Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants Prediction, Projections & Preview

6th August 2026

Southern Brave host Manchester Super Giants at The Rose Bowl on Saturday for the 26th match of The Hundred 2026. First ball is at 17:00 BST on 8 August.

Brave sit sixth in the table on 8 points from six matches, while Manchester Super Giants are fourth on 12 points from six games. Both sides have four matches remaining in the group stage. For full head-to-head records, live projections and detailed match data, check the fixture page on Statz.

The Venue and Toss

The Rose Bowl has hosted 10 Hundred matches this season with an average match total of 255.6 runs. The first-innings average stands at 140.7, suggesting a balanced pitch that rewards both bat and ball. Seam bowlers have taken 69.7% of wickets at an economy of 9.73, while spinners have been more economical at 9.41 but account for 19.7% of dismissals. The pitch is tagged as bowler-friendly by Statz.

Southern Brave’s home record here is strong – 13 wins from 22 Hundred matches since 2021, with an average score of 16.4 runs per batter. Manchester Super Giants have won 2 of their 3 away visits to The Rose Bowl, averaging 23 runs per batter. The toss will matter here. Teams batting first at this ground face a slightly tougher proposition – the projected first-innings total drops from 133.1 to 130.1 when chasing, suggesting the pitch may offer more assistance to bowlers early.

Form and Table

Southern Brave – 6th (P6 W2 L4, 8 pts)

Brave have won just two of their opening six matches and sit in the bottom half of the table. Their recent form shows a mixed picture – a loss to Welsh Fire on 3 August, a win over London Spirit on 1 August, and a win against Birmingham Phoenix on 30 July. They have been inconsistent with the bat, scoring between 111 and 182 in their last five matches.

Manchester Super Giants – 4th (P6 W3 L3, 12 pts)

Manchester Super Giants have won three of six and sit comfortably in the top four. They won convincingly against Welsh Fire on 5 August (161/1 in 69 balls), but suffered defeats to Trent Rockets and MI London in their previous two away matches. Jos Buttler has been the standout performer, with 277 runs at an average of 46.17 this season.

Head-to-Head

Southern Brave lead the all-time record 3-2 with one no-result from six meetings. However, Manchester Super Giants have won two of the last three encounters. The most recent clash saw Manchester Super Giants prevail, and they arrive at The Rose Bowl with momentum on their side despite their mixed recent away form.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections make this a genuine coin-flip contest with a slight lean to Southern Brave.

If Southern Brave bat first: Projected first-innings total of 133.1, match total of 255.2. Win probability – SB 45.4%, MSG 48.1%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 111 to 155.

If Manchester Super Giants bat first: Projected first-innings total of 130.1, match total of 252.4. Win probability – SB 51.8%, MSG 41.7%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 106 to 153.

The projections suggest Southern Brave gain a significant advantage if they bowl first (51.8% win probability versus 45.4% if they bat). The projected match totals of 252-255 sit slightly below the venue average of 255.6, indicating the model rates both bowling attacks highly. Match total P10-P90 range: 216 to 293.

Predicted XIs

Southern Brave (based on most recent XI)

  1. Jamie Smith (wk)
  2. Ben McKinney
  3. Marcus Stoinis
  4. David Miller
  5. Tristan Stubbs
  6. Moeen Ali
  7. Nikhil Chaudhary
  8. Chris Jordan (c)
  9. Jofra Archer
  10. Adil Rashid
  11. Luke Wood

Manchester Super Giants (based on most recent XI)

  1. Paul Walter
  2. Tim Seifert
  3. Jos Buttler (c, wk)
  4. Heinrich Klaasen
  5. Leus du Plooy
  6. Tom Moores
  7. Liam Dawson
  8. Gus Atkinson
  9. Noor Ahmad
  10. Josh Tongue
  11. Sonny Baker

These lineups are based on the most recent matches for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Jos Buttler (MSG) – projected 66.3 fantasy points when MSG bat first. The Manchester Super Giants captain has 277 runs at 46.17 this season with 9 sixes. He has scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of matches and 30+ runs in 80% of his last five games. The most bankable batter in this fixture.

