London Spirit vs MI London Prediction, Projections & Preview

4th August 2026

London Spirit host MI London at Lord’s on Thursday for the 23rd match of The Hundred 2026. First ball is at 17:30 BST on 6 August.

London Spirit sit 7th in the table on 4 points from 4 matches (W1 L3), while MI London occupy 3rd place on 12 points from 5 games (W3 L2). Spirit are fighting to stay in contention after a poor run, while MI London have climbed the standings with three wins in their last five. For full head-to-head records, live projections and detailed team stats, visit the London Spirit vs MI London fixture page on Statz.

The Venue – Lord’s

Lord’s is a bowler-friendly ground that has hosted 10 Hundred matches since the format began. The average match total stands at 265.6 runs, with an average first-innings score of just 145.9. Boundaries account for 53.1% of all runs scored, suggesting batters must work hard for their runs on this pitch.

Seam bowlers have dominated at Lord’s, taking 60.3% of wickets at an economy rate of 10.17 runs per over. Spinners have been more economical at 9.05 but account for 33.3% of dismissals. The ground has hosted 18 matches with London Spirit at home, where they have won 7 and lost 10 (one no-result). MI London’s away record at Lord’s is perfect – they have won all 7 matches they have played here since 2021, with an average away score of 17.2 runs per over and a highest score of 72 in the Hundred format.

Form and Table Position

London Spirit – 7th (P4 W1 L3, 4 pts)

Spirit have endured a difficult campaign so far. Their sole win came against MI London on 29 July (165/3 chasing 164/5), but they have lost three of their last four matches:

MI London – 3rd (P5 W3 L2, 12 pts)

MI London are in strong form and climbing the table. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches and sit comfortably in the top three:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Trent Rockets 5 4 1 16
2 Welsh Fire 5 4 1 16
3 MI London 5 3 2 12
4 Southern Brave 6 2 4 8
5 Manchester Super Giants 5 2 3 8
6 Sunrisers Leeds 4 2 2 8
7 London Spirit 4 1 3 4
8 Birmingham Phoenix 4 1 3 4

Head-to-Head Record

MI London dominate this fixture comprehensively. From 11 meetings between the sides, MI London have won 8 to London Spirit’s 2 (one no-result). The most recent clash came on 29 July at Lord’s, where Spirit pulled off a stunning chase – they scored 165/3 in 89 balls to overhaul MI London’s 164/5. However, the broader pattern strongly favours the visitors: MI London have won all 7 away matches they have played at Lord’s since 2021, suggesting the recent Spirit victory was an outlier rather than a shift in the balance.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections favour MI London across both scenarios.

If London Spirit bat first: Projected first-innings total of 136.9, match total of 266. Win probability – LS 42%, MIL 51.5%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 114 to 160.

If MI London bat first: Projected first-innings total of 140, match total of 269.1. Win probability – LS 40.2%, MIL 53.3%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 119 to 161.

Both projected match totals (266-269) sit just above the Lord’s average of 265.6, suggesting the model expects a typical Hundred contest at this venue. The projected first-innings totals of 137-140 are below the venue average of 145.9, indicating the bowler-friendly conditions will play a significant role. Match total P10-P90 range: 240 to 298.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Ben Duckett Trent Rockets 239 5
Jos Buttler Manchester Super Giants 226 5
Mitchell Marsh Sunrisers Leeds 214 4
Will Jacks MI London 195 5
Finn Allen Trent Rockets 150 5

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Marcus Stoinis Southern Brave 9 5
Richard Gleeson MI London 9 5
Adil Rashid Southern Brave 8 6
Rashid Khan MI London 7 5
Jofra Archer Southern Brave 7 6

London Spirit Season Leaders

Runs: Liam Livingstone – 123 runs, avg 30.75, HS 69 | Lhuan-dre Pretorius – 111 runs, avg 27.75, HS 64 | Dewald Brevis – 99 runs, avg 24.75, HS 39

Wickets: David Willey – 4 wkts, best 2 | Jamie Overton – 4 wkts, best 3 | Adam Milne – 3 wkts, best 2

MI London Season Leaders

Runs: Will Jacks – 195 runs, avg 39.0, HS 65 | James Vince – 138 runs, avg 27.6, HS 66 | Nicholas Pooran – 132 runs, avg 26.4, HS 58

Wickets: Richard Gleeson – 9 wkts, best 4 | Rashid Khan – 7 wkts, best 5 | Trent Boult – 6 wkts, best 2

Predicted XIs

London Spirit (based on XI vs Southern Brave, 1 Aug 2026)

  1. Lhuan-dre Pretorius
  2. Jonny Bairstow (wk)
  3. Liam Livingstone (c)
  4. James Rew
  5. Dewald Brevis
  6. James Coles
  7. Jamie Overton
  8. David Willey
  9. Andrew Tye
  10. Adam Milne
  11. Adam Zampa

