Hampshire vs Surrey Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

28th May 2026

Hampshire host Surrey in the T20 Blast 2026 on Thursday evening. Hampshire sit 10th in the table with 4 points (W1 L1), while Surrey are 2nd on 8 points with a perfect record of two wins from two. First ball at 23:30 IST (19:00 BST). Full match centre on Statz.

The Venue

The venue for this fixture is currently TBC in the Statz system. Hampshire typically play home T20 matches at The Rose Bowl in Southampton, but we cannot confirm that from the API data. Venue-specific stats are unavailable for this preview.

Form and Table

Hampshire – 10th, P2 W1 L1

Hampshire’s campaign is up and running with a thumping 30-run win over Essex at home, but they were brought back down to earth with a loss at Somerset. Their last five T20 results:

Surrey – 2nd, P2 W2 L0

Surrey look ominous early doors. A clinical chase against Middlesex followed a demolition of Lancashire – two very different wins that showcase their depth:

Head-to-Head

8 meetings since 2022 (Statz data) – Surrey lead 6-2. The away side has been utterly dominant in this fixture:

Surrey have won four of the last five meetings, including a 69-run hammering at The Rose Bowl last June. Hampshire’s only win in that span came via D/L at The Oval.

Statz Projections

In the batting-first scenario (Hampshire bat first), Statz gives the hosts a 42.4% win probability against Surrey’s 55.6%. The projected first innings total is 164.3, with a projected match total of 320.2. Model confidence is 0.7 – slightly lower than usual, likely due to the missing venue data.

The P10/P90 range for the first innings is 136 to 191. Match total P10 is 273, P90 is 364. Full projections on Statz.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top Run Scorers (T20 Blast 2026)

  1. Martin Andersson – 156 runs
  2. James Rew – 140 runs
  3. Matthew Montgomery – 137 runs
  4. Sam Billings – 112 runs
  5. Zak Crawley – 111 runs

Purple Cap – Top Wicket Takers (T20 Blast 2026)

  1. Jack Morley – 8 wickets
  2. Duan Jansen – 7 wickets
  3. Fazalhaq Farooqi – 6 wickets
  4. Martin Andersson – 6 wickets
  5. Scott Currie – 6 wickets

Hampshire Season Leaders

Runs: Tristan Stubbs 69 runs (avg 69, high 69) | James Vince 66 runs (avg 33, high 58) | Hilton Cartwright 61 runs (avg 30.5, high 46)

Wickets: Scott Currie 6 wickets (avg 3, best 4) | Chris Wood 2 wickets (avg 1, best 2) | Andrew Neal 1 wicket (avg 1, best 1)

Surrey Season Leaders

Runs: Sam Curran 103 runs (avg 51.5, high 71) | Tom Curran 49 runs (avg 24.5, high 49) | Jason Roy 47 runs (avg 23.5, high 45)

Wickets: Yousef Majid 5 wickets (avg 2.5, best 3) | Reece Topley 4 wickets (avg 2, best 2) | Jordan Clark 3 wickets (avg 1.5, best 2)

Predicted XIs

Hampshire (based on XI vs Essex, 26 May 2026)

Toby Albert (WK), James Vince (C), Joe Weatherley, Hilton Cartwright, Tom Prest, Tristan Stubbs, James Fuller, Liam Dawson, Scott Currie, Andrew Neal, Chris Wood

Surrey (based on XI vs Middlesex, 24 May 2026)

Jason Roy, Adam Thomas, Ollie Pope, Sam Curran (C), Daniel Lawrence, Laurie Evans (WK), Tom Curran, Jordan Clark, Sean Abbott, Yousef Majid, Reece Topley

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Sam Curran – 98.6 projected Dream11 points. The Surrey skipper is in outrageous form with 103 runs in two innings (including a 71) and is projected for 28.4 runs and 0.82 wickets. The best all-round Fantasy pick in the entire T20 Blast right now.

Vice Captain: Yousef Majid – 88.4 projected Dream11 points. The young all-rounder has taken 5 wickets in two matches and is projected for 1.66 wickets plus 9.7 runs. Outstanding value.

Other picks to consider:

Key Players

Sam Curran (Surrey)

The England all-rounder is the form player in this fixture. With 103 runs in two innings at an average of 51.5, including a stunning 71 against Lancashire, Curran has been Surrey’s talisman. He is projected for 28.4 runs and 0.82 wickets – the highest combined output of any player in this match. Against Hampshire last season, Surrey won by 69 runs at The Rose Bowl with Curran in the side.

Scott Currie (Hampshire)

Hampshire’s leading wicket-taker with 6 scalps in two matches sits joint-5th on the Purple Cap table. Projected for 1.49 wickets here, the young seamer has been the host’s most potent threat. His ability to take early wickets could be crucial against Surrey’s strong top order.

James Vince (Hampshire)

The Hampshire captain has scored 66 runs at 33 this season, with a classy 58 against Essex. As an experienced campaigner who knows these conditions intimately, Vince is projected for 28.8 runs – the highest batting projection for the home side. Hampshire need him to fire against a Surrey attack led by the Curran brothers.

Tristan Stubbs (Hampshire)

The South African has only batted once this tournament but made it count spectacularly – 69 not out against Essex. He leads Hampshire’s run charts and his power hitting in the middle overs could be the difference if Hampshire are to upset the odds.

Conditions

Weather data is unavailable for this fixture as the venue has not been confirmed in the API. Check closer to match time for updates.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Surrey are favourites at 1.68 on bet365, with Hampshire available at 2.05. The head-to-head record is damning for Hampshire – Surrey have won 6 of 8 meetings since 2022 and took the most recent encounter by 69 runs. Statz projections give Surrey a 55.6% win probability.

Hampshire showed what they can do with that 200/4 against Essex, but Somerset exposed their fragility. Surrey look the more balanced side with Sam Curran in this kind of form, and they have the bowling depth through Tom Curran, Sean Abbott, Reece Topley, and Yousef Majid to back it up.

Pick: Surrey to win – superior form, dominant head-to-head record, and Sam Curran in the form of his life. The 1.68 is short but justified.

Bet Builder Angles

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