MI London vs Manchester Super Giants Prediction, Projections & Preview
31st July 2026
MI London host Manchester Super Giants at the Kennington Oval on Sunday for the 18th Match of The Hundred 2026. First ball is at 17:00 BST on 2 August.
MI London sit third in the table on 8 points from 4 matches (W2 L2, NRR +0.358), while Manchester Super Giants lead the standings on 8 points from 3 matches (W2 L1, NRR +1.997). Both sides are level on points but MSG have a superior run rate and a game in hand – victory here would give them genuine breathing room at the top. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the MI London vs Manchester Super Giants fixture page on Statz.
The Venue
The Kennington Oval is a high-scoring ground in The Hundred. Across the last 26 matches here, the average match total stands at 308.2 with an average first-innings score of 160.6. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz. Seam bowlers have taken 71.6% of wickets at an economy of 11.37, while spinners have been more economical at 12.2 but account for 25.7% of dismissals. Boundary percentage runs at 64.2% – expect plenty of attacking cricket.
Home teams at the Oval have won 36.8% of matches since 2021, suggesting the toss is not a dominant factor here. The recent form shows runs are consistently available for both sides – neither team should fear the conditions.
Form and Table
MI London – 3rd (P4 W2 L2, 8 pts)
MI London have won 2 of their last 4 matches but lost their most recent outing on 29 July to London Spirit. They chased 165 and fell short at 164/5 in 100 balls – a narrow defeat that will sting. Before that, they beat Sunrisers Leeds by 7 wickets on 21 July, chasing down 143 in just 84 balls. Form is mixed heading into this contest.
Manchester Super Giants – 1st (P3 W2 L1, 8 pts)
Manchester Super Giants top the table despite playing one fewer match. They have won 2 of their last 3, with their only loss coming on 28 July to Sunrisers Leeds (181/3 vs 184/2). Before that, they beat Birmingham Phoenix by 87 runs on 26 July (187/5 vs 100/10) and London Spirit by 7 runs on 23 July (138/9 vs 131/6). MSG are in form and have the momentum.
Standings Snapshot
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester Super Giants | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | +1.997 |
| 2 | Trent Rockets | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | +0.989 |
| 3 | MI London | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | +0.358 |
| 4 | Welsh Fire | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -0.513 |
| 5 | Sunrisers Leeds | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -0.659 |
The table is tightly bunched at the top – six teams are on 8 points or more. A win here is crucial for both sides to consolidate their position in the top four.
Head-to-Head
MI London hold a commanding record against Manchester Super Giants. In 6 meetings, MI London have won 5 to MSG’s 1. The last five results all favour MI London (W-W-W-W-L), showing they have been the dominant side in this fixture. However, MSG’s sole win came most recently, suggesting they may be turning a corner in this rivalry.
For full H2H stats, projections and lineups on Statz, see the fixture page.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections favour MI London in this contest, though the margin is narrow.
If MI London bat first: Projected first-innings total of 158.9, match total of 303.8. Win probability – MI London 51.2%, MSG 42.3%, tie/NR 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 135 to 183.
If Manchester Super Giants bat first: Projected first-innings total of 152.9, match total of 298.2. Win probability – MI London 59.5%, MSG 34%, tie/NR 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 124 to 181.
The model strongly favours MI London if they bowl first (59.5% win probability), suggesting their bowling attack is the key strength. The projected match totals of around 300 sit just below the Kennington Oval average of 308.2. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.
Predicted XIs
MI London (based on XI vs London Spirit, 29 Jul 2026)
- Will Jacks
- James Vince (c)
- Jason Roy
- Nicholas Pooran (wk)
- Ollie Pope
- Sherfane Rutherford
- Tom Curran
- Rashid Khan
- Trent Boult
- Richard Gleeson
- Olly Stone
Manchester Super Giants (based on XI vs Sunrisers Leeds, 28 Jul 2026)
- Aiden Markram (c)
- Tim Seifert
- Jos Buttler (wk)
- Heinrich Klaasen
- Leus du Plooy
- Tom Moores
- Liam Dawson
- Gus Atkinson
- Noor Ahmad
- Josh Tongue
- Sonny Baker
These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:
Captain: Jos Buttler (MSG) – projected 62.7 pts. The England star has 169 runs at 56.33 this season with a high score of 90. He has scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of his last 5 matches and 30+ runs in 66.7% of his last 5. A world-class batter in devastating form.
Vice Captain: Sam Curran (MI London) – projected 82.2 pts. The all-rounder brings value across all disciplines with 25.6 projected runs, 1.44 projected wickets and a strike rate of 152.1. He has taken a wicket in 66.7% of his last 5 matches and scored 30+ runs in 66.7% of his last 5.
