MI London vs London Spirit Prediction, Projections & Preview

27th July 2026

MI London host London Spirit at Kennington Oval on 29 July 2026 for the 12th match of The Hundred. First ball is at 17:30 BST.

This is a London derby with contrasting trajectories. MI London sit 3rd in the table on 4 points from 2 matches (W1 L1), while London Spirit are bottom on 0 points (W0 L2). Spirit need a win to stay alive in the tournament; MI London are looking to build momentum after a defeat to Welsh Fire. For full head-to-head records, projections and live lineups, check the MI London vs London Spirit fixture page on Statz.

The Venue and Toss

Kennington Oval is a big ground that suppresses scoring. Across the last 10 T20 matches here, the average match total is 265 runs and the average first-innings score stands at 154.6. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz, with seam bowlers taking 68.7% of wickets at an economy of 10.98, while spinners account for 27.8% of dismissals at 11.72.

Teams batting first have won 36.8% of matches at this venue – a clear toss advantage to the side that bowls first. If London Spirit win the toss, the call should be to bat first and put runs on the board; if MI London win, bowling first becomes the smarter play. The ground has hosted 20 matches since 2021 with home sides winning 16 of them – a significant home advantage that favours the Londoners.

Form and Table Position

MI London – 3rd (P2 W1 L1, 4 pts)

MI London have won once and lost once so far. They beat Sunrisers Leeds by 7 wickets on 21 July (chasing down 143 with 16 balls remaining) but fell to Welsh Fire by 15 runs on 25 July (152/6 vs 167/5). Their net run rate sits at +1.198, the best in the tournament among teams on 4 points.

London Spirit – 7th (P2 W0 L2, 0 pts)

London Spirit have lost both matches so far. They fell to Manchester Super Giants by 7 runs on 23 July (131/6 vs 138/9) and to Trent Rockets by 1 run on 26 July (159/9 vs 160/6). Their net run rate is -0.33. A defeat here would make qualification extremely difficult.

Head-to-Head

MI London have dominated this fixture. In 10 meetings since 2021, MI London have won 8 to London Spirit’s 1 (with 1 no-result). Most tellingly, MI London have won their last five consecutive matches against Spirit, including a 6-wicket victory at this ground on 25 August 2025 (Spirit 152/7, MI London 153/4 in 78 balls).

Statz Projections

The Statz projections favour MI London decisively.

If MI London bat first: Projected first-innings total of 153.5, match total of 293.1. Win probability – MI London 52.1%, London Spirit 41.4%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 131 to 176.

If London Spirit bat first: Projected first-innings total of 147, match total of 287.1. Win probability – MI London 60.4%, London Spirit 33.1%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 119 to 174.

The model rates MI London’s bowling significantly higher – Spirit’s win probability drops to 33.1% if they bat first, compared to 41.4% if they chase. Both projected match totals (287-293) sit above the Kennington Oval average of 265, suggesting the model expects a relatively high-scoring game.

Season Leaders – The Hundred 2026

Top Run-Scorers

Top Wicket-Takers

MI London Season Leaders

Runs: James Vince – 83 runs, avg 41.5, HS 66 | Nicholas Pooran – 75 runs, avg 37.5, HS 58 | Sam Curran – 60 runs, avg 30, HS 60

Wickets: Richard Gleeson – 5 wickets, avg 2.5, best 4 | Rashid Khan – 2 wickets, avg 1 | Tom Curran – 2 wickets, avg 1

London Spirit Season Leaders

Runs: Liam Livingstone – 102 runs, avg 51, HS 69 | Dewald Brevis – 61 runs, avg 30.5, HS 39 | Lhuan-dre Pretorius – 36 runs, avg 18, HS 24

Wickets: Adam Milne – 3 wickets, avg 1.5, best 2 | Adam Zampa – 2 wickets, avg 1 | Andrew Tye – 2 wickets, avg 2

Predicted XIs

MI London (based on XI vs Welsh Fire, 25 Jul 2026)

