Surrey vs Hampshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

4th June 2026

Surrey vs Hampshire – T20 Blast 2026

Surrey host Hampshire in the T20 Blast 2026 on Thursday 5 June at 23:00 IST (18:30 BST). Hampshire arrive in blistering form sitting 2nd on 16 points from five matches, while Surrey are down in 7th with 8 points from four. A big gap on paper – but the Statz projections tell a different story entirely.

Full fixture breakdown, projections and predicted XIs available on the Statz match page.

The Venue

Venue details are currently TBC for this fixture. Surrey’s home ground is The Oval (Kennington Oval) in south London, and head-to-head data confirms previous home meetings between these sides have been played there. Expect a true batting surface if that’s where this one lands – Surrey posted 228/4 against Hampshire at The Oval back in 2022.

Form and Table

Surrey (7th – P4 W2 L2, 8 pts) have been inconsistent so far. They bounced back with a convincing win over Middlesex last time out, chasing down 130 in just 14.1 overs, but were bowled out for 116 against Kent before that. The 213/6 they posted against Lancashire on 22 May shows the firepower is there when it clicks.

Last 5: W vs MID (134/2 chasing 130), L vs KEN (116 all out vs 118/2), L vs HAM (174/8 vs 177/5), W vs MID (144/4 chasing 144), W vs LAN (213/6 vs 154 all out).

Hampshire (2nd – P5 W4 L1, 16 pts) are on a serious run. Four wins on the bounce since their only defeat against Somerset on 22 May. They chased 175 against Surrey with five wickets in hand, posted 200/4 against Essex, and dismantled Middlesex and Sussex comfortably. Genuine title contenders.

Last 5: W vs SUS (173/6 vs 144 all out), W vs MID (130/2 chasing 127), W vs SUR (177/5 chasing 175), W vs ESS (200/4 vs 170/7), L vs SOM (158 all out vs 160/3).

Top 4 in the table:

  1. Northamptonshire – P4 W4 L0, 16 pts
  2. Hampshire – P5 W4 L1, 16 pts
  3. Gloucestershire – P4 W3 L1, 12 pts
  4. Essex – P4 W3 L1, 12 pts

Head-to-Head

These two have met nine times since 2022 in Statz data, and Surrey hold a clear 6-3 advantage overall. The most recent meeting was just last week – Hampshire won by 5 wickets at The Rose Bowl on 29 May, chasing down Surrey’s 174/8 with 177/5 in 19.1 overs.

But zoom out and Surrey have dominated this fixture. They won five of the six meetings between June 2022 and July 2024, including a 72-run demolition at The Oval (228/4 vs 156 all out) and a 69-run win at The Rose Bowl in 2025. Hampshire’s three wins have all come at home or via D/L – Surrey have been strong in this matchup when hosting at The Oval.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections firmly back Surrey regardless of which side bats first.

If Surrey bat first: Surrey 57.7%, Hampshire 40.3%. Projected 1st innings total of 169.5 (P10: 146, P90: 194). Match total 324.1.

If Hampshire bat first: Surrey 58.2%, Hampshire 39.8%. Projected 1st innings total of 162.2 (P10: 132, P90: 190). Match total 317.0.

Surrey come out as strong favourites at around 58% in both scenarios – a significant edge over Hampshire’s league position. The model clearly rates Surrey’s squad quality and home advantage higher than Hampshire’s current run of form would suggest.

Competition Season Leaders

Sam Curran leads Surrey’s run-scoring charts with 162 runs across five innings at an average of 32.4 – underlining his value as an all-rounder in this format. With the ball, Reece Topley has been Surrey’s standout wicket-taker with 8 wickets in five innings this campaign.

For Hampshire, Liam Dawson leads the run-scoring with 136 runs in five innings at 27.2. The bowling has been spearheaded by Scott Currie, who has taken 10 wickets in five innings – the joint-most in the competition so far.

Predicted XIs

Surrey predicted XI: Jason Roy, Will Jacks, Ollie Pope, Sam Curran, Daniel Lawrence, Laurie Evans, Adam Thomas, Tom Curran, Jordan Clark, Sean Abbott, Reece Topley.

Hampshire predicted XI: James Vince, Toby Albert, Joe Weatherley, Tom Prest, Liam Dawson, Tristan Stubbs, Hilton Cartwright, James Fuller, Scott Currie, Manny Lumsden, Chris Wood.

Surrey’s lineup is packed with international quality. Roy and Jacks at the top is a destructive opening pair, Pope adds class at three, and the Curran brothers provide all-round firepower. Hampshire counter with Vince’s experience, Stubbs’ explosiveness, and Dawson’s spin – but the depth favours the home side.

Dream11 Tips

Captain: Sam Curran – projected 95.7 Dream11 points. The Surrey all-rounder is projected for 27.9 runs and 0.78 wickets, offering points with both bat and ball. He’s been the standout performer for Surrey this season with 162 runs already in the bag.

Vice-Captain: Will Jacks – projected 89.8 Dream11 points. Projected 26.0 runs and 0.69 wickets. Jacks offers rare dual-threat value as a top-order batter who can chip in with useful off-spin.

Also pick:

Key Players

Tristan Stubbs (Hampshire) has been in superb touch. The South African has hit 30+ runs in 75% of his last 5 T20 Blast innings – a remarkable consistency rate for a middle-order hitter. Hampshire will need his power if they are to overcome the Statz projections.

Reece Topley (Surrey) has taken at least one wicket in 100% of his last 5 innings this season. The tall left-armer has been virtually guaranteed to strike, and his 60% rate for 2+ wickets makes him a serious threat with the new ball and at the death.

Scott Currie (Hampshire) matches Topley’s consistency – 1+ wickets in 100% of his last 5 innings and 2+ wickets in 60%. With 10 scalps this tournament, the 23-year-old seamer has been Hampshire’s most reliable wicket-taking option.

Sam Curran (Surrey) has scored 20+ runs in 60% of his last 5 innings while leading the team’s run charts. His all-round value – batting in the top four and bowling at the death – makes him the most influential player in this fixture.

Conditions

Weather and pitch conditions are currently TBC for this fixture. Check back closer to the match for updated conditions on the Statz match page.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Hampshire may be flying in the table, but the Statz model makes Surrey clear favourites at around 58% across both batting scenarios. The head-to-head backs that up – Surrey have won 6 of 9 meetings since 2022 and have historically been dominant in this fixture at The Oval.

The odds reflect this: Ladbrokes have Surrey at 1.67 (Hampshire 2.20) and Dafabet price Surrey at 1.71 (Hampshire 2.14). There’s value in the home win given the projections.

Bet builder angles via the Statz Bet Builder:

Surrey to win with Topley and Currie both taking 1+ wickets looks a strong combination from the data.