Also consider:
- Will Jacks (MI London) – projected 60.1 pts – 133 season runs, 50% hit rate for 30+ runs in his last 5
- Rashid Khan (MI London) – projected 50.9 pts – 1.16 projected wickets per match, economy of 9.41
- Josh Tongue (MSG) – projected 73.8 pts – 100% wicket-taking rate this season, 2.22 projected wickets
Key Players
Jos Buttler (Manchester Super Giants)
The England captain has been in outstanding form for MSG. With 169 runs at an average of 56.33 from just 3 matches, Buttler is the competition’s third-leading run-scorer. His high score of 90 shows he can take over a match single-handedly. He has scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of his last 5 matches and 30+ runs in the same period – a player in the form of his life.
Will Jacks (MI London)
The MI London opener has 133 runs at 33.25 from 4 matches with a high score of 65. He has hit 8 sixes this season and is the joint-leading six-hitter for MI London. Jacks has scored 30+ runs in 50% of his last 5 matches – a player capable of explosive starts that set the tone for his side’s innings.
Richard Gleeson (MI London)
The MI London fast bowler has been the standout performer with the ball. Gleeson has taken 8 wickets from 4 matches – the joint-leading wicket-taker in The Hundred – and has taken at least one wicket in 100% of his matches this season. His economy rate of 11.5 is tight for The Hundred format, making him a genuine game-changer.
Josh Tongue (Manchester Super Giants)
The MSG seamer brings genuine pace and has taken 4 wickets from 3 matches with a 100% wicket-taking rate. Tongue is projected for 2.22 wickets in this match – a bowler who can disrupt any batting lineup. His economy of 11.63 is slightly expensive but his strike rate more than compensates.
Conditions
Sunny skies are forecast for London with temperatures around 24 degrees and humidity at 48%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 4.8 km/h – ideal conditions for cricket with good visibility for both batting and bowling.
Who will win MI London vs Manchester Super Giants?
MI London are the pick at 55.4% win probability, a lean verdict that reflects their superior bowling attack and historical dominance in this fixture. However, Manchester Super Giants are far from underdogs – their 38.2% win probability and top-of-the-table position show they are a genuine threat.
The Statz model strongly favours MI London if they bowl first (59.5% win probability), suggesting their bowling depth – led by Gleeson, Boult and Stone – is the decisive factor. MSG’s strength lies in their batting, particularly Buttler’s form, but MI London’s bowling has been relentless this season.
The head-to-head record (5-1 to MI London) adds weight to the home side, though MSG’s recent win in this fixture shows they can compete. This is a match that could go either way, but the model leans MI London.
Bet Builder Angles
Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:
- Jos Buttler 20+ runs – 66.7% season hit rate, 66.7% in his last 5 matches. The MSG captain is in outstanding form and this is a strong backing.
- Richard Gleeson 1+ wicket – 100% season hit rate. He has taken a wicket in every single match this season – as reliable as it gets.
- Sam Curran 20+ runs – 66.7% hit rate in his last 5 matches. The MI London all-rounder provides value across bat and ball.
- Josh Tongue 1+ wicket – 100% season hit rate. MSG’s seamer has taken a wicket in all 3 of his matches this season.
MI London vs Manchester Super Giants prediction FAQ
Q: Who will win MI London vs Manchester Super Giants?
A: MI London are favoured at 55.4% win probability according to Statz projections. They have won 5 of 6 head-to-head meetings and their bowling attack – led by Richard Gleeson – is the strongest in this fixture. However, Manchester Super Giants’ 38.2% win probability shows this is a competitive match, particularly if Jos Buttler gets going with the bat.
Q: What is the projected match total?
A: The Statz model projects a match total of around 301 runs. If MI London bat first, the projected total is 303.8; if MSG bat first, it drops to 298.2. Both figures sit slightly below the Kennington Oval average of 308.2, suggesting a balanced pitch where both sides will have chances.
Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?
A: The toss is not a dominant factor at the Kennington Oval, with home teams winning just 36.8% of matches here. However, the Statz model shows a significant advantage for MI London if they bowl first (59.5% win probability vs 51.2% if they bat first), suggesting the captain may choose to chase.
Q: Is MI London a good bet?
A: MI London are the model’s pick at 55.4% win probability, a lean verdict. Their bowling attack is superior and they have dominated this fixture historically. However, nothing is guaranteed – Manchester Super Giants are in form and Jos Buttler is playing at an elite level. The indicative odds reflect a competitive match.