Vice Captain: Marcus Stoinis (SB) – projected 67.3 fantasy points when SB bat first. The all-rounder has 128 runs at 25.6 and 9 wickets this season. He has taken a wicket in 80% of his matches and scored 20+ runs in 60% of games. A genuine dual-threat player.

Also consider:

Key Players

Jos Buttler (Manchester Super Giants)

The Manchester Super Giants captain is in devastating form. With 277 runs at an average of 46.17, Buttler has hit 9 sixes and 17 fours this season. He has scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of his matches and 30+ runs in 80% of his last five games – an extraordinary consistency rate. The Statz bet builder shows him as a strong favourite to score over 23.5 runs at indicative odds of 1.83.

Marcus Stoinis (Southern Brave)

Stoinis is Brave’s most important all-rounder. With 128 runs at 25.6 and 9 wickets this season, he has taken a wicket in 80% of his matches and scored 20+ runs in 60% of games. His last three scores of 34, 3 and 55 show a player capable of explosive batting. He has taken 2+ wickets in 60% of his matches – a genuine match-winner on both sides of the ball.

Tim Seifert (Manchester Super Giants)

The New Zealand wicketkeeper has 187 runs at 31.17 this season with a high score of 67. He has scored 20+ runs in 50% of his matches and provides crucial middle-order stability for Manchester Super Giants. His recent form shows 12, 17 and 62 runs in his last three games.

Adil Rashid (Southern Brave)

Rashid has been Brave’s standout bowler with 8 wickets this season. He has taken a wicket in 83.3% of his matches and 2+ wickets in 33.3% of games. His leg-spin provides crucial variation on a bowler-friendly pitch, and he has taken a wicket in all five of his last five matches.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Southampton with temperatures around 21 degrees. No rain is expected during the match. Wind is light at 3.6 km/h from the south-west – conditions that should remain stable throughout the evening.

Who will win Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants?

Southern Brave are the pick at 48.6% win probability, a coin-flip contest with Manchester Super Giants at 44.9%. The verdict leans Brave, primarily because they gain a significant advantage if they win the toss and bowl first (51.8% win probability). However, Manchester Super Giants’ superior form and the quality of Jos Buttler at the top of the order make this far from settled.

The projected match total of 254 sits just below the venue average of 255.6, suggesting a tight contest on a bowler-friendly pitch. Brave’s home advantage and the toss factor give them the edge, but Manchester Super Giants’ four-match winning streak away from home (before recent defeats) and their strength in the top order cannot be ignored.

Best Bets and Bet Builder Angles

The Statz model identifies one best bet: Jos Buttler Over 23.5 runs at 1.83 (indicative). Buttler has scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of his matches this season and 30+ runs in 80% of his last five games. The model’s true probability is 64.8% versus the implied 54.6%, offering a 10.2% edge.

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture. Other angles to explore:

Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants?

A: Southern Brave are the pick at 48.6% win probability, but this is a coin-flip contest. Manchester Super Giants sit at 44.9%. The toss will be crucial – Brave gain a significant advantage if they bowl first (51.8% win probability). Nothing is guaranteed in a match this tight.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz projections show a match total of 254 runs, slightly below the venue average of 255.6. If Brave bat first, the projected total is 255.2. If MSG bat first, it drops to 252.4. The P10-P90 range is 216 to 293 runs.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a genuine 50-50 proposition. However, the team that wins it and chooses to bowl first gains a significant advantage. Southern Brave’s win probability rises to 51.8% if they bowl first, compared to 45.4% if they bat first.

Q: Is Jos Buttler a good bet?

A: Yes. Buttler has scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of his matches this season and 30+ runs in 80% of his last five games. The Statz model rates him at 64.8% probability to score over 23.5 runs, offering value at the indicative odds of 1.83.