Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

4th June 2026

Two sides desperate for wins meet in T20 Blast 2026 on Thursday as Nottinghamshire host Warwickshire. Notts sit 16th with 4 points from four matches while Warwickshire prop up the table in 18th – still winless after four games. Both teams need something from this one, and fast. First ball at 23:00 IST (18:30 BST) – full fixture details on the Statz match page.

The Venue

Venue data is currently unavailable on Statz for this fixture. Nottinghamshire’s home ground is Trent Bridge, and head-to-head records confirm previous meetings here have taken place at the ground. Expect it to be Trent Bridge again – a venue that has historically produced high-scoring T20 encounters. Conditions TBC closer to match day.

Form and Table

Nottinghamshire

16th in the table – played 4, won 1, lost 3. Notts got off to a rough start but showed signs of life with a win over Durham on 31 May, chasing down 157 in 17.2 overs at home (157/4). Before that, defeats to Derbyshire (211/6 chasing 234/4), Lancashire (169/9 chasing 208/4) and Yorkshire (167/7 defending, chased in 16.3 overs) painted a bleak picture. One win from four is not where they want to be.

Warwickshire

Dead last. 18th, played 4, won 0, lost 4. It has been a brutal start for the Bears. Their best effort came against Northamptonshire on 31 May – posting 208/7 only to see it chased down in 19.2 overs. Before that, all out for 141 against Worcestershire, beaten by Somerset posting 193/3, and bowled out for just 74 against Gloucestershire. That last one particularly ugly. Four defeats, zero points, zero momentum.

Table – Top 4

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 4 4 0 16
2 Hampshire 5 4 1 16
3 Gloucestershire 4 3 1 12
4 Essex 4 3 1 12

Head-to-Head

Statz records eight meetings between these sides since 2022. Warwickshire lead 5-3 overall – but Nottinghamshire have won the last two.

The most recent meeting saw Notts chase down 212/4 against Warwickshire’s 206/7, winning by 6 wickets at Edgbaston on 14 June 2025. Before that, at Trent Bridge on 30 May 2025, Notts posted a mammoth 229/3 chasing Warwickshire’s 226/5, winning by 7 wickets with 5 balls to spare. Two high-scoring thrillers that Nottinghamshire came out on top of both times.

Further back, Warwickshire dominated – taking victories in 2024 (9 wickets at Trent Bridge, 22 runs at Edgbaston), 2023 (2 wickets at Trent Bridge, though Notts won the Edgbaston fixture by 11 runs), and both 2022 meetings. The recent trend, though, favours Notts.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections have this as a coin-flip – with Warwickshire the slightest of favourites in both scenarios.

If Nottinghamshire bat first: Notts win 47.2%, Warwickshire win 50.8%. Projected first innings total of 163.8 (P10: 136, P90: 191). Projected match total 318.7.

If Warwickshire bat first: Notts win 47.3%, Warwickshire win 50.7%. Projected first innings total of 167.6 (P10: 143, P90: 193). Projected match total 322.5.

Barely anything between them on the model. The scenario where Warwickshire bat first projects slightly higher totals, suggesting this could be a high-scoring affair regardless of who wins the toss.

Competition Season Leaders

For Nottinghamshire, George Munsey leads the run-scoring with 171 runs across four innings at an average of 42.8 – comfortably the top contributor with the bat. With the ball, Mohammad Ali has been the standout, taking 6 wickets in four innings to lead the Notts attack.

Warwickshire’s numbers are led by Beau Webster, who has 153 runs in four innings at 38.3 – the all-rounder offering the most consistent output in a struggling lineup. Usman Tariq tops the bowling charts with 5 wickets from four games, though Warwickshire will need more from their bowlers if they are to break their duck.

Predicted XIs

Nottinghamshire: George Munsey, Joe Clarke, Jack Haynes, Tom Moores, George Linde, Benny Howell, Freddie McCann, Joe Pocklington, Olly Stone, Dillon Pennington, Mohammad Ali

Warwickshire: Robert Yates, Zen Malik, Beau Webster, Sam Hain, Ed Barnard, Chris Woakes, Jordan Thompson, Tazeem Ali, Oliver Hannon-Dalby, Usman Tariq, Kai Smith

Dream11 Tips

Captain: Beau Webster – The Warwickshire all-rounder leads all projected Dream11 scorers with 109.1 points. Projected for 37.5 runs and 0.59 wickets, Webster offers dual-threat value that makes him the standout captaincy pick.

Vice-Captain: Jordan Thompson – Another Warwickshire all-rounder, Thompson is projected at 92.7 Dream11 points with 16.6 runs and 1.17 wickets. His bowling upside gives him a high floor.

Must-haves:

Key Players

George Munsey (Nottinghamshire) – The Scotsman has been Notts’ most reliable batter by some distance. His hit rate for 20+ runs sits at 75% over his last 5 innings – three in every four times he walks out, he is getting a score. Projected for 35.8 runs, Munsey is the foundation of whatever Nottinghamshire post.

Mohammad Ali (Nottinghamshire) – Ali has taken at least one wicket in every T20 Blast innings this season – a 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets over his last 5. He also hits 2+ wickets at a 50% clip. The seamer has been Notts’ most consistent threat with the ball and is projected for 1.17 wickets here.

George Linde (Nottinghamshire) – The South African all-rounder offers value on both sides. His 2+ wickets hit rate sits at 66.7% over his last 5 innings – two in three matches he is taking multiple scalps. Also chips in with the bat (projected 14.9 runs) making him a genuine dual-threat.

Beau Webster (Warwickshire) – Webster’s 153 runs at 38.3 lead the Bears’ batting charts and he hits 30+ runs at a 50% rate over his last 5. As the top projected Dream11 scorer in the match (109.1 points), the Australian all-rounder is Warwickshire’s most important player by a distance.

Conditions

Weather data is currently unavailable for this fixture. Conditions will be confirmed closer to the match. With an 18:30 BST start under June evening skies in Nottingham, expect dew to potentially play a factor in the second innings – something to keep in mind for the toss.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Here is the fascinating paradox of this match – the Statz model makes Warwickshire slight favourites at around 50.7-50.8% win probability in both scenarios, yet they are 0-4 this season and bottom of the table. The market agrees, pricing Nottinghamshire as favourites at 1.62 with bet365, with Warwickshire at 2.15.

There is clearly value in the Warwickshire price if you trust the model over the form book. This is a squad with players like Beau Webster, Chris Woakes and Jordan Thompson – talent that should be winning games. The 2.15 on a side the projections make slight favourites is worth a look.

For bet builder angles:

A Munsey 20+ runs, Ali 1+ wickets and Linde 1+ wickets treble combines three strong hit rates for a solid bet builder. Add Webster 20+ runs for a four-fold if you want more juice. Check the latest odds on the Statz bet builder.