for just 7.44 fouls and 1.23 yellows, while Brentford are expected to commit 8.95 fouls and pick up 1.66 yellows. A combined projection of 3.24 goals suggests this should have action at both ends.
Referee
Darren England is the man in the middle. Across 22 games this season, he averages 4.45 yellows and 22.23 fouls per game. That is a card-heavy ref – worth noting for your bet builder if you fancy cards markets.
Bet Builder Angles
The Statz Bet Builder Tool has built a 4-leg play at combined odds of 3.66 with Ladbrokes:
- Ryan Gravenberch 1+ shots – 100% hit rate last 5 (avg 1.8/game), values of 1, 1, 2, 1, 4. Best odds: 3.00 (BoyleSports). Ladbrokes price: 1.40.
- Vitaly Janelt 1+ fouls – 100% hit rate last 5 (avg 1.8/game), values of 1, 2, 1, 2, 3. Ranked 166th of 429 for fouls this season. Best odds: 1.48 (Ladbrokes).
- Dominik Szoboszlai 1+ fouls – 100% hit rate last 5 (avg 2.2/game), values of 3, 2, 3, 1, 2. Ranked 30th of 429 for fouls this season – a proper foul machine. Best odds: 1.40 (Midnite). Ladbrokes price: 1.36.
- Virgil van Dijk 1+ shots – 80% hit rate last 5 (avg 1.2/game), values of 2, 2, 1, 0, 1. Best odds: 2.63 (BoyleSports). Ladbrokes price: 1.30.
Combined price: 3.66 with Ladbrokes. Add to betslip.
Verdict
Liverpool should have enough at Anfield, but this is not the Liverpool of old and Brentford are a stubborn side who love a draw. The projections favour the Reds, and with Darren England averaging nearly 4.5 yellows per game, the fouls-based legs in the bet builder look solid. Expect a scrappy but entertaining final day affair.