Fulham vs Newcastle United Predictions and Betting Tips

22nd May 2026

Fulham vs Newcastle United Predictions and Betting Tips

Two sides locked on 49 points go head to head as Fulham welcome Newcastle United to Craven Cottage on the final day. Both sit on identical records (W14 D7 L16) – Fulham 13th, Newcastle 11th on goal difference alone. Fulham’s form has been patchy (W3 D3 L4 in the last 10), while Newcastle have been equally inconsistent (W4 D1 L5). This should be an open, competitive fixture with goals in it.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:

Fulham: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.

Newcastle United: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.

Key Stats

William Osula is Newcastle’s top projected goalscorer at a tasty 0.49 per game, averaging 1.94 shots with 0.92 on target. That’s elite finishing numbers. Anthony Gordon isn’t far behind at 0.42 projected goals with 1.81 shots per game, while Harvey Barnes offers 2.09 shots per game from the flanks.

For Fulham, Raul Jimenez leads the charge at 0.40 projected goals with 2.37 shots per game – the old fox still knows where the net is. Harry Wilson (0.27 goals, 2.16 shots/game) provides the creative spark. Check the full breakdown on the projections page.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections edge this one narrowly toward Newcastle: Fulham projected at 1.53 goals, 12.34 shots (3.98 on target), 4.34 corners, 8.79 fouls and 1.39 yellows. Newcastle come in at 1.59 goals, 11.80 shots (3.98 on target), 4.69 corners, 7.96 fouls and 1.38 yellows. Shots on target are dead level at 3.98 each – this has goals written all over it.

Referee

Robert Jones is the man in the middle, and he’s a card machine – averaging 4.35 yellows and 21.18 fouls per game across 17 matches this season. Zero reds, mind, but over four yellows a game makes cards markets very appealing here.

Bet Builder Angles

Four legs from the Statz Bet Builder Tool:

Fabian Schar 1+ Shots – 100% hit rate last 5 (values: 1, 1, 1, 3, 3), averaging 1.80 per game. The big Swiss defender loves a pop at goal from set pieces. Best odds: 1.76 (Stake).

Sander Berge 1+ Tackles – 100% hit rate last 5 (values: 1, 1, 3, 2, 1), averaging 1.60 per game. Ranked 46th of 439 PL players for tackles and projected at 79% to clear. Best odds: 1.73 (BoyleSports).

Bruno Guimaraes 1+ Tackles – 100% last 5 (values: 5, 2, 1, 2, 2), averaging 2.40 per game. Ranked 40th in the league for tackles with an 81% projection. Best odds: 1.57 (BoyleSports).

Jorge Cuenca 1+ Fouls – 100% hit rate last 5 (values: 2, 1, 1, 1, 1), averaging 1.20 per game. Reliable fouler who’s cleared this line every time recently. Best odds: 1.44 (bet365).

Verdict

With Robert Jones averaging 4.35 yellows a game and both sides evenly matched, the cards and fouls markets are where the smart money goes. Newcastle’s attacking projections just edge it but Fulham at home are no pushovers. Expect goals, expect cards, and expect a proper last-day-of-the-season scrap at the Cottage.