Worcestershire vs Gloucestershire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz
8th July 2026
Worcestershire host Gloucestershire at New Road on Thursday for a T20 Blast clash with both sides locked on 24 points in the middle of the table. First ball is at 16:30 BST on 10 July.
Worcestershire sit 6th in the standings on 24 points from 10 matches (W6 L4), while Gloucestershire are one place above in 5th, also on 24 points from 10 matches (W6 L4). Both sides have six group matches remaining and need to build momentum to push into the top four. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Worcestershire vs Gloucestershire fixture page on Statz.
The Venue
New Road is a balanced battleground. Across the last 10 T20 matches here, the average match total is 307.4 with an average first-innings score of 171.2. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz, with seam bowlers taking 71% of wickets at an economy of 8.2, while spinners account for 24.8% at 7.9. Worcestershire have won 11 of their last 21 T20 matches at home since 2021 – a 52.4% win rate that suggests home advantage is real but not overwhelming.
The top-order batters have dominated here, with seven of the last 10 matches seeing the opening partnership set the tone. Boundaries account for 53% of runs scored at New Road, indicating aggressive cricket is rewarded. The ground is not particularly large, so expect plenty of hitting opportunities for both sides.
Form and Table
Worcestershire – 6th (P10 W6 L4, 24 pts)
Worcestershire have won three of their last five matches and are building nicely. Their recent form shows:
- 05 Jul vs GLA (H): W – WOR 161/9, GLA 146/10
- 03 Jul vs KEN (H): W – WOR 142/7, KEN 59/10
- 28 Jun vs SOM (H): W – WOR 180/5, SOM 144/9
- 26 Jun vs WAR (H): L – WOR 165/7, WAR 224/10
- 09 Jun vs NOR (H): L – WOR 154/5, NOR 162/4
Gloucestershire – 5th (P10 W6 L4, 24 pts)
Gloucestershire have been inconsistent on the road, winning just one of their last five away matches. Their recent form reads:
- 05 Jul vs WAR (A): L – GLO 173/6, WAR 203/5
- 04 Jul vs SUR (A): W – GLO 191/5, SUR 134/10
- 01 Jul vs NOR (A): L – GLO 184/2, NOR 187/2
- 26 Jun vs SOM (A): L – GLO 176/7, SOM 194/7
- 07 Jun vs WOR (A): W – GLO 148/7, WOR 145/10
Standings Snapshot
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northamptonshire | 9 | 8 | 1 | 32 |
| 2 | Hampshire | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28 |
| 3 | Nottinghamshire | 10 | 7 | 3 | 28 |
| 4 | Yorkshire | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | Gloucestershire | 10 | 6 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Worcestershire | 10 | 6 | 4 | 24 |
Both sides are locked on 24 points with identical records. The winner of this fixture will move to 26 points and edge closer to the top four. A loss leaves either side vulnerable to being overtaken by the chasing pack.
Head-to-Head
Gloucestershire hold the edge in this fixture. In their most recent meeting on 7 June 2026 at New Road, Gloucestershire chased down Worcestershire’s 145/10 to win by 7 wickets, scoring 148/7. That was their only meeting in the Statz database, giving Gloucestershire a 1-0 record in this matchup. However, the fact that Worcestershire were bowled out for just 145 at home suggests the pitch can be tricky – something both sides will be mindful of.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections rate this as a genuine coin-flip.
If Worcestershire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 163.8, match total of 312.3. Win probability – WOR 49.4%, GLO 48.6%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 130 to 193.
If Gloucestershire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 160.4, match total of 308.7. Win probability – WOR 46.7%, GLO 51.3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 124 to 191.
The projections suggest Gloucestershire gain a slight edge if they bat first (51.3% win probability), while Worcestershire are marginally favoured if they bowl first (49.4%). The projected match totals of 308-312 sit slightly above the New Road average of 307.4. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.
