Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

8th July 2026

Nottinghamshire host Leicestershire at Trent Bridge on Thursday for a T20 Blast clash with significant implications for both sides’ quarter-final hopes. First ball is at 17:30 BST on 10 July.

Notts sit 3rd in the table on 28 points from 10 matches, level with Hampshire in 2nd and just four points clear of the chasing pack. Leicestershire languish in 16th on 12 points from 9 matches, having won just three games all season. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Trent Bridge has been a fortress for run-scoring in T20 cricket. Across the last 30 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 329.2 and the average first-innings score is 165.9. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz, with seam bowlers taking 53.6% of wickets at an economy rate of 8.94, while spinners account for 43.5% of dismissals at 7.66 runs per over.

Nottinghamshire’s home record at Trent Bridge since 2021 reads W16 L14 NR3 – a strong record that reflects their familiarity with local conditions. The ground favours openers, with top-order batters scoring most frequently. Leicestershire have visited just four times since 2021, winning once and losing twice, with one no-result.

Form and Table Position

Nottinghamshire – 3rd (P10 W7 L3, 28 pts)

Notts are in excellent form and firmly in the mix for the quarter-finals. They have won seven of their last ten matches and sit just four points behind Hampshire in 2nd. Their recent record shows consistency:

Leicestershire – 16th (P9 W3 L6, 12 pts)

Leicestershire are in deep trouble. With just three wins from nine matches and a net run rate of -1.427, they sit bottom of the table and face an uphill battle to reach the quarter-finals. Their away form has been particularly poor:

Head-to-Head Record

Nottinghamshire hold a commanding advantage in this fixture. From nine meetings, Notts have won five to Leicestershire’s three, with one no-result. The most recent clash came on 28 June at this very ground, where Nottinghamshire demolished Leicestershire by 74 runs – NOT 209/4, LEI 135/10. That performance underlines the gulf in class between these two sides right now.

Statz Projections and Match Outlook

The Statz projections heavily favour Nottinghamshire in this contest.

If Nottinghamshire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 166.5, match total of 317.8. Win probability – NOT 54.1%, LEI 43.9%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 142 to 191.

If Leicestershire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 160, match total of 311.3. Win probability – NOT 59.3%, LEI 38.7%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 128 to 189.

Both projected match totals sit below the Trent Bridge average of 329.2, suggesting the model rates Nottinghamshire’s bowling attack highly. Notts gain a significant edge if they bowl first, with their win probability jumping to 59.3%.

Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Beau Webster (Warwickshire) leads with 552 runs. George Munsey (Nottinghamshire) sits 2nd with 460 runs at an average of 46. Alex Lees (Durham) has 385 runs, Liam Livingstone (Lancashire) 379, and James Rew (Somerset) 372.

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Hasan Ali (Yorkshire) leads with 22 wickets. Mohammad Ali (Nottinghamshire) is 2nd with 19 wickets from 10 matches. Scott Currie (Hampshire) has 18, James Sales (Northamptonshire) 18, and Andrew Tye (Yorkshire) 17.

Nottinghamshire Season Leaders

Runs: George Munsey – 460 runs, avg 46, HS 88 | Tom Moores – 242 runs, avg 24.2, HS 75 | Jack Haynes – 235 runs, avg 23.5, HS 50

Wickets: Mohammad Ali – 19 wkts, avg 1.9 | George Linde – 10 wkts, avg 1.11 | Dillon Pennington – 8 wkts, avg 1.33

Leicestershire Season Leaders

Runs: Nick Kelly – 243 runs, avg 27, HS 61 | Ashton Turner – 212 runs, avg 23.56, HS 57 | Ben Cox – 187 runs, avg 20.78, HS 51

Wickets: Ben Green – 10 wkts, avg 1.11 | Liam Trevaskis – 9 wkts, avg 1 | Rehan Ahmed – 7 wkts, avg 1.75

Predicted Lineups

Nottinghamshire (based on XI vs Durham, 5 Jul 2026)

  1. Joe Clarke (c)
  2. George Munsey
  3. Jack Haynes
  4. Tom Moores (wk)
  5. George Linde
  6. Benny Howell
  7. Liam Patterson-White
  8. Freddie McCann
  9. Olly Stone
  10. Mohammad Amir
  11. Mohammad Ali

Leicestershire (based on XI vs Yorkshire, 5 Jul 2026)

  1. Stevie Eskinazi
  2. Rishi Patel
  3. Rehan Ahmed
  4. Nick Kelly
  5. Ashton Turner
  6. Ben Cox (wk)
  7. Ben Green (c)
  8. Liam Trevaskis
  9. Josh Hull
  10. Josh Davey
  11. Alex Green

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Key Players

George Munsey (Nottinghamshire)

The Scottish left-hander has been Nottinghamshire’s standout batter. With 460 runs at an average of 46 and a high score of 88, Munsey sits 2nd in the Orange Cap race. His consistency is remarkable – he has scored 20 or more runs in 80% of his matches this season. The Statz bet builder shows he is projected for 42.8 runs if Notts bat first, making him the most bankable batting option in this fixture.

Mohammad Ali (Nottinghamshire)

The competition’s 2nd-highest wicket-taker with 19 wickets from 10 matches. Mohammad Ali has been relentless – he has taken at least one wicket in every single match this season (100% hit rate). His last three returns of 3, 1 and 1 wickets show a bowler operating at peak efficiency. He is projected for 1.69 wickets in this fixture, making him an essential captaincy option.

Rehan Ahmed (Leicestershire)

The young all-rounder is Leicestershire’s brightest prospect. With 87 runs at an average of 21.75 and 7 wickets from just 4 matches, Rehan provides balance across both disciplines. He has scored 30 or more runs in 50% of his matches and taken a wicket in 75% of appearances. His leg-spin could be dangerous on a Balanced pitch if Leicestershire can build a competitive total.

Ben Green (Leicestershire)

Leicestershire’s captain and leading wicket-taker with 10 wickets from 9 matches. Green has taken at least one wicket in 77.8% of his matches and 2 or more in 77.8% of appearances. He is projected for 1.23 wickets in this fixture and represents Leicestershire’s best hope of restricting Nottinghamshire’s batting firepower.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: George Munsey (NOT) – Projected 84.4 fantasy points. The most consistent batter in this fixture with 80% hit rate for 20+ runs this season. His projected 42.8 runs make him the safest captain choice.

Vice Captain: Mohammad Ali (NOT) – Projected 81.6 fantasy points. 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket this season with 1.69 projected wickets in this match. As reliable as they come.

Also consider:

Conditions

Cloudy skies are forecast for Trent Bridge with temperatures around 21 degrees and humidity at 42%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 4.2 km/h from the west – ideal conditions for cricket throughout the evening.

Verdict

This is a mismatch on paper. Nottinghamshire are in superb form, sit 3rd in the table, and have demolished Leicestershire twice already this season. Leicestershire are bottom of the table with just three wins all season and a dreadful away record. The Statz projections back this up – Notts are favoured at 54-59% depending on who bats first.

The verdict is clear: Nottinghamshire to win at 56.7%. They have the quality, form, and home advantage to dispatch a struggling Leicestershire side. Munsey and Mohammad Ali will be the architects of victory.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time odds and hit rates on this fixture: