MI New York vs Texas Super Kings Preview – MLC 2026 | Statz
26th June 2026
MI New York host Texas Super Kings at the Oakland Coliseum in Major League Cricket 2026 on Friday 27 June at 03:00 IST (22:30 BST, 26 June). MINY sit 4th in the standings with one win from two matches, while TSK are 2nd with two wins from four. Both sides met just four days ago – and it was MINY who came out on top by eight wickets. This is a rematch with real implications for the top four.
The Venue – Oakland Coliseum
Oakland has been a batting paradise this MLC season. Across 10 T20s here, the average first-innings score is 190.3 and the bat-first win rate sits at a commanding 70%. Match totals average 337.6 runs with 22.5 sixes and 23.2 fours per game. Pace bowlers have gone at 9.13 per over, while spinners have been marginally more economical at 8.89. The most recent game at this ground saw Texas Super Kings post 161/8 before bowling out San Francisco Unicorns for 139 – a relatively low-scoring affair by Oakland standards. Expect runs and boundaries.
Form and Table
MI New York (4th – P2, W1, L1)
- 22 Jun: vs TSK – W – 162/2 (17.3) vs 158/10 (19.2)
- 21 Jun: vs WSF – L – 215/6 (20) vs 245/5 (20)
- 14 Jul 2025: vs WSF – W – 180/7 (20) vs 175/5 (20)
- 12 Jul 2025: vs TSK – W – 172/3 (19) vs 166/5 (20)
- 10 Jul 2025: vs SFU – W – 132/8 (19.3) vs 131/10 (19.1)
Texas Super Kings (2nd – P4, W2, L2)
- 25 Jun: vs SFU – W – 161/8 (20) vs 139/10 (17.4)
- 22 Jun: vs MINY – L – 158/10 (19.2) vs 162/2 (17.3)
- 20 Jun: vs SFU – L – 152/9 (20) vs 153/3 (17.5)
- 19 Jun: vs SO – W – 221/4 (18.3) vs 220/2 (20)
- 12 Jul 2025: vs MINY – L – 166/5 (20) vs 172/3 (19)
MLC 2026 Standings (Top 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Knight Riders | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Texas Super Kings | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Washington Freedom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 | MI New York | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
It is early in the season with plenty of cricket still to play. MINY have games in hand on most rivals and a win here would lift them up the table. TSK need to arrest a run of two losses in three to hold their position.
Head-to-Head
These two have met nine times since 2023 (Statz data). Texas Super Kings lead the overall record 5-3, with one no result. However, MINY have won the last two meetings – both times chasing successfully. The most recent was on 22 June at Grand Prairie, where MINY chased down 159 with eight wickets to spare.
At Oakland Coliseum specifically, the two sides have met once – TSK won by 3 runs back in June 2025 (185/6 beating 182/8). TSK boast a perfect 4-0 record at Oakland across all opponents, while MINY’s record here reads just 1 win from 3.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections paint this as a tight contest. If MINY bat first, they are given a 53% win probability with a projected first-innings total of 192.6 and a match total of 371.5. If TSK bat first, they hold a 52.6% chance with a projected first-innings total of 192 and the same 371.5 match total.
Either way, Statz projects the match total well above the venue average of 337.6, suggesting a high-scoring encounter. The P10-P90 range sits at 320-420 (MINY batting first) and 317-422 (TSK batting first) – expect fireworks at Oakland.
Competition Season Leaders
Orange Cap – Top Run Scorers (MLC 2026)
| Player | Runs | Inn |
|---|---|---|
| Tim Seifert (SO) | 224 | 4 |
| Mitchell Owen (WSF) | 221 | 3 |
| Faf du Plessis (TSK) | 159 | 3 |
| Lhuan-dre Pretorius (SFU) | 144 | 3 |
| Shayan Jahangir (SO) | 129 | 4 |
Purple Cap – Top Wicket Takers (MLC 2026)
| Player | Wkts | Inn |
|---|---|---|
| Jasdeep Singh (SO) | 11 | 4 |
| Ottneil Baartman (SO) | 9 | 4 |
| Amshi de Silva (TSK) | 7 | 4 |
| Peter Siddle (SFU) | 6 | 3 |
| Dasun Shanaka (SO) | 5 | 4 |
MI New York Season Leaders (2 matches): Kieron Pollard leads with 107 runs (avg 53.5, HS 100). Corbin Bosch tops the wickets chart with 5 at an average of 2.5 per match (best 4/-).
