Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Predictions and Betting Tips
22nd May 2026
Crystal Palace welcome Arsenal to Selhurst Park on the final day of the Premier League season, and the form book could not tell two more different stories. Palace sit 15th on 45 points after a rough run of four defeats and four draws in their last ten – they’ve been leaking goals and limping towards the finish line. Arsenal, by contrast, are top of the table on 82 points with eight wins from ten. The title race could well be wrapped up by the time they kick off, but Mikel Arteta’s side won’t be taking their foot off the gas.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:
Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff for the latest team news.
Key Stats
Arsenal’s firepower is obvious. Viktor Gyokeres is the top projected goalscorer for this fixture at 0.40 goals per game, averaging 1.73 shots and 0.74 SOT per match. Bukayo Saka leads the way on shots (2.20/game) with 0.89 SOT per game – he’s the most dangerous creative threat on the pitch. Eberechi Eze, now wearing Arsenal colours, projects at 2.01 shots and 0.54 SOT per game. For Palace, Ismaila Sarr (0.30 goals, 1.71 shots/game) is their main outlet, while Jean-Philippe Mateta chips in at 1.65 shots per game.
The gulf in form is stark. Arsenal have won 8 of their last 10, scoring 17 and conceding just 6. Palace’s LWDWDLLDLD record tells its own story – 11 scored, 17 conceded. That’s a side struggling to keep the ball out of the net against anyone decent. Check the full breakdown on the H2H page and the latest Premier League projections.
Statz Projections
The Statz model fancies Arsenal heavily here. The projected scoreline is Palace 0.95 – 1.64 Arsenal. Arsenal are projected for 12.19 shots (4.27 on target) versus Palace’s 8.82 (2.81 on target). Corners favour Arsenal at 4.55 to 3.52. Fouls are tight – Palace 8.79 vs Arsenal 8.59 – and both sides project for similar yellow card numbers (Palace 1.61, Arsenal 1.56). The numbers say Arsenal should dominate possession and territory here.
Referee
Farai Hallam takes charge. Across 22 games this season, Hallam averages 3.95 yellows and 21.00 fouls per game. That’s a busy whistle – expect both sides to pick up bookings, especially with Palace likely to resort to tactical fouling to slow Arsenal’s transitions.
Bet Builder Angles
Three legs here, all backed by rock-solid recent form via the Statz Bet Builder Tool:
Viktor Gyokeres 1+ shots – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 2, 3, 4, 1, 1). Averaging 2.20 shots across that run with a projection hit probability of 82.3%. Best odds: 1.44 (Boylesports).
Maxence Lacroix 1+ tackles – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 1, 3, 1, 3, 2). Ranks 36th out of 439 PL players for tackles this season. Palace’s centre-back will be busy with Arsenal’s front line buzzing around him. Best odds: 2.00 (Boylesports).
Piero Hincapie 1+ tackles – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 1, 2, 5, 3, 6). Averaging 3.40 tackles in that stretch, which is enormous. Projection hit rate: 86.1%. Best odds: 1.44 (Boylesports).
Combined price: 4.15 (Boylesports). Three legs, all with 100% last-5 hit rates. That’s the sort of builder you can get behind with confidence.
Verdict
Arsenal are in title-winning form and Palace have been in freefall. The Statz projections back the visitors across the board – more shots, more SOT, more corners, more goals. An Arsenal win looks the most likely outcome, and the bet builder at 4.15 offers solid value with three legs that have all landed in every recent outing. Palace might nick a consolation, but this should be comfortable for the Gunners.