MI London vs Trent Rockets Prediction, Projections & Preview

6th August 2026

MI London host Trent Rockets at Kennington Oval on Saturday for the 25th Match of The Hundred 2026. First ball is at 13:30 BST on 8 August. This is a crucial mid-table clash with both sides eyeing a push toward the knockout stages. For full H2H records, live projections and confirmed lineups, head to the fixture page on Statz.

The Venue and the Toss

Kennington Oval has been a fortress for the home side in The Hundred. Since 2021, MI London have won 16 of 21 matches here – a 76.2% win rate that is among the best in the competition. The ground itself favours batting: across the last 10 Hundred matches at the Oval, the average match total stands at 305.7 runs with an average first-innings score of 157.6. Boundaries account for 64.3% of all runs, suggesting aggressive cricket is rewarded.

Pace bowlers have dominated the wicket column, taking 66.4% of dismissals at an economy of 11.86, while spinners account for 30.1% of wickets at 12.0. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz. Trent Rockets’ away record at this venue tells a different story entirely – they have lost all four matches they have played here since 2021, with an average score of just 12.1 per match. That is a stark contrast to their overall form and suggests the Oval brings out their worst cricket.

The toss will be critical. Teams batting first at the Oval have won 36.8% of matches – a slight disadvantage. If MI London win the toss, expect them to bowl first and chase, where they have been most comfortable this season.

Form and Table Position

MI London – 3rd (P5 W3 L2, 12 pts)

MI London sit third in the table with 12 points from five matches. They have won three and lost two, with a net run rate of +1.167. Their most recent outing saw them demolish Manchester Super Giants by 45 runs on 2 August, scoring 183/6 and bowling MSG out for 138/10. Before that, they lost to London Spirit by 7 wickets on 29 July, chasing 165 and falling short at 164/5. Form reads: W-L-W-L-W across their last five.

Trent Rockets – 1st (P5 W4 L1, 16 pts)

Trent Rockets are the table-toppers with 16 points from five matches. They have won four and lost just one, with a net run rate of +0.912. Their most recent victory came against Birmingham Phoenix on 5 August, chasing down 111/6 with ease at 116/3 in 83 balls. They are unbeaten in their last four matches and have been the most consistent side in the tournament so far. Form reads: W-W-W-W-L across their last five.

Head-to-Head and Recent Meetings

Full H2H stats, projections and lineups on Statz. In six meetings between these sides, Trent Rockets lead 4-2. However, the most recent clash saw MI London emerge victorious, suggesting the pendulum may be swinging. Rockets have dominated the overall record but London have shown they can win when it matters.

Statz Projections and Predicted Match Total

The Statz projections paint this as a genuine coin-flip contest with a slight lean toward MI London.

If MI London bat first: Projected first-innings total of 156.6, match total of 303. Win probability – MI London 44.1%, Trent Rockets 49.4%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 133 to 180.

If Trent Rockets bat first: Projected first-innings total of 155.0, match total of 301. Win probability – MI London 53.4%, Trent Rockets 40.1%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 131 to 180.

The projections suggest MI London gain a significant advantage if they bowl first and chase – their win probability jumps to 53.4% in that scenario. The projected match totals of 301-303 sit just below the Oval average of 305.7, indicating both bowling attacks are rated highly by the model. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.

Predicted Lineups

MI London (based on XI vs Manchester Super Giants, 2 Aug 2026)

  1. Will Jacks
  2. James Vince
  3. Nicholas Pooran (wk)
  4. Sam Curran (c)
  5. Sherfane Rutherford
  6. Ollie Pope
  7. Tom Curran
  8. Rashid Khan
  9. Trent Boult
  10. Richard Gleeson
  11. Nathan Sowter

Trent Rockets (based on XI vs Birmingham Phoenix, 5 Aug 2026)

  1. Finn Allen
  2. Ben Duckett
  3. Aneurin Donald
  4. Sam Billings (c, wk)
  5. Tim David
  6. Mitchell Santner
  7. Lewis Gregory
  8. Craig Overton
  9. Calvin Harrison
  10. Matt Henry
  11. Mohammad Amir

These lineups are based on the most recent starting XI for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Captain and Vice Captain Picks

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Sam Curran (MI London) – projected 84.5 pts when MI bat first. The all-rounder has been in excellent touch this season with 113 runs at an average of 28.25 and 2 wickets. His projected 25.8 runs combined with 1.48 wickets makes him the safest captain choice for this fixture.

