SOM vs WAR Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz
6th June 2026
Somerset host Warwickshire in the T20 Blast 2026 at The Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton on Sunday 7 June. First ball is at 20:00 IST (15:30 BST). Somerset sit 13th on 8 points (P5 W2 L3) and need to start stringing wins together, while Warwickshire are rock bottom in 18th with zero points from five matches. It has been a brutal start for the Bears – five defeats in five – and a trip to Taunton is unlikely to offer much relief. Full match data and projections are available on the Statz fixture page.
The Venue
The Cooper Associates County Ground is tagged as a batting paradise by Statz. Across the last 30 T20s here (since June 2022), the average first-innings score is 188.4 and the bat-first side has won 53% of decided matches. Pace dominates the wickets column at 78.6%, but spin is marginally more economical (9.49 economy vs 9.30 for pace). The most recent game at this ground saw Glamorgan chase down 203 against Somerset on 4 June 2026, underlining just how flat this surface plays. Expect big totals.
Form and Table
Somerset (13th – P5 W2 L3, 8 pts) have hit a rough patch with three straight defeats. Their last five results:
- vs Gloucestershire (A) – L: SOM 137/8 vs GLO 138/3
- vs Glamorgan (H) – L: SOM 202/6 vs GLA 203/6
- vs Glamorgan (A) – L: SOM 171/9 vs GLA 175/3
- vs Warwickshire (A) – W: SOM 193/3 vs WAR 189/5
- vs Hampshire (H) – W: SOM 160/3 vs HAM 158/10
Warwickshire (18th – P5 W0 L5, 0 pts) are winless and last in the competition. Their last five:
- vs Nottinghamshire (A) – L: WAR 139/10 vs NOT 143/7
- vs Northamptonshire (H) – L: WAR 208/7 vs NOR 209/4
- vs Worcestershire (A) – L: WAR 141/10 vs WOR 142/4
- vs Somerset (H) – L: WAR 189/5 vs SOM 193/3
- vs Gloucestershire (A) – L: WAR 74/10 vs GLO 121/10
Top 4 in T20 Blast 2026:
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hampshire | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 | Northamptonshire | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 3 | Lancashire | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | Gloucestershire | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
Both sides have nine group matches remaining. Somerset need to turn things around quickly to stay in contention for the knockout stages, while Warwickshire are already staring at an early exit.
Head-to-Head
2 meetings since 2025 (Statz data) – Somerset have won both.
- Last meeting: 24 May 2026 at Edgbaston – WAR 189/5 vs SOM 193/3. Somerset won by 7 wickets with 10 balls remaining.
- 06 Sep 2025 at Taunton – WAR 190/6 vs SOM 191/6. Somerset won by 4 wickets with 1 ball remaining.
At The Cooper Associates County Ground, Somerset have a dominant record of 24 wins from 32 T20s since 2021. Warwickshire have played just once here in that period and lost.
Statz Projections
In the batting-first scenario (Somerset bat first), Statz projects a 56.4% win probability for Somerset and 41.6% for Warwickshire.
- Projected 1st innings total: 196.8 – well above the ground average of 188.4
- Projected match total: 375.8 – significantly above the venue average of 354.7
- P10 (floor): 167 first innings / 322 match total
- P90 (ceiling): 227 first innings / 426 match total
If Warwickshire bat first, Somerset’s win probability climbs to 60%, with a projected first innings of 189.3 and match total of 368.2. Either way, the model heavily favours the home side.
Competition Season Leaders
Orange Cap – Top 5 Run Scorers (T20 Blast 2026):
- Martin Andersson (Middlesex) – 237 runs in 5 innings
- Jonny Bairstow (Lancashire) – 211 runs in 5 innings
- Chris Lynn (Northamptonshire) – 207 runs in 4 innings
- Kiran Carlson (Glamorgan) – 203 runs in 5 innings
- Matthew Montgomery (Middlesex) – 199 runs in 5 innings
Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket Takers (T20 Blast 2026):
- Scott Currie (Hampshire) – 12 wickets in 6 innings
- Duan Jansen (Gloucestershire) – 12 wickets in 5 innings
- James Sales (Northamptonshire) – 11 wickets in 4 innings
- Reece Topley (Sussex) – 10 wickets in 6 innings
- Chris Wood (Hampshire) – 10 wickets in 6 innings
Somerset Season Leaders:
- Runs: Tom Banton – 175 runs, avg 35.0, HS 59 | James Rew – 162 runs, avg 54.0, HS 93
- Wickets: Craig Overton – 7 wkts in 5 matches, best 3 | Daniel Sams – 6 wkts, best 2 | Jake Ball – 6 wkts, best 3
Warwickshire Season Leaders:
- Runs: Beau Webster – 176 runs, avg 35.2, HS 97 | Robert Yates – 124 runs, avg 24.8, HS 45
- Wickets: Usman Tariq – 6 wkts in 5 matches, best 2 | Chris Woakes – 4 wkts, best 2
Predicted XIs
Based on most recent match on 05 Jun 2026. Somerset XI vs Gloucestershire; Warwickshire XI vs Nottinghamshire. Check the Statz fixture page after the toss for confirmed lineups.
