Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Predictions and Betting Tips – Sunday 10 May 2026

8th May 2026

Nottingham Forest are in a strange place. 16th in the Premier League, yet their home record this season has been anything but a relegation side’s. Newcastle meanwhile have been wildly inconsistent on the road – six defeats from their last ten away games sums up a campaign that promised plenty and delivered in fits and starts.

Sunday’s City Ground clash kicks off at 2pm BST and has mid-table consolidation written all over it. Forest want the points to push clear of danger. Newcastle want a European spot. Both need this.

Lineups and Player News

Predicted lineups are taken from the Forest vs Newcastle H2H page on Statz. Nottingham Forest are expected to name Chris Wood up front, with Igor Jesus and Morgan Gibbs-White behind him. Newcastle look set to feature William Osula leading the line, with Anthony Gordon and Jacob Ramsey providing the creative spark.

Recent Form

Forest’s last ten reads DLLDDWDWWW – four wins, four draws, two defeats. They’ve scored 19 and conceded just eight at home, which is genuinely excellent. They’re not playing like a side in 16th – they’re playing like one who had a slow start and have quietly put it together.

Newcastle’s away record over the same run is WLLWWLLLLW – four wins but six defeats, conceding 15 on their travels. They can be spectacular away from home or utterly pedestrian. There’s no in-between.

Interesting Player Stats

Chris Wood leads the Forest projection lines here with 0.93 SOT and 1.99 total shots per game. He’s been one of the standout strikers in the division this season in terms of consistent shot volume – a reliable target if you’re building in the goals or shots markets.

Morgan Gibbs-White is right behind him at 0.85 SOT and exactly 2.00 shots per game. He carries a consistent attacking threat from midfield and draws fouls at 0.66 per game – he’s the kind of player who generates chaos in the final third without necessarily getting the headlines.

Igor Jesus is the most interesting name in this game from a pure shot volume perspective – 2.36 shots per game projected, with 0.80 SOT. He also draws 1.08 fouls per game which makes him a solid dual-market candidate.

For Newcastle, William Osula projects at 0.86 SOT and 1.55 shots. He averages 1.39 fouls drawn per game – the highest foul rate of any forward in this fixture – which gives him bet builder appeal even if the goal markets feel tight.

Betting Angles

Referee Paul Tierney averages 19.2 fouls per game and 3.7 yellow cards – slightly below the Premier League average, which suggests a relatively free-flowing game is on the cards. That suits Forest’s attacking style at home.

Four legs from Statz’s bet builder data:

Combined price: 8.02. Build this bet on Ladbrokes.

Summary and Suggestions

This looks like a cagey affair. Forest are hard to beat at home and concede very little – nine goals in their last ten home games is a serious defensive record. Newcastle are unpredictable away from home but have the quality to nick it.

The bet builder is the play here. Ramsey and Wissa both at 100% hit rate give you a strong base at comfortable odds. Add Igor Jesus SOT and Dan Burn shots – both at 80% – and you’ve got a four-legger at 8.02 that has genuine appeal.

See the full Forest vs Newcastle stats and projections on Statz before you commit.