MI London (based on XI vs Manchester Super Giants, 2 Aug 2026)

  1. Will Jacks
  2. James Vince
  3. Nicholas Pooran (wk)
  4. Sam Curran (c)
  5. Sherfane Rutherford
  6. Ollie Pope
  7. Tom Curran
  8. Rashid Khan
  9. Trent Boult
  10. Richard Gleeson
  11. Nathan Sowter

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Sam Curran (MI London) – projected 80.6 pts. The all-rounder is MI London’s standout performer with 113 runs at 28.25 average and 18 wickets across the season. His dual threat across bat and ball makes him the safest captain choice, with a 75% hit rate for 20+ runs and 50% for 2+ wickets.

Vice Captain: Will Jacks (MI London) – projected 53.8 pts. The competition’s fourth-highest run-scorer with 195 runs at 39.0 average. Jacks has hit 20+ runs in 60% of his matches this season and 30+ runs in 60% of games – a consistent source of points.

Also consider:

Key Players

Will Jacks (MI London)

The standout batter in this fixture. Jacks has 195 runs at an average of 39.0 with a high score of 65 from 5 matches this season. He has hit 20+ runs in 60% of his matches and 30+ runs in 60% of games – an exceptional consistency rate for The Hundred. His last three scores of 54, 65 and 62 show a player in devastating form. Against a London Spirit bowling attack that has struggled, Jacks is primed for a big score.

Liam Livingstone (London Spirit)

Spirit’s most important player and their captain. Livingstone has 123 runs at 30.75 average with a high score of 69 from 4 matches. He has hit 20+ runs in 50% of his matches and 30+ runs in 50% of games. His ability to accelerate in the middle overs and bowl leg-spin makes him a dual threat. Against a strong MI London bowling attack, Livingstone will need to be at his best if Spirit are to pull off another upset.

Sam Curran (MI London)

The MI London captain brings balance across all three disciplines. Curran has 113 runs at 28.25 average with 18 wickets across the season – a remarkable all-round contribution. He has hit 20+ runs in 75% of his matches and taken 1+ wicket in 100% of games. His 50% hit rate for 2+ wickets shows he is a genuine match-winner with the ball. Against a Spirit side that has lost three of their last four, Curran’s experience and skill will be crucial.

Richard Gleeson (MI London)

MI London’s leading wicket-taker with 9 wickets from 5 matches – a 100% hit rate for taking at least one wicket in every game. Gleeson has taken 2+ wickets in 40% of matches and his economy rate of 11.42 is respectable for The Hundred. On a bowler-friendly Lord’s pitch, Gleeson will be a key figure in MI London’s attack.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Lord’s with temperatures around 21 degrees Celsius. Humidity is moderate at 65%. Light winds at 4.3 km/h from the south-west should not significantly impact play. No rain is expected during the match window.

Who Will Win London Spirit vs MI London?

MI London are favoured to win this contest. The Statz projections give MI London a 52.4% win probability against London Spirit’s 41.1%, with a 6.5% chance of a tie or no-result. MI London’s superior form (W3 L2 vs W1 L3), their perfect away record at Lord’s (7-0 since 2021), and their dominance in the head-to-head (8-2) all point to the visitors. Spirit’s sole recent win came on 29 July at this same ground, but that was an outlier in a broader pattern of MI London dominance.

The projected match total of 268 sits just above the Lord’s average of 265.6, suggesting a tight contest on a bowler-friendly pitch. Spirit will need to bat first and post a competitive total, then execute with precision in the field. However, MI London’s depth of talent – particularly Will Jacks, Sam Curran and Richard Gleeson – gives them the edge.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:

London Spirit vs MI London Prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win London Spirit vs MI London?

A: MI London are favoured at 52.4% win probability against London Spirit’s 41.1%, according to Statz projections. MI London’s superior form, perfect away record at Lord’s (7-0), and dominance in the head-to-head (8-2) all support the visitors. However, Spirit showed they can compete by winning here on 29 July.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz model projects a match total of 268 runs, with a P10-P90 range of 240 to 298. This sits just above the Lord’s average of 265.6, suggesting a typical Hundred contest on a bowler-friendly pitch. Projected first-innings totals are 137-140 runs.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is a 50-50 proposition. However, the Statz projections suggest MI London gain a slight advantage if they bowl first (53.3% win probability vs 51.5% if Spirit bat first). The bowler-friendly Lord’s pitch may favour the side that can set a target.

Q: Is MI London a good bet?

A: MI London are indicatively priced at a shorter odds than Spirit, reflecting their 52.4% win probability. They have won 8 of 11 head-to-head meetings and are unbeaten in 7 away matches at Lord’s. However, Spirit proved on 29 July that they can compete. Nothing is guaranteed in T20 cricket.