Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions and Betting Tips

22nd May 2026

Nottingham Forest vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions and Betting Tips

The final day of the Premier League season throws up some fascinating matchups, and Nottingham Forest hosting AFC Bournemouth at the City Ground is right up there. Forest have been in cracking form lately – W4 D4 L2 in their last 10, including a 5-0 demolition of Sunderland and a 3-1 win at Chelsea. Bournemouth, meanwhile, are unbeaten in 10 (W4 D6 L0) and sit 6th with European football potentially on the line. Something has to give.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:

Nottingham Forest: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.

AFC Bournemouth: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.

Key Stats

Morgan Gibbs-White is Forest’s top projected goalscorer at 0.44 goals per game, firing 2.29 shots per game with 0.95 on target. The man is the creative heartbeat of this side. Chris Wood isn’t far behind at 0.42 goals projected, averaging 2.07 shots per game – still a real handful at this level.

For Bournemouth, Eli Kroupi leads the way with a projected 0.36 goals, while Rayan (0.34 goals projected, 2.10 shots/game) and Evanilson (0.25 goals, 1.94 shots/game) offer plenty of firepower. Forest sit 16th on 43 points while Bournemouth are 6th on 56 – check the full breakdown on the projections page.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections have this one as a coin flip. Forest are projected 1.54 goals, 13.25 shots (4.23 on target), 4.95 corners, 8.36 fouls and 1.19 yellows. Bournemouth come in at 1.55 goals, 12.21 shots (4.09 on target), 4.24 corners, 10.62 fouls and 1.96 yellows. The Cherries are expected to rack up significantly more fouls – worth noting for card markets.

Referee

No referee has been assigned for this fixture yet. Keep an eye on the H2H page for updates closer to kickoff.

Bet Builder Angles

Four solid legs from the Statz Bet Builder Tool:

Morato 1+ Tackles – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 2, 1, 1, 1, 1), averaging 1.20 per game. Projected at 77% to clear the line. Best odds: 1.57 (BoyleSports).

Nicolas Dominguez 2+ Tackles – Another 100% hit rate last 5 (values: 4, 2, 2, 2, 2), averaging 2.40 per game. He’s ranked 58th of 439 PL players for tackles this season. Best odds: 1.50 (BoyleSports).

Eli Kroupi 1+ Fouls – 100% hit rate last 5 (values: 1, 3, 3, 1, 1), averaging 1.80 per game. Projected at 63% to commit at least one foul. Best odds: 1.50 (Ladbrokes).

Alex Jimenez 1+ Fouls – 100% in his last 5 (values: 2, 2, 3, 2, 1), averaging 2.00 per game. Ranked 45th of 429 for fouls this season – the lad can’t help himself. Best odds: 1.40 (Ladbrokes).

Verdict

Bournemouth’s unbeaten run of 10 is seriously impressive, but Forest at home have been a different animal recently – thumping Sunderland 5-0 and beating Chelsea 3-1 on the road. The projections call it dead level and that feels about right. Look to the fouls and tackles markets where the value is stacking up nicely.