Wolves vs Tottenham Predictions & Betting Tips – Premier League 25 April 2026
24th April 2026
Two sides that can’t buy a win right now. Wolves sit rock bottom on 17 points, five defeats in their last ten and already looking like a Championship side in all but name. Spurs roll in 18th with 31 points – still fighting the drop themselves, though their greater goal difference gives them a little more breathing room. Saturday’s 14:00 kick-off at Molineux is essentially a six-pointer dressed up in Premier League branding.
Neither team arrives in good nick. Wolves have managed just two wins in their last ten, conceding 18 goals along the way. Spurs have been even worse going forward – zero wins in ten, seven defeats, and only nine goals scored in that run. If you were building a game guaranteed to produce something messy and tense, this is pretty much the blueprint.
The Numbers
The Statz projections land on a 1.05 – 1.44 scoreline in Spurs’ favour, which lines up neatly with the market pricing: 44.70% for an away win, 28.64% for the draw, and just 26.66% for the home side. Spurs are slight favourites, but this is clearly tight. Richarlison leads the projected scorers with 0.40, while Adam Armstrong tops the Wolves side at 0.24.
Both teams to score sits around 57% and over 2.5 goals at roughly 51%. If Spurs can’t defend – and that 22 goals conceded in their last ten says they really can’t – Wolves might nick something even if they’re outplayed for large spells.
Referee Anthony Taylor is in the middle. Over 26 games this season he averages 4.12 yellows and 19.88 fouls per game. With both sides low on confidence and high on pressure, expect this one to get scrappy. Taylor’s card rate makes the booking markets worth a look.
Worth noting on the foul side: Spurs’ Randal Kolo Muani leads their team for fouls committed across the last ten games with 20 – averaging 2.00 per game. Wolves’ João Gomes isn’t far behind on 1.40. Taylor plus two foul-happy sides is a combination worth filing away.
Check out the full head-to-head breakdown for more on both sides’ data going into this one.
Bet Builder – 9.29/1 on bet365
Four legs, all grounded in recent form data. Built using the Statz bet builder tool.
- Ladislav Krejci – 1+ shots (1.67) – The Wolves defender has hit this in all five of his last five appearances. 100% hit rate, averaging 1.8 shots per game across that run. At 1.67, this is the anchor of the slip.
- Pedro Porro – 2+ shots (2.38) – The Spurs right-back has clocked 2+ shots in four of his last five. 80% hit rate, 1.8 average, with tallies of 2, 3, 2 and 2 in his four successful games. He attacks constantly down that flank.
- Rodrigo Bentancur – 2+ tackles (1.67) – The Spurs midfielder hits this at 80% over his last five, averaging 2.8 tackles per game with a high of five. A defensive midfielder in a gritty relegation scrap should see plenty of opportunity.
- João Palhinha – 1+ fouls (1.40) – 80% hit rate last five, averaging 1.2 fouls per game. In a game with Taylor officiating and Wolves pressing for their survival, Palhinha is going to be busy in the middle.
Combined: 9.29/1 on bet365
Four legs, all backed by genuine hit rate data and all making sense in the context of this fixture. The Krejci leg is the one that grounds it – perfect record last five, and a solid anchor for the overall price.
The Angle
Spurs should edge this. The projections say so, the market says so, and Wolves’ underlying numbers are grim even by relegation standards. But this is not a game to be throwing big stakes at. Neither side has been reliable, Spurs especially – no wins in ten is remarkable given the squad they have. A Spurs win at around 44% implied probability is fair value. So is the bet builder above, where the data genuinely supports each leg individually.
BTTS at 57% is also appealing. If Wolves are going down, they might as well go down swinging, and Armstrong at 0.24 projected goals is no certainty – but he’s active. Spurs will score. The question is whether Wolves keep it clean. On current evidence, probably not.
Keep it small, lean Spurs, and let the bet builder do the heavy lifting.