Sussex vs Kent Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

6th June 2026

Sussex host Kent in the T20 Blast 2026 on Saturday 7 June at 19:00 IST (14:30 BST). Sussex sit 15th in the table with just one win from five matches, while Kent are well placed in 5th with three wins from four. This is a local derby with plenty of recent history – and the return fixture from their meeting less than two weeks ago. Full match page on Statz.

The Venue

The venue for this fixture has not been confirmed on our data feed. Sussex’s home ground is the County Ground, Hove – one of the most entertaining T20 grounds in the country. We’ll update venue-specific data once confirmed. Check the fixture page for the latest.

Form and Table

Sussex – 15th, P5 W1 L4, 4pts

Sussex are in freefall. Four consecutive defeats have left them second from bottom, and the manner of those losses tells its own story.

Last 5:

Getting bowled out in three of those four defeats is a real concern. The batting has produced runs – 178.8 runs per match on average this season – but they’ve been leaking 191.2 on average in return. The bowling simply hasn’t been good enough.

Kent – 5th, P4 W3 L1, 12pts

Kent have been clinical. Three wins from four, including that comfortable chase against Sussex at St Lawrence Ground two weeks ago.

Last 5:

Table – Top 4

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Hampshire 6 5 1 20
2 Northamptonshire 4 4 0 16
3 Yorkshire 5 4 1 16
4 Worcestershire 5 4 1 16

Kent (5th, 12pts) have a game in hand on most of the top four. Sussex (15th, 4pts) have 9 matches remaining to rescue their campaign – but need to start winning now. Kent have 10 matches left.

Head-to-Head

9 meetings since 2022 (Statz data). Sussex lead 5-4 overall.

The most recent meeting was on 25 May 2026 at St Lawrence Ground, where Kent chased down Sussex’s 197/6 with seven wickets to spare (199/3 in 18.2 overs). Kent have won the last two encounters.

At the County Ground (Hove), the record is split 2-2 from the four meetings in our dataset. It’s been a tight rivalry regardless of venue.

Statz Projections

In a batting-first scenario for Sussex, Statz projections give the hosts a 51.9% win probability against Kent’s 46.1% (2% tie/no result).

If Kent bat first, Sussex’s win probability barely shifts – 51.0% vs 47.0% – suggesting this is a genuine coin-flip fixture regardless of the toss. Kent’s projected first innings in that scenario is 164.6 (P10: 137, P90: 192).

The model gives this 0.7 confidence, and the projected totals suggest a high-scoring affair.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run Scorers

Player Runs Innings
Martin Andersson 237 5
Jonny Bairstow 211 5
Chris Lynn 207 4
Kiran Carlson 203 5
Matthew Montgomery 199 5

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket Takers

Player Wickets Innings
Scott Currie 12 6
Duan Jansen 12 5
James Sales 11 4
Reece Topley 10 6
Chris Wood 10 6

Sussex Season Leaders

Runs: Daniel Hughes 140 runs (avg 28, HS 44) | Tom Clark 122 (avg 40.67, HS 79) | James Coles 113 (avg 28.25, HS 50) | Harrison Ward 109 (avg 54.5, HS 69) | John Simpson 105 (avg 21, HS 63)

Wickets: Tymal Mills 7 wkts (avg 1.4/match, best 3) | Danny Briggs 5 wkts (avg 1/match, best 1) | James Coles 3 wkts (avg 0.75/match, best 2)

Kent Season Leaders

Runs: Sam Billings 162 runs (avg 40.5, HS 84) | Zak Crawley 120 (avg 30, HS 75) | Daniel Bell-Drummond 75 (avg 18.75, HS 29) | Dian Forrester 69 (avg 23, HS 35) | Harry Finch 65 (avg 65, HS 65)

Wickets: Thomas Stewart Rogers 5 wkts (avg 1.67/match, best 4) | Jake Lintott 5 wkts (avg 1.25/match, best 3) | Matt Milnes 4 wkts (avg 1/match, best 2)

