Sweden vs Portugal 2nd T20I Preview 2026 | Statz

30th June 2026

The second T20I of the Sweden vs Portugal double-header gets underway at the Botkyrka Cricket Center at 17:30 IST (13:00 BST) on 1 July 2026. With the first match earlier in the day, both teams will have fresh intel on conditions and each other’s personnel. Portugal sit 40th in the ICC T20I rankings, while Sweden are unranked but have been in sharp form at home. Full stats and projections are on the Sweden vs Portugal 2nd T20I match page on Statz.

The Venue

Same ground, different session. The Botkyrka Cricket Center has produced an average first innings score of 136.1 across 16 T20s since August 2025, with bat-first sides winning only 38% of the time. Pace bowlers dominate – 81.6% of wickets have fallen to seamers at an economy of 6.94. The pitch is tagged bowler friendly and the afternoon session could see slightly different conditions compared to the morning match. The highest total recorded here is 179, and the lowest is 86 – wide variance for associate cricket.

Form

Sweden will have the first match under their belt by this point. Their recent form reads W, W, L, W, L from their last five T20Is. They have averaged 131.8 runs per innings across four matches this season with an average of 8.8 wickets taken per game – solid numbers for associate level.

Portugal will also have the benefit of the first match to shake off any rust from their extended break since April 2025. Their last series against Norway saw them win two of three, highlighted by a powerful 189/8 in the opener.

Head-to-Head

If the morning match goes ahead as planned, this will be the second ever T20I between Sweden and Portugal. There is no historical head-to-head data in Statz prior to this double-header. Sweden have played eight T20Is at the Botkyrka Cricket Center (W4 L4), while Portugal have never visited this venue before today.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections for the second match are fractionally more favourable to Sweden. In the batting-first scenario, Sweden are given a 50.4% win probability against Portugal’s 47.6%. The projected first innings total is 138.2 – marginally above the venue average of 136.1 – with a match total of 264.4 (P10: 225, P90: 302).

If Portugal bat first, Sweden’s advantage grows to 54.5% vs 43.5%. The projected first innings total in that scenario is 135.6, with a match total of 262.3 (P10: 218, P90: 303). The tight margins across scenarios underline how evenly matched these sides are on paper.

T20I Season Leaders

Top run-scorers (T20Is 2026):

  1. Karanbir Singh – 591 runs (12 inn)
  2. Shimron Hetmyer – 318 runs (9 inn)
  3. Musaddiq Ahmed – 277 runs (5 inn)
  4. Luka Woods – 272 runs (4 inn)
  5. Hamid Shah – 271 runs (7 inn)

Top wicket-takers (T20Is 2026):

  1. Amjad Sher – 16 wkts (8 inn)
  2. Bilal Zalmai – 15 wkts (12 inn)
  3. Shahid Afridi – 15 wkts (9 inn)
  4. Matthew Humphreys – 14 wkts (7 inn)
  5. Shamar Joseph – 13 wkts (6 inn)

Sweden season leaders: Ajay Mundra tops the runs with 97 at 24.25 (HS 62), while Saeed Ahmed has 84 at 28.00 (HS 36). The bowling is led by Naser Baluch and Samiullah Rahmani, both with 8 wickets in 4 matches (best 3-wicket hauls).

Portugal season leaders: No T20I matches played this season. Season data will update after the first match of this double-header.

Predicted XIs

Sweden (based on XI vs Finland, 14 Jun 2026):
Imal Zuwak (c), Ajay Mundra (wk), Saeed Ahmed, Wynand Boshoff, Yatharth Chauhan, Zaid Ahmad, Samiullah Rahmani, Naser Baluch, Awais Ahmad, Advait Dhabe, Zabiullah Zahid

Portugal (based on XI vs Norway, 09 Apr 2025):
Najam Shahzad (c), Miguel Machado (wk), Conrad Greenshields, Amandeep Singh, Sherman Vaz, Dhavalkumar Norotam, Jalpesh Vijay, Md Siraj Nipo, Upen Shantu, Rahulkumar Hashu, Juan Henri

Note: Both sides may rotate for the second match. Portugal’s XI is based on their April 2025 squad – expect changes. Check the fixture page for toss and confirmed lineups.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Samiullah Rahmani – projected 124.9 Dream11 points. The Sweden all-rounder combines genuine pace bowling (projected 1.64 wickets) with explosive lower-order batting (projected 20.5 runs at a strike rate of 161). His 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket and 75% for 2+ wickets this season makes him the standout pick again.

Vice Captain: Naser Baluch – projected 100 Dream11 points. The left-arm seamer continues to project as Sweden’s most prolific wicket-taker with 1.94 projected wickets. Eight wickets in four matches at a 75% hit rate for 2+ wickets backs the selection.

Other picks to consider:

Key Players

Samiullah Rahmani (SWE) – If Rahmani delivers in the morning match, expect him to come into the afternoon game brimming with confidence. Eight wickets at 2.0 per match this season, projected for 1.64 wickets, and a 75% hit rate for 2+ wickets. His batting strike rate projection of 161 at No. 7 adds serious value.

Naser Baluch (SWE) – Sweden’s other leading wicket-taker with 8 from 4 matches. His left-arm seam gives Sweden variety and his 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket per game is remarkable for associate level. Projected for 1.94 wickets in this match.

Advait Dhabe (SWE) – The bowler has claimed 7 wickets in 4 matches with a best of 4. His 100% hit rate for taking at least one wicket per match and projected 1.75 wickets give him real bet builder appeal.

Saeed Ahmed (SWE) – Sweden’s most consistent bat. Scores of 13, 35 and 36 in his last three innings give him a 66.7% hit rate for both 20+ and 30+ runs. If he finds form early in the first match, the second could be even more productive.

Conditions

Weather data is unavailable for this venue. The afternoon session in Stockholm should offer warm conditions for early July. The pitch may slow slightly after the morning match, potentially giving spinners more purchase. Check closer to match time for updates.

Verdict and Betting Angles

The second match of a double-header often produces surprises. Fatigue, rotation, and the momentum from the first game all play a part. Statz projections have Sweden at 50.4% in the batting-first scenario – marginally stronger than the first match at 48.7% – and 54.5% if Portugal bat first.

Betting odds are not yet available. When they drop, Sweden should again be marginal favourites. The critical question is whether Portugal can shake off 14 months without a T20I and compete across two matches in one day.

Bet builder angles (check the Statz Bet Builder for live odds):

Verdict: Sweden to win. Home advantage, match sharpness from the morning game, and a bowling attack that simply does not stop taking wickets. Portugal have the talent to spring a surprise, but two wins in one day on Swedish soil is a big ask after 14 months away from T20I cricket.