Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton Predictions and Betting Tips
22nd May 2026
It is last-day drama time at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, and Spurs need this more than most. Sitting 17th on 38 points, Ange Postecoglou’s side are in a genuine relegation scrap heading into the final match against Everton. The Toffees sit 12th on 49 points and have nothing to play for, but their recent form (W3 D3 L4 in 10) suggests they will not roll over. Spurs’ own record of 2 wins in 10 is absolutely dire – this is squeaky bum time at the Lane.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:
Tottenham Hotspur: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.
Everton: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.
Key Stats
Richarlison is Spurs’ top projected goalscorer at 0.49 goals/game, firing off 2.86 shots (1.11 SOT) per game. Against his old club, he will be desperate to deliver. Dominic Solanke (0.39 goals/game, 2.01 shots) provides another goal threat, while Xavi Simons (2.18 shots/game, 0.25 goals/game) is the creative spark in behind.
For Everton, Beto leads the line with 0.39 projected goals/game from 1.83 shots (0.72 SOT). Iliman Ndiaye (0.19 goals/game, 1.27 shots) has been bright this season, while James Garner is a tackling machine at 3.60 tackles per game.
Spurs’ form over the last 10 (LLDLLDWWDL) tells the story – just 10 goals scored and 16 conceded. The back-to-back wins over Wolves and Villa feel like a distant memory after draws with Leeds and a loss at Chelsea. Everton’s WWLWDLLDDL run includes draws with Man City, Crystal Palace and Brentford.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections have Spurs edging this: 1.51 goals from 13.10 shots (4.06 on target) and 5.31 corners. Everton are projected for 1.26 goals from 10.17 shots (3.51 on target) with 3.83 corners. Tackles are sky-high in this one – Spurs projected for 15.60 and Everton for a massive 20.29. That combined tackle count of nearly 36 tells you this will be a proper battle in midfield. Expect fouls too – 9.66 projected for Spurs and 8.93 for Everton, with 1.56 and 1.58 yellows respectively.
Referee
No referee has been confirmed for this fixture at the time of writing. Check the H2H page closer to kickoff for the latest.
Bet Builder Angles
The Statz Bet Builder Tool has built a 4-leg play at combined odds of 6.12 with BoyleSports:
- Iliman Ndiaye 1+ shots – 100% hit rate last 5 (avg 2.0/game), values of 1, 3, 4, 1, 1. Projected at 71.9%. Best odds: 1.80 (BoyleSports).
- Richarlison 2+ shots – 100% hit rate last 5 (avg 2.8/game), values of 3, 4, 2, 2, 3. Projected at 77.9%. Best odds: 1.50 (BoyleSports).
- Rodrigo Bentancur 1+ tackles – 100% hit rate last 5 (avg 3.2/game), values of 2, 5, 2, 3, 4. Ranked 58th of 439 for tackles this season. Best odds: 1.40 (BoyleSports).
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 1+ tackles – 100% hit rate last 5 (avg 1.8/game), values of 1, 1, 3, 1, 3. Ranked 68th of 439 for tackles. Projected at 86.7%. Best odds: 1.62 (BoyleSports).
Combined price: 6.12 with BoyleSports. Add to betslip.
Verdict
This is the biggest game of Spurs’ season and the pressure is immense. The projections give them the edge but only just, and their recent form does not inspire confidence. The tackle and foul projections suggest a cagey, scrappy affair – perfect for the stat-based bet builder legs. Spurs need to win, but whether they have the bottle to do it on the day is the real question.