Texas Super Kings Season Leaders (4 matches): Faf du Plessis is the standout with 159 runs (avg 53.0, HS 113). Amshi de Silva leads the bowling with 7 wickets in 4 innings (best 4/-).
Predicted XIs
MI New York (based on XI from 22 Jun 2026 vs TSK)
Monank Patel, Quinton de Kock (wk), Nicholas Pooran (c), Tajinder Singh, Kieron Pollard, Corey Anderson, Romario Shepherd, Corbin Bosch, Trent Boult, Rushil Ugarkar, Sunny Patel
Texas Super Kings (based on XI from 25 Jun 2026 vs SFU)
Faf du Plessis (c), Rilee Rossouw, Saiteja Mukkamalla, Donovan Ferreira (wk), Shubham Ranjane, Milind Kumar, Wiaan Mulder, Adam Milne, Hardus Viljoen, Amshi de Silva, Abhimanyu Lamba
Always check the Statz fixture page for toss updates and confirmed playing XIs.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Statz projections for this fixture highlight these Dream11 picks (from players in the predicted XI):
Captain: Corbin Bosch – projected 102.9 Dream11 points. The MINY all-rounder has been outstanding this season with 5 wickets and 35 runs from two matches. His dual contribution makes him the top fantasy pick.
Vice-Captain: Amshi de Silva – projected 87.1 Dream11 points. TSK’s leading wicket-taker with 7 wickets in 4 innings at a 100% hit rate for taking 1+ wickets this season.
Also consider:
- Hardus Viljoen – 83.0 projected points
- Adam Milne – 78.2 projected points
- Kieron Pollard – 70.9 projected points
Key Players
Corbin Bosch (MI New York) – The all-rounder has been MINY’s most impactful performer this season. Five wickets in two matches (including 4 in one game) and a useful 35 with the bat. Statz projects him at 1.92 wickets per match – the highest in this fixture. He is the key to MINY’s chances.
Faf du Plessis (Texas Super Kings) – TSK’s captain has 159 runs at an average of 53 this season, including a stunning 113 against Seattle Orcas. He has a 66.7% hit rate for scoring 20+ and 30+ runs in MLC 2026. On a batting paradise like Oakland, du Plessis is the danger man.
Kieron Pollard (MI New York) – The big man hit a century in MINY’s opening match and has 107 runs from two innings at an average of 53.5. Statz projects him for 28-30 runs and a strike rate north of 153. His power in the middle overs is crucial at Oakland.
Amshi de Silva (Texas Super Kings) – Seven wickets in four innings and a 100% hit rate for taking 1+ wickets this season. De Silva has been TSK’s most reliable wicket-taking option and sits 3rd in the Purple Cap standings. Projected for 1.77 wickets in this match.
Conditions
Cloudy skies with a temperature of 18 degrees Celsius and no rain expected. Humidity at 73% with light winds at 6.5 km/h – conditions that should assist swing bowlers early on.
Verdict and Betting Angles
This is a genuine 50-50 contest on paper, but MINY’s momentum gives them the edge. They hammered TSK by eight wickets just four days ago and will carry confidence into this rematch. The bookmakers agree – Coral have MINY at 1.73 and TSK at 2.10, with Ladbrokes offering the same prices.
Statz gives MINY a 53% win probability when batting first on a ground where the bat-first win rate is 70%. If they win the toss and choose to bat, back MINY.
Betting angles from the Statz Bet Builder:
- Faf du Plessis 20+ runs – 66.7% hit rate this season. On a batting paradise, this looks a strong play.
- Amshi de Silva 1+ wickets – 100% hit rate across 4 MLC 2026 matches. As close to a banker as you will find.
- Hardus Viljoen 1+ wickets – Also 100% hit rate this season (3 from 3). TSK’s pace spearhead has been consistent.
- Match total over 337.5 runs – Statz projects 371.5. The venue average is 337.6 and this match features two strong batting lineups.
Prediction: MI New York to win. Their recent dominance over TSK (two straight wins), home conditions, and the quality of Corbin Bosch with ball and bat make them the side to back.