Predicted XIs

Sussex (based on vs Leicestershire, 05 Jun 2026)

  1. Daniel Hughes
  2. Harrison Ward
  3. John Simpson (wk)
  4. Jack Leaning
  5. Tom Alsop
  6. Oliver Carter
  7. Danny Lamb
  8. Tom Price
  9. Danny Briggs
  10. Tymal Mills (c)
  11. Sean Hunt

Kent (based on vs Surrey, 31 May 2026)

  1. Harry Finch
  2. Daniel Bell-Drummond
  3. Zak Crawley
  4. Sam Billings (c, wk)
  5. Joe Denly
  6. Chris Benjamin
  7. Dian Forrester
  8. Matt Milnes
  9. Jake Lintott
  10. Keith Dudgeon
  11. Frederick Klaassen

Note: These are predicted XIs based on the most recent match. Always check the Statz fixture page after the toss for confirmed lineups.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on Statz projected Dream11 points for players in the most recent XI:

Captain: Keith Dudgeon (KEN) – projected 81.8 Dream11 points (averaged across scenarios). The Kent seamer has been producing with both bat and ball, and projects for a strong all-round contribution.

Vice Captain: Danny Briggs (SUS) – projected 78.9 Dream11 points. The experienced left-arm spinner has taken a wicket in every match this season (100% hit rate for 1+ wickets) and chips in with useful lower-order runs.

Also consider:

Key Players

Daniel Hughes (Sussex)

Sussex’s most consistent run-scorer this season with 140 runs from 5 innings. Hughes has scored 20+ runs in 80% of his T20 Blast innings this season – the highest hit rate of any batter in this fixture. He’s the anchor Sussex need at the top of the order, and his left-hand bat adds variety against Kent’s seam-heavy attack.

Sam Billings (Kent)

Kent’s captain and leading run-scorer with 162 runs at an average of 40.5 this season (HS 84). Billings has scored 20+ in 75% of his innings and 30+ in 50%. He scored 28 against Sussex in their last meeting and has the experience and match awareness to anchor Kent’s chase or set a total. A proven performer in county T20 cricket.

Tymal Mills (Sussex)

Sussex’s captain and leading wicket-taker with 7 wickets from 5 matches, including figures of 3 and 2 in his last two outings. Mills has taken 2+ wickets in 60% of his matches this season. His left-arm pace at the death is always a threat, and he’ll be desperate to lead from the front as Sussex try to arrest their slide.

Danny Briggs (Sussex)

The veteran left-arm spinner has been remarkably consistent – taking at least one wicket in 100% of his matches this season (5 wickets from 5 games). Projected for 78.9 Dream11 points, Briggs offers the kind of reliability that makes him a bet builder favourite. His economy in the middle overs will be crucial against Kent’s aggressive middle order.

Conditions

Weather data is currently unavailable for this fixture as the venue coordinates are not confirmed. Check the fixture page closer to match time for updated conditions.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Despite Sussex’s dismal form, the Statz model makes this a near coin-flip – 51.9% vs 46.1% in Sussex’s favour if they bat first. The market disagrees, with Ladbrokes pricing Kent at 1.57 and Sussex at 2.37. That’s a significant gap between model and market, and it creates value on Sussex at home.

That said, Kent have won both recent meetings and look the more settled side. Their bowling attack – led by Frederick Klaassen, Keith Dudgeon and Matt Milnes – has been disciplined, while Sussex keep getting bowled out. Kent’s batting depth with Billings, Crawley and Bell-Drummond looks stronger.

Verdict: Kent to win, but the odds already reflect that. The value play is to look at player props rather than the match result.

Betting angles via Statz Bet Builder:

Build your own combinations on the Statz Bet Builder.

Live odds: Ladbrokes – Sussex 2.37, Kent 1.57 | Coral – Sussex 2.37, Kent 1.57 | Dafabet – Sussex 2.34, Kent 1.60 | Midnite – Sussex 2.25, Kent 1.57