Vice Captain: Ben Duckett (Trent Rockets) – projected 51.4 pts. The Rockets’ opening batter has been their most consistent run-scorer with 261 runs at 43.5 this season. He has hit 20+ runs in 83.3% of his matches – an elite consistency rate. His 66.7% hit rate for 30+ runs also makes him a premium vice captain option.

Also consider:

Key Players

Will Jacks (MI London)

Will Jacks has been MI London’s standout batter this season with 195 runs at an average of 39.0 and a high score of 65. He has hit 20+ runs in 60% of his matches and 30+ runs in 60% of his matches – elite consistency for a middle-order batter. His strike rate of 156.8 shows he is playing aggressive cricket. At the Oval, where he has scored 620 runs since 2021, Jacks is a genuine match-winner.

Ben Duckett (Trent Rockets)

Ben Duckett is Trent Rockets’ most important player with the bat. His 261 runs at 43.5 this season lead the away side by a distance. He has hit 20+ runs in 83.3% of his matches and 30+ runs in 66.7% of matches – numbers that are elite for opening batters. His last three scores of 22, 64 and 0 show he is capable of both explosive and steady contributions.

Richard Gleeson (MI London)

Richard Gleeson has been MI London’s most reliable bowler with 9 wickets in 5 matches – a 1.8 average per game. He has taken at least one wicket in 100% of his matches this season and 2+ wickets in 40% of matches. His economy rate of 12.67 is slightly elevated but his consistency with the ball makes him a key cog in the London bowling attack.

Mohammad Amir (Trent Rockets)

Mohammad Amir brings experience and skill to the Rockets’ bowling unit. With 6 wickets in 6 matches, he has taken at least one wicket in 83.3% of his matches this season. His economy rate of 8.99 is among the best in the competition, suggesting he can bowl tight spells under pressure.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Kennington Oval with temperatures around 22 degrees Celsius. Humidity is expected at 52% with a light westerly wind of 4.8 km/h. No rain is forecast. Conditions should be ideal for cricket with good visibility throughout the match.

Who will win MI London vs Trent Rockets?

MI London are the pick at 48.8% win probability, a coin-flip verdict that reflects the closeness of this contest. However, the Statz model gives London a significant edge if they bowl first and chase – their win probability jumps to 53.4% in that scenario. Trent Rockets’ dismal away record at the Oval (0-4 since 2021) is a major concern despite their league-leading form. MI London’s home record here is exceptional at 76.2% since 2021, and they have the bowling attack to exploit a balanced pitch. Sam Curran‘s all-round form and Will Jacks‘ consistency with the bat give London the edge in a tight match.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:

MI London vs Trent Rockets prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win MI London vs Trent Rockets?

A: MI London are the pick at 48.8% win probability, a coin-flip verdict. The Statz model gives London a 53.4% edge if they bowl first and chase. Trent Rockets are 44.8% to win. Their 0-4 away record at the Oval since 2021 is a major concern despite leading the league table.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz projections suggest a match total of around 302 runs. If MI London bat first, expect 303; if Trent Rockets bat first, expect 301. Both sit just below the Oval average of 305.7. The P10-P90 range is 262 to 349 runs.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a 50-50 proposition, but the team that wins it should bowl first. Teams batting first at the Oval have won just 36.8% of matches. MI London have been most comfortable chasing this season, so a London toss win would be ideal for them.

Q: Is MI London a good bet?

A: MI London are slight favourites but this is a coin-flip match. Their home record at the Oval (76.2% win rate since 2021) and Trent Rockets’ away record here (0-4) are compelling factors. However, Rockets’ league-leading form cannot be ignored. The match is evenly balanced – nothing is guaranteed.