  1. Will Jacks
  2. James Vince
  3. Jason Roy
  4. Sam Curran (c)
  5. Nicholas Pooran (wk)
  6. Sherfane Rutherford
  7. Tom Curran
  8. Rashid Khan
  9. Trent Boult
  10. Richard Gleeson
  11. Nathan Sowter

London Spirit (based on XI vs Trent Rockets, 26 Jul 2026)

  1. Liam Livingstone (c)
  2. Lhuan-dre Pretorius
  3. Jonny Bairstow (wk)
  4. Dewald Brevis
  5. James Coles
  6. James Rew
  7. Jamie Overton
  8. David Willey
  9. Andrew Tye
  10. Adam Zampa
  11. Adam Milne

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Sam Curran (MI London) – projected 114.6 pts when MI bat first. The all-rounder has delivered 26.1 projected runs at a strike rate of 156.9 plus 1.42 projected wickets. His dual threat and recent form (60 runs in his last match) make him the safest captain choice.

Vice Captain: Nicholas Pooran (MI London) – projected 97 pts when MI bat first. The wicketkeeper-batter has 41.3 projected runs at a strike rate of 167, with 75 runs already in the bank this season at an average of 37.5. A pure batting play with explosive upside.

Also consider:

Key Players

Sam Curran (MI London)

The England all-rounder is MI London’s most important player. With 60 runs and 18 wickets across The Hundred history at this ground, Curran brings balance and match-winning potential on both sides of the ball. His projected 26.1 runs and 1.42 wickets make him the standout fantasy asset. In his last match, he scored 60 runs – a statement of intent.

Liam Livingstone (London Spirit)

London Spirit’s captain and their only genuine match-winner. Livingstone has 102 runs at an average of 51 this season with a high score of 69. He is the only Spirit player in the top 5 run-scorers across The Hundred. His leg-spin adds a second dimension, but it is his batting that Spirit depend on to stay competitive.

Richard Gleeson (MI London)

The leading wicket-taker in The Hundred so far with 5 wickets from just 2 matches. Gleeson has taken 4 wickets in one match and 1 in another – a bowler in devastating form. His economy of 11.55 is high, but his strike rate is exceptional. He is the key to MI London’s bowling attack.

Nicholas Pooran (MI London)

The wicketkeeper-batter has 75 runs at an average of 37.5 with a high score of 58. Pooran’s projected 41.3 runs at a strike rate of 167 make him one of the most explosive batters in the competition. His recent form (58 and 17 runs in his last two matches) shows consistency at the top of the order.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Kennington Oval with temperatures around 21 degrees at the start. Humidity is moderate at 55%. A light breeze from the south-west at 6.2 km/h. No rain is expected – ideal cricket conditions throughout the evening.

Who will win MI London vs London Spirit?

MI London are strong favourites at 56.3% win probability. The Statz model backs them decisively, particularly if London Spirit bat first (MI London’s win probability rises to 60.4% in that scenario). MI London’s superior bowling attack, led by Richard Gleeson, and their dominant head-to-head record (8 wins in 10 meetings) make them the clear pick.

London Spirit are in genuine trouble. They have lost both matches so far and sit bottom of the table. However, they have Liam Livingstone – a player capable of single-handedly winning a match. If Spirit can get Livingstone in early and build a platform, they have a path to victory. But the data suggests MI London will be too strong.

Betting Angles

The Statz bet builder allows you to construct custom bets on this fixture. Key angles to explore:

MI London vs London Spirit prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win MI London vs London Spirit?

A: MI London are favoured at 56.3% win probability according to Statz. They have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against London Spirit and sit 3rd in the table. London Spirit are bottom with 0 points and have lost both matches so far.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz model projects a match total of 287-293 runs depending on who bats first. Both projections sit above the Kennington Oval average of 265, suggesting a relatively high-scoring game.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a 50-50 coin flip. However, the team that wins the toss should bowl first – teams batting first at Kennington Oval have won only 36.8% of matches. Bowling first gives a significant advantage.

Q: Is MI London a good bet?

A: MI London are backed by the Statz model at 56.3% win probability and have a dominant head-to-head record. They are the clear favourites. However, nothing is guaranteed – London Spirit have Liam Livingstone, a match-winner capable of turning the game on its head.