Hampshire vs Yorkshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

26th June 2026

Hampshire vs Yorkshire is a cracking T20 Blast 2026 clash at The Rose Bowl, Southampton on Thursday evening. Hampshire sit 3rd in the table on 20 points (W5 L1) while Yorkshire are 4th with 16 points (W4 L2). First ball is at 23:30 IST (19:00 BST).

The Venue

The Rose Bowl has produced an average first-innings score of 174.5 across 30 T20s since May 2022. The bat-first win percentage sits at exactly 50%, making the toss less decisive here than at many grounds. Pace bowlers take the majority of wickets (71.4%) at an economy of 8.67, while spinners are more economical at 8.09 but account for just 24.1% of dismissals. The most recent T20 here saw Hampshire post 173/6 and bowl out Sussex for 144 on 02 Jun 2026. The Statz pitch tag reads: Balanced pitch.

Form and Table

Hampshire are flying. Five wins on the bounce and their batting has been exceptional – averaging 175.7 runs per innings this season. Their last five results:

Yorkshire have won four of six but come into this match off a defeat to Leicestershire, where they were bowled out for 135. Their last five results:

Table (Top 4):

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 6 6 0 24
2 Gloucestershire 6 5 1 20
3 Hampshire 6 5 1 20
4 Yorkshire 6 4 2 16

Both sides have eight group matches remaining. A win here consolidates Hampshire’s place in the qualification spots, while Yorkshire need to maintain momentum after that Leicestershire setback.

Head-to-Head

There are no recent T20 Blast meetings between Hampshire and Yorkshire in Statz records. Hampshire’s record at The Rose Bowl is formidable though – 19 wins from 29 T20s here since 2021, with Chris Wood (30 wickets) the standout performer on home soil. Yorkshire have not played at this venue in the Statz dataset, making this an unfamiliar challenge for the visitors.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections give Hampshire the edge regardless of batting order. If Hampshire bat first, the model projects a first innings of 180.2 (P10: 155, P90: 206) with a match total of 347.5 – above the venue average of 328.3. Win probability in that scenario is nearly even at 49.6% Hampshire, 48.4% Yorkshire.

If Yorkshire bat first, Hampshire’s win probability rises to 55.9% with a projected first innings of 176.9 (P10: 149, P90: 204) and a match total of 344.5. The model favours Hampshire overall at approximately 53%.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap (Top Run Scorers):

  1. Beau Webster – 288 runs (6 inn)
  2. George Munsey – 251 runs (6 inn)
  3. Jonny Bairstow (YOR) – 250 runs (6 inn)
  4. Chris Lynn – 245 runs (6 inn)
  5. Martin Andersson – 237 runs (6 inn)

Purple Cap (Top Wicket Takers):

  1. Duan Jansen – 16 wkts (6 inn)
  2. James Sales – 16 wkts (6 inn)
  3. Adam Finch – 12 wkts (6 inn)
  4. Scott Currie (HAM) – 12 wkts (6 inn)
  5. Mohammad Ali – 12 wkts (6 inn)

Hampshire Season Leaders:

Yorkshire Season Leaders:

Predicted XIs

Hampshire (based on XI from 05 Jun 2026 vs Surrey):

Ali Orr, Toby Albert (wk), Joe Weatherley, Jake Lehmann, Liam Dawson, Tristan Stubbs, Hilton Cartwright, James Fuller, Scott Currie, Manny Lumsden, Chris Wood (c)

Yorkshire (based on XI from 07 Jun 2026 vs Leicestershire):

Adam Lyth, Jonny Bairstow (c/wk), William Luxton, James Wharton, Moeen Ali, Matthew Revis, Faheem Ashraf, Andrew Tye, Hasan Ali, Dominic Bess, Jafer Chohan

Note: Always check the Statz fixture page for any toss-time changes to the playing XI.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Hasan Ali – Projected 124.6 Dream11 points. Yorkshire’s strike bowler has 11 wickets in 5 innings this season with a 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets. His ability to take multiple wickets makes him the clear captain choice.

Vice Captain: Scott Currie – Projected 88.1 Dream11 points. Hampshire’s leading wicket-taker with 12 scalps in 6 innings, also boasting a 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets.

Also consider:

Key Players

Hasan Ali (YOR) – The Pakistan quick has been sensational with 11 wickets in 5 innings at a 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets this season. His season rate for 2+ wickets is 60%. Projected for 2.63 wickets in this match, he is the standout performer on either side.

Tristan Stubbs (HAM) – Hampshire’s leading run-scorer with 166 runs at an average of 33.2 and a highest score of 69. His 20+ runs hit rate is a remarkable 80% and his 30+ runs rate matches at 80% too. The South African international brings power and consistency through the middle order.

Scott Currie (HAM) – Joint-third on the competition Purple Cap with 12 wickets in 6 innings. A 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets and 66.7% for 2+ wickets makes him a reliable option in the bowling markets.

Jonny Bairstow (YOR) – Third on the Orange Cap with 250 runs at 41.67. His 30+ runs hit rate sits at 66.7% this season with a high score of 83. Yorkshire’s captain and main anchor at the top of the order.

Conditions

Clear skies in Southampton with a temperature of 27 degrees, low humidity (48%) and negligible wind – ideal conditions for an uninterrupted contest.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Hampshire are the side to back here. Five consecutive wins, a strong home record at The Rose Bowl (19 wins from 29 T20s) and a Statz model win probability of approximately 53% all point their way. Yorkshire are a quality outfit but come off a defeat and face a ground they have no recent record at. Hampshire to win at 1.68 (bet365) looks fair value.

Bet Builder Angles:

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