Competition Season Leaders
Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers
| Player | Team | Runs | Inn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Webster | Warwickshire | 552 | 10 |
| George Munsey | Nottinghamshire | 460 | 10 |
| Alex Lees | Durham | 385 | 9 |
| Liam Livingstone | Lancashire | 379 | 8 |
| James Rew | Somerset | 372 | 7 |
Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers
| Player | Team | Wkts | Inn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hasan Ali | Yorkshire | 22 | 9 |
| Mohammad Ali | Nottinghamshire | 19 | 10 |
| Scott Currie | Hampshire | 18 | 9 |
| James Sales | Northamptonshire | 18 | 9 |
| Andrew Tye | Yorkshire | 17 | 10 |
Worcestershire Season Leaders
Runs: Sikandar Raza – 258 runs, avg 28.67, HS 47 | Adam Hose – 237 runs, avg 23.7, HS 50 | Gareth Roderick – 227 runs, avg 22.7, HS 71
Wickets: Usama Mir – 16 wkts, avg 1.6 | Matthew Waite – 13 wkts, avg 1.44 | Adam Finch – 12 wkts, avg 2.0
Gloucestershire Season Leaders
Runs: D’Arcy Short – 368 runs, avg 36.8, HS 92 | Jack Taylor – 221 runs, avg 22.1, HS 48 | Miles Hammond – 190 runs, avg 19.0, HS 56
Wickets: Duan Jansen – 16 wkts, avg 2.67 | Marchant de Lange – 12 wkts, avg 1.2 | Matthew Taylor – 9 wkts, avg 1.13
Predicted XIs
Worcestershire (based on XI vs Glamorgan, 5 Jul 2026)
- Isaac Mohammed
- Kashif Ali
- Gareth Roderick (c)
- Adam Hose (wk)
- Henry Cullen
- Beyers Swanepoel
- Matthew Waite
- Usama Mir
- Tom Taylor
- Ben Allison
- Fateh Singh
Gloucestershire (based on XI vs Warwickshire, 5 Jul 2026)
- Dawid Malan
- D’Arcy Short
- Miles Hammond
- Liam Scott
- Jack Taylor (c)
- Kamran Dhariwal
- James Bracey (wk)
- Graeme van Buuren
- Matthew Taylor
- Marchant de Lange
- James Hayes
These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:
Captain: Duan Jansen (GLO) – projected 97.2 pts. The South African quick has been relentless with 16 wickets in 6 matches this season. His projected 1.83 wickets per game combined with batting contributions make him the standout captain choice.
Vice Captain: D’Arcy Short (GLO) – projected 78.7 pts. The Australian opener has 368 runs at 36.8 this season with a high score of 92. His projected 30.6 runs combined with occasional bowling make him a dual-threat option.
Also consider:
- Sikandar Raza (WOR) – projected 93.1 pts – 258 season runs, all-rounder with wicket-taking ability
- Usama Mir (WOR) – 16 wickets this season, 90% hit rate for 1+ wicket
- Adam Finch (WOR) – projected 75.0 pts – 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket in 6 matches
Key Players
Sikandar Raza (Worcestershire)
The Zimbabwe all-rounder has been Worcestershire’s standout performer. With 258 runs at 28.67 and a high score of 47, Raza provides balance across the order. His 20+ run hit rate stands at 66.7% for the season, and he has taken 1 wicket in the fixture data. The Statz bet builder shows Raza has hit 30+ runs in 44.4% of matches this season – a solid floor for a middle-order batter.
D’Arcy Short (Gloucestershire)
Gloucestershire’s most prolific run-scorer with 368 runs at 36.8, including a high score of 92. Short has been consistent in the top order and provides the aggression Gloucestershire need early. His 30+ run hit rate of 40% for the season shows he can deliver match-winning innings, and his projected 30.6 runs in this fixture make him a captain-level option.
Usama Mir (Worcestershire)
The leg-spinner has been Worcestershire’s most reliable bowler with 16 wickets in 10 matches. His 90% hit rate for taking 1+ wicket is exceptional, and he has taken 2+ wickets in 50% of matches. Against a Gloucestershire side that has struggled away from home, Mir’s ability to tie down the middle order could prove decisive.
Duan Jansen (Gloucestershire)
The South African pace bowler has been Gloucestershire’s standout quick with 16 wickets in just 6 matches – an average of 2.67 per game. His 83.3% hit rate for 2+ wickets shows he regularly takes multiple scalps. With Worcestershire’s middle order potentially vulnerable, Jansen’s pace and accuracy could be the difference.
Conditions
Partly cloudy conditions are expected at New Road with temperatures around 22 degrees. Humidity sits at 42% with a light westerly breeze at 4.2 km/h. No rain is forecast. The conditions should favour even cricket throughout the evening, with neither side gaining a weather advantage.
Verdict and Betting Angles
This is a genuinely balanced contest between two sides level on points and form. The Statz projections make it a coin-flip, with Gloucestershire gaining a marginal edge if they bat first (51.3%) and Worcestershire slightly favoured if they bowl first (49.4%). Worcestershire’s home advantage at New Road – where they have won 11 of 21 T20 matches since 2021 – is real but not overwhelming.
Gloucestershire’s away record this season is concerning (W1 L4 in their last five away matches), but their overall quality and the head-to-head advantage (1-0) cannot be ignored. Worcestershire’s recent form at home has been strong with three wins in their last five matches.
The verdict leans Gloucestershire at 50% win probability – a genuine coin-flip with a slight nod to the visitors. Indicative odds have Worcestershire around 1.90 and Gloucestershire around 1.90 as well, reflecting the tight nature of this fixture.
Bet Builder Angles
Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:
- Henry Cullen Under 14.5 Runs – The best bet available. Cullen has struggled for consistency this season and faces a Gloucestershire bowling attack led by Duan Jansen. This represents value at 1.83.
- Usama Mir 1+ Wicket – 90% season hit rate. The leg-spinner has taken a wicket in nine of his last ten matches. Highly reliable.
- Adam Finch 1+ Wicket – 100% hit rate in 6 matches this season. One of the most consistent wicket-takers in the competition.
- Duan Jansen 2+ Wickets – 83.3% season hit rate. The South African has taken multiple wickets in five of his six matches.