Somerset: Tom Banton (wk), Joshua Thomas, Jordan Hermann, Tom Abell, Thomas Rew, Lewis Gregory (c), Daniel Sams, Craig Overton, Lewis Goldsworthy, Josh Shaw, Jake Ball
Warwickshire: Robert Yates, Alex Davies, Dan Mousley, Zen Malik, Beau Webster, Ed Barnard (c), Kai Smith (wk), Jordan Thompson, Chris Woakes, Richard Gleeson, Usman Tariq
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Captain: Beau Webster – Projected 99.5 Dream11 points (avg across scenarios). The Australian all-rounder is Warwickshire’s top run-scorer this season with 176 runs at 35.2 and chips in with useful off-spin. On a batting paradise at Taunton, he is the standout fantasy pick.
Vice Captain: Jordan Thompson – Projected 87.6 Dream11 points. The all-rounder offers value with both bat and ball, projected for 15 runs and 1.32 wickets per match scenario.
Also consider:
- Daniel Sams – 87.5 projected D11 pts
- Lewis Gregory – 82.1 projected D11 pts
- Jake Ball – 80.0 projected D11 pts
Key Players
Tom Banton (Somerset) – Somerset’s leading run-scorer this season with 175 runs at 35.0. His 20+ runs hit rate is 80% and his 30+ runs hit rate is also 80% this season. On a Taunton batting paradise, Banton is primed for another big contribution at the top of the order.
Beau Webster (Warwickshire) – The Australian has been the one bright spot for the Bears, scoring 176 runs at 35.2 including a stunning 97. His 20+ runs hit rate is 60% this season, and he offers handy off-spin. If Warwickshire are to compete here, Webster needs to fire.
Craig Overton (Somerset) – Seven wickets in five matches at an 80% hit rate for 1+ wicket this season. Overton brings pace and bounce that has troubled batters consistently in this campaign. A strong bet builder option.
Usman Tariq (Warwickshire) – The off-spinner has taken a wicket in all five of his T20 Blast innings this season – a 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket. Even on a batting-friendly surface, Tariq finds ways to pick up scalps and is a reliable prop bet selection.
Conditions
Weather forecast data is not yet available for this fixture. Taunton in early June typically offers dry, mild conditions suitable for a full match. Check closer to the start for updates.
Verdict and Betting Angles
The pick: Somerset to win.
Warwickshire are 0-5 and have looked fragile away from home, getting bowled out for 74 against Gloucestershire and 139 against Nottinghamshire. Somerset have their own problems with three straight losses, but they are at home on a ground where they have won 24 of 32 T20s since 2021, and the Statz model gives them a 56-60% win probability depending on the toss scenario. The Bears have also lost both previous meetings between these sides.
Live odds: Somerset are 1.62 (Midnite) to 1.80 (Ladbrokes/Coral). Warwickshire are available at 2.10 (Ladbrokes/Coral) to 2.24 (Dafabet). Bet365 odds are not yet available for this fixture.
Bet builder angles – build your own on the Statz Bet Builder:
- Tom Banton 20+ runs – 80% hit rate this season (4 of 5 innings). On a batting paradise at Taunton, this is the best-backed prop in the match.
- Craig Overton 1+ wicket – 80% hit rate (4 of 5). Somerset’s leading wicket-taker has been consistently among the wickets this season.
- Usman Tariq 1+ wicket – 100% hit rate (5 of 5). The most reliable wicket-taking prop available – he has delivered in every single match this season.
- Zen Malik over 17.5 runs – Statz model edge of +10.0% at 1.83 (Ladbrokes). The young Warwickshire opener is projected for 25-27 runs.