Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions and Betting Tips

22nd May 2026

Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions and Betting Tips

Two relegated sides meet on the final day as Burnley host Wolverhampton Wanderers at Turf Moor. It’s been a grim season for both – Burnley sit 19th on 21 points, Wolves rock bottom on 19. Burnley’s form is dreadful (W0 D2 L8 in their last 10), while Wolves have been marginally less awful (W2 D3 L5). This is a dead rubber in every sense, but there’s still value to be found if you know where to look.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:

Burnley: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.

Wolverhampton Wanderers: Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff.

Key Stats

Zian Flemming has been Burnley’s main man in attack – projected 0.48 goals per game with 2.54 shots and 0.88 on target. He’s also their biggest fouler, committing 1.76 per game. Jaidon Anthony chips in with 2.09 shots per game (0.77 on target).

For Wolves, Tolu Arokodare leads the line with 0.26 projected goals and 2.47 shots per game. Mateus Mane (2.00 shots/game) and Adam Armstrong (1.76 shots/game) offer supporting fire. Check the full picture on the projections page.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections favour the home side: Burnley projected at 1.29 goals, 10.99 shots (3.42 on target), 4.34 corners, 8.62 fouls and 1.12 yellows. Wolves come in at 1.09 goals, 10.26 shots (3.39 on target), 3.88 corners, 9.76 fouls and 1.41 yellows. Neither side is setting the world alight in terms of output, but the foul counts are worth watching.

Referee

Andrew Kitchen takes charge, averaging 2.88 yellows and 20.04 fouls per game across 25 matches this season. Not the most card-happy official in the league, but the foul count is chunky – fits the profile of this game well.

Bet Builder Angles

Four legs from the Statz Bet Builder Tool, combining for around 12.43 at BoyleSports:

Kyle Walker 1+ Tackles – 100% hit rate last 5 (values: 2, 4, 2, 2, 1), averaging 2.20 per game. Projected at 72% to clear. Ranked 58th of 439 PL players for tackles. Best odds: 1.80 (BoyleSports).

Hannibal 1+ Shots – 80% hit rate last 5 (values: 2, 1, 1, 2, 0), averaging 1.20 per game. Projected at 72% to land. Best odds: 2.00 (BoyleSports).

Loum Tchaouna 1+ Shots – 80% last 5 (values: 1, 3, 1, 1, 0), averaging 1.20 per game. Projected at a massive 83% to have at least one effort. Best odds: 1.57 (BoyleSports).

Axel Tuanzebe 1+ Tackles – 80% last 5 (values: 0, 1, 1, 1, 1), averaging 0.80 per game. The slight risk in the builder but at 2.20 odds he’s the value play. Best odds: 2.20 (BoyleSports).

Verdict

Neither team has anything to play for beyond pride and the projections reflect that – low-scoring and scrappy is the vibe. Burnley are slight favourites at home but their form is absolutely dire. The bet builder at 12/1 on BoyleSports looks the play here, anchored by those tackles and shots lines with strong hit rates behind them.