Sweden vs Norway Preview – T20I 2026 | Statz
10th June 2026
Sweden host Norway in a standalone T20 International on Wednesday 11 June, with the first ball at 14:00 IST (09:30 BST). Norway edged the only previous meeting between these two and arrive as narrow favourites in the Statz Cricket projections, but Sweden will fancy their chances on home turf after a mixed run of form from both sides.
The Venue
No venue has been assigned to this fixture yet – check the Statz Cricket fixture page closer to the match for confirmation. With no ground data available, conditions remain TBC.
Form and Table
Neither side walks in brimming with confidence. This is a standalone bilateral T20I so there are no standings to worry about – it is all about pride and momentum.
Sweden – Last 5 T20Is
- L vs France – 152/7 vs 153/8
- L vs Norway – 156/10 vs 179/4
- L vs Austria – 136/10 vs 139/6
- W vs France – 162/7 vs 128/8
- W vs Finland – 146/4 vs 145/7
Two wins, three losses. Sweden’s batting has been inconsistent – capable of posting 162 one day and folding for 136 the next. The bowling unit leaked 179 against Norway in August 2025, which will concern the think tank heading into this rematch.
Norway – Last 5 T20Is
- L vs Austria – 105/10 vs 106/2
- W vs Sweden – 179/4 vs 156/10
- W vs France – 138/5 vs 116/7
- L vs Austria – 87/10 vs 92/6
- L vs Portugal – 135/9 vs 189/8
Also two wins from five. Norway’s ceiling is high – 179/4 against Sweden showed real firepower – but the 87 and 105 all out against Austria expose a fragile lower order when conditions tighten up.
Head-to-Head
One meeting since 2025 in Statz data. Norway won by 23 runs at Botkyrka Cricket Center on 9 August 2025 – posting 179/4 before bowling Sweden out for 156. Walid Ghauri was the architect of that chase with 76 runs including 9 fours and 3 sixes. Norway lead the H2H 1-0.
Statz Projections
The Statz Cricket model gives Norway a 52.8% win probability against Sweden’s 45.2%. It is a tight split – this is close to a coin flip on paper.
Projected first innings total sits at 155.7 with a match total of 301.4. The P10/P90 range on the first innings runs from 131 to 180, while the match total spans 259 to 341 – a wide band that reflects the low model confidence of 0.33. Expect variance.
Competition Season Leaders
Orange Cap – T20I 2026 Top Run Scorers
- Karanbir Singh (AUT) – 278 runs
- Musaddiq Ahmed (DEU) – 277 runs
- Suryakumar Yadav (IND) – 242 runs
- Shimron Hetmyer (WI) – 233 runs
- Kieron Ferrary (JER) – 222 runs
Purple Cap – T20I 2026 Top Wicket Takers
- Keshav Maharaj (SA) – 12 wickets
- Shahid Afridi (DEU) – 11 wickets
- Mitchell Santner (NZ) – 10 wickets
- Ben Sears (NZ) – 10 wickets
- Matthew Humphreys (SCO) – 10 wickets
No Sweden or Norway players feature in the global season leaders – both sides will be looking to make their mark in this fixture.
Predicted XIs
Based on the most recent XIs from 10 August 2025 matches. Always check the Statz Cricket fixture page for confirmed squads closer to the toss.
Sweden Predicted XI
Imal Zuwak (c, wk), Awais Ahmad, Ajay Mundra (wk), Hamid Mahmood, Sanuk Gedara, Samarth Shetty, Ihsanullah Wafa, Samiullah Rahmani, Khalid Zahid, Abdul Naser Baluch, Aritra Bhakat
Norway Predicted XI
Khizer Ahmed (c, wk), Walid Ghauri, Qamar Mushtaque, Faisal Raza, Muhammad Butt, Vishal Sharma, Ibrahim Rahimi, Ahmadullah Shinwari, Vinay Ravi, Adnan Shinwari, Kuruge Abeyrathna
Dream11 Tips
Norway’s bowling stocks dominate the projected points chart for this fixture.
Captain: Muhammad Butt (NOR) – 91.8 projected points, 1.69 projected wickets. The standout pick.
Vice-Captain: Qamar Mushtaque (NOR) – 89.7 projected points, 1.13 projected wickets. Strong secondary option from the same attack.
Must-haves:
- Samiullah Rahmani (SWE) – 86 projected points, 0.7 projected wickets
- Ihsanullah Wafa (SWE) – 79.7 projected points, all-rounder value
- Abdul Naser Baluch (SWE) – 73.2 projected points, 1.27 projected wickets
Key Players
Walid Ghauri (Norway)
The top scorer in the only previous meeting between these teams. Ghauri smashed 76 off the Swedish attack with 9 fours and 3 sixes at Botkyrka. Sweden will need a plan for him early in the powerplay or risk a repeat performance.
Muhammad Butt (Norway)
Butt tops the Statz projections for this match with 91.8 Dream11 points and 1.69 projected wickets. Norway’s primary wicket threat – if Sweden’s middle order wobbles again, he will be the one applying pressure.
Ihsanullah Wafa (Sweden)
Sweden’s most reliable all-round contributor. Wafa scored 32 and took a catch in the last meeting with Norway, and his projected 79.7 Dream11 points reflect his dual value with bat and ball. Sweden need him firing on both fronts.
Samiullah Rahmani (Sweden)
Rahmani chipped in with 29 runs and a wicket in the August 2025 loss to Norway. Projected at 86 Dream11 points here – the third-highest in the match. He could be Sweden’s X-factor with the ball if the pitch offers any turn.
Conditions
No weather data or venue details are available for this match at the time of writing. Check back on the fixture page closer to the start for updated conditions.
Verdict
Norway are slight favourites and the data backs them. A 52.8% win probability, a 1-0 H2H lead, and the stronger projected bowling attack through Muhammad Butt and Qamar Mushtaque all point their way. But the margin is thin – Sweden’s all-round depth through Ihsanullah Wafa and Samiullah Rahmani keeps this competitive, and both teams have looked equally vulnerable in recent form.
The low model confidence of 0.33 tells you everything – this is a genuine 50-50 fixture with Norway getting the nod on balance. Back Norway to edge it, but look for value in the player markets where the projections are clearest. Build your picks on the Statz Cricket Bet Builder.