SRH vs RR Preview – IPL 2026 | Statz

25th May 2026

Match Context

Sunrisers Hyderabad host Rajasthan Royals at the Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur on 27 May 2026 (7:30 PM IST / 3:00 PM BST). Third meets fourth in a clash with serious playoff implications. SRH sit third on 18 points with a 9-5 record, while RR are fourth on 16 points at 8-6 – two points separating these sides with the business end of IPL 2026 fast approaching.

The Venue

Mullanpur has been a run-fest this season. Across 15 T20s since March 2024, the average first innings score is 181 with an average match total of 352.9. The bat-first win rate sits at just 47%, so chasing teams have a marginal edge. Pace bowlers go for 9.85 an over here compared to 8.01 for spinners – pace accounts for 61.6% of wickets while spin takes 32.3%. The highest total at this ground is 254, the lowest 101. Most recently, RR chased down PBKS’ 222/4 to win by 6 wickets on 28 April. Statz Cricket tags this one as a “batting paradise” – and the numbers back it up.

Form and Table

SRH (3rd – P14 W9 L5, 18 pts) arrive in strong form. They smashed 255/4 to beat RCB in their last outing, then edged CSK with 181/5 chasing 180. The blip was a 86 all out collapse against GT, but they bounced back with 235/4 against PBKS before a narrow 4-run loss to KKR. When SRH bat well, they bat very well – three 180+ totals in their last five.

RR (4th – P14 W8 L6, 16 pts) have lost three of their last five. They beat MI (205/8 chasing 175) and LSG (225/3 chasing 220) but fell to DC twice and GT. That GT loss was ugly – bowled out for 152 chasing 229. The momentum is clearly with SRH heading into this one.

Top 4 standings:

  1. RCB – P14 W9 L5, 18 pts
  2. GT – P14 W9 L5, 18 pts
  3. SRH – P14 W9 L5, 18 pts
  4. RR – P14 W8 L6, 16 pts

Head-to-Head

These two have met 23 times since 2013 (Statz data). SRH lead 14-9 and have won the last 5 in a row. The most recent meeting on 25 April at Sawai Mansingh saw SRH chase down RR’s 228/6 with 229/5 to win by 5 wickets. Neither side has faced each other at Mullanpur before.

Statz Projections

Statz Cricket projects SRH at 50% win probability if they bat first (RR 48%), with a projected first innings of 210.2 and match total of 407.7. The P10-P90 range for the first innings is 181-240, and for the match total 360-455. If RR bat first, SRH’s win probability nudges up to 51.4% (RR 46.6%), with a projected first innings of 209.2 and match total of 406.6. Those projected first innings figures of 209-210 sit well above the venue average of 181, reflecting the firepower in both lineups.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap (top 5):

  1. Sai Sudharsan – 638 runs
  2. Shubman Gill – 616 runs
  3. Heinrich Klaasen – 606 runs
  4. Lokesh Rahul – 593 runs
  5. Vaibhav Suryavanshi – 583 runs

Purple Cap (top 5):

  1. Kagiso Rabada – 24 wkts
  2. Bhuvneshwar Kumar – 24 wkts
  3. Jofra Archer – 21 wkts
  4. Anshul Kamboj – 21 wkts
  5. Rashid Khan – 19 wkts

SRH season leaders: Klaasen leads with 606 runs at 43.29 (HS 69), followed by Ishan Kishan with 569 at 40.64 (HS 91) and Abhishek Sharma with 563 at 40.21 (HS 135). With the ball, Eshan Malinga has 19 wickets, Sakib Hussain 15, and Praful Hinge 11.

RR season leaders: Suryavanshi tops with 583 runs at 41.64 (HS 103), Dhruv Jurel has 458 at 32.71 (HS 81), and Yashasvi Jaiswal has 397 at 28.36 (HS 77). Archer leads the bowling with 21 wickets, Brijesh Sharma has 13, and Ravi Bishnoi 11.

Predicted XIs

SRH (based on XI vs RCB, 22 May): Abhishek Sharma, Travis Head, Ishan Kishan (WK), Heinrich Klaasen, Salil Arora, Ravichandran Smaran, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Pat Cummins (C), Shivang Kumar, Eshan Malinga, Sakib Hussain

RR (based on XI vs MI, 24 May): Yashasvi Jaiswal, Vaibhav Suryavanshi, Dhruv Jurel (WK), Riyan Parag (C), Donovan Ferreira, Shubham Dubey, Dasun Shanaka, Jofra Archer, Nandre Burger, Yash Raj Punja, Brijesh Sharma

Check the Statz Cricket fixture page for confirmed XIs after the toss.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Ishan Kishan – projected 38.3 runs. Kishan has hit 20+ in 80% of his last 5 and 70% of his last 10. In superb touch and batting on a flat deck.

Vice Captain: Abhishek Sharma – projected 36.2 runs plus wicket contributions. Hit 20+ runs in 60% of his last 5 and 70% of his last 10 this season.

Top picks:

Key Players

Heinrich Klaasen (SRH) – 606 runs this season at 43.29. Klaasen has hit 20+ in 85.7% of matches this season and 30+ in 78.6%. On a Mullanpur surface tagged as a batting paradise, he looks primed for another big contribution. His 30+ hit rate of 78.6% across the season is the best in either squad.

Vaibhav Suryavanshi (RR) – The 17-year-old sensation has 583 runs at 41.64 with a century to his name. Projected for 41.2 runs here, he has hit 20+ in 71.4% of matches this season and 30+ in 71.4% too. A serious threat at the top of the order.

Jofra Archer (RR) – Joint third in the Purple Cap race with 21 wickets. Archer takes 1+ wicket in 85.7% of his season matches and 80% of his last 5. Projected for 1.66 wickets here – the highest bowling projection in either squad. Even on a flat deck, Archer finds a way through.

Ishan Kishan (SRH) – 569 runs at 40.64 this season with the highest projected runs (38.3) for this match. Has scored 20+ in 80% of his last 5 innings and looks set for a big night on a ground that rewards aggressive stroke play.

Conditions

Clear skies, 36°C, wind at 3.1 km/h, humidity at just 20% with 2% cloud cover – perfect batting conditions with no weather interruptions expected.

Verdict and Betting Angles

SRH get the nod here. The H2H dominance is emphatic – five wins in a row against RR including chasing down 228 in their last meeting. SRH’s season batting average of 203.9 dwarfs RR’s 187.1, and their top three of Head, Kishan, and Klaasen are all in devastating form. RR’s three losses in five suggests a side losing momentum at the worst time.

SRH are 1.76 with bet365 (back SRH here) and 1.80 with Ladbrokes. RR are 1.96 / 2.10.

Bet builder angles:

All odds indicative at time of writing.