West Ham vs Wolves: Premier League Preview, Predictions and Bet Builder Tips
9th April 2026
Friday night in the Premier League and it’s the only top-flight game on the card. West Ham host Wolves at the London Stadium – two sides in the bottom half fighting for points. Stakes are real here. Full head to head stats on Statz here.
Form and Lineups
West Ham come in on D-L-W-D-L – only one win in the last five. Wolves are marginally better with D-L-W-W-D – back-to-back wins in there. Neither side is firing on all cylinders but Wolves’ momentum edge is notable.
West Ham line up in a 4-3-3. Tomas Soucek pulls the strings in midfield alongside Potts and Jesus. Up top, Jarrod Bowen and Castellanos supply the attacking threat. Wolves go with a 3-4-2-1 – a shape that’s been reliable defensively this season. Adam Armstrong leads the line, with Mateus Fernandes and Andre behind him in the second line.
Statz Projections
The Statz team projections favour West Ham at home – 1.68 goals projected to Wolves’ 1.03. The shots gap is notable too: West Ham 11.50 vs Wolves 8.13. A competitive, scrappy game is what the numbers suggest.
| Metric | West Ham | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 | 1.03 |
| Shots | 11.50 | 8.13 |
| Shots on Target | 3.65 | 2.75 |
| Corners | 4.03 | 3.07 |
| Fouls | 7.66 | 8.35 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.32 | 1.72 |
| Tackles | 11.46 | 10.54 |
Wolves projected marginally higher for fouls (8.35 vs 7.66) and yellow cards (1.72 vs 1.32) – exactly the kind of output that makes the bet builder legs below tick.
Referee: Jarred Gillett
Jarred Gillett is in charge, averaging 20 fouls per game and 3.72 yellow cards. Not the most card-happy referee in the league, but with two physical sides projected for a combined 16 fouls, the cards will come. The foul market is well-supported here.
Bet Builder Tips
The Statz Bet Builder Tool has four legs for this one at a combined 4.88 on Bet365. From the Statz bet builder data:
- Andre 2+ tackles – 100% hit rate in last 5, recording 2, 5, 2, 2, 2 tackles. The Wolves midfield engine. Available at 1.44 on Bet365.
- Adam Armstrong 1+ foul committed – 100% hit rate last 5, recording 1, 1, 1, 1, 2. A striker who works hard and fouls often. Available at 1.30 on Bet365.
- Mateus Fernandes 3+ tackles – 80% hit rate last 5, recording 5, 3, 3, 4, 1 tackles. When he hits, he hits big. Available at 1.44 on Bet365.
- Axel Disasi 1+ foul committed – 80% hit rate last 5, recording 2, 1, 1, 0, 3 fouls. West Ham’s defender operating in a game the model sees as competitive. Available at 1.80 on Bet365.
Combined: 4.88 – Build on Bet365. Always check the live price before placing.
The Angle
This is the Premier League’s Friday night sole offering and it delivers on the bet builder front. Andre and Armstrong both hit 100% for their respective legs over the last five – that’s the anchor of this builder. Add in Fernandes’ tackle output and you have a compact four-legger rooted in real patterns. West Ham at home are the slight favourites per the model at 1.68 goals, but it’s tight enough that the match result market isn’t where the value sits. Stick to the player stats. Check the Premier League projections on Statz for any last-minute changes before kick-off.