Glamorgan vs Somerset Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

28th May 2026

Contrasting fortunes meet at Sophia Gardens. Glamorgan (13th, 0 pts from 2, W0 L2) are winless and desperate, while Somerset (4th, 8 pts from 2, W2 L0) arrive in Cardiff with a perfect record. First ball on Thursday 29 May at 23:00 IST (18:30 BST). This is a T20 Blast group stage fixture with plenty on the line for the hosts, who need to get off the mark soon. See the full Statz fixture page for live data.

The Venue – Sophia Gardens, Cardiff

Sophia Gardens is tagged as a balanced pitch by Statz. Across the last 25 T20s here (since June 2022), the average first innings score is 174.2 and teams batting first have won 56% of decided games. The average match total sits at 327.4, with 11.8 sixes and 28 fours per match. Pace dominates here – pace bowlers take 71.7% of wickets at an economy of 8.70, while spinners are tighter at 8.08 but claim just 24.1% of the scalps. The most recent game saw Gloucestershire beat Glamorgan by 2 wickets (157/8 vs 158/8) on 23 May 2026 – a low-scoring thriller under lights.

Form and Table

Glamorgan sit 13th with 0 points from 2 matches (W0 L2). Their last five results:

Somerset sit 4th with 8 points from 2 matches (W2 L0). Their last five results:

Glamorgan have lost both their 2026 matches by the narrowest of margins – 2 wickets and 3 runs respectively. They are not far off, but the results column reads badly. Somerset, by contrast, have chased comfortably in both wins this season and look a class above.

Head-to-Head

8 meetings since 2022 (Statz data). Somerset lead 6-2 with no abandoned matches. The last meeting saw Glamorgan snatch a 2-run win at Taunton (176/7 vs 174/9, 04 Jul 2025), but that was a rare success against a side that has dominated this fixture.

At Sophia Gardens, Glamorgan have played 29 T20s since 2021, winning 11 and losing 16 (2 NR). Kiran Carlson is the all-time top scorer here with 731 runs, while Daniel Douthwaite leads the wickets chart with 31. Somerset have won 3 of their 4 T20 visits to Sophia Gardens, with Tom Kohler-Cadmore (100 runs) their top scorer at this venue.

Statz Projections

In the batting-first scenario (Glamorgan bat), Statz gives Somerset a clear 56% win probability versus Glamorgan’s 42% (2% tie/no result). The projected first innings total is 155.1, below the venue average of 174.2 – reflecting Glamorgan’s batting struggles this season. The projected match total of 302.1 also sits below the ground average of 327.4.

The P10-P90 range for the first innings runs from 123 to 183, while the match total range sits at 245 to 349. This is expected to be a tighter, lower-scoring contest than some of the other fixtures on the card.

Check the full Statz projections page for interactive breakdowns.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap (Most Runs – T20 Blast 2026):

  1. Martin Andersson (Derbyshire) – 156 runs in 3 innings
  2. James Rew (Somerset) – 140 runs in 2 innings
  3. Matthew Montgomery (Derbyshire) – 137 runs in 3 innings
  4. Sam Billings (Kent) – 112 runs in 2 innings
  5. Zak Crawley (Kent) – 111 runs in 2 innings

Purple Cap (Most Wickets – T20 Blast 2026):

  1. Jack Morley (Derbyshire) – 8 wickets in 3 innings
  2. Duan Jansen (Gloucestershire) – 7 wickets in 2 innings
  3. Fazalhaq Farooqi (Glamorgan) – 6 wickets in 2 innings
  4. Martin Andersson (Derbyshire) – 6 wickets in 3 innings
  5. Scott Currie (Hampshire) – 6 wickets in 2 innings

Glamorgan Season Leaders: Daniel Douthwaite leads the runs with 51 at an average of 51 (HS 51). Henry Hurle has 46 runs at 46 (HS 46). With the ball, Fazalhaq Farooqi has been outstanding with 6 wickets in 2 matches (best 4), followed by Mason Crane and Ned Leonard with 2 each.

Somerset Season Leaders: James Rew tops the competition run charts with 140 runs at a stunning average of 70 (HS 93). Tom Banton has 77 at 38.5 (HS 47) and Will Smeed has 71 at 35.5 (HS 59). Craig Overton leads the wickets with 5 in 2 matches (best 3), with Jake Ball on 4 (best 3).

Predicted XIs

Glamorgan (based on XI vs Gloucestershire, 23 May 2026):

  1. Will Smale (wk) – Bowler
  2. Kiran Carlson (c) – Batsman, RHB/Off Break
  3. Sean Dickson – Batsman, RHB
  4. Alex Horton – WK, RHB
  5. Chris Cooke – WK, RHB
  6. Henry Hurle – Batsman, RHB
  7. Ben Kellaway – Allrounder, RHB/Off Break
  8. Timm van der Gugten – Allrounder, RHB/Right-arm Fast-medium
  9. Mason Crane – Bowler, RHB/Leg Break
  10. Ned Leonard – Bowler
  11. Fazalhaq Farooqi – Bowler, RHB/Left-arm Fast

Somerset (based on XI vs Warwickshire, 24 May 2026):

  1. Tom Banton (wk) – Batsman, RHB
  2. Will Smeed – Batsman, RHB
  3. James Rew – WK, RHB
  4. Tom Abell – Batsman, RHB
  5. Thomas Rew – WK, RHB
  6. Tom Lammonby – Allrounder, LHB
  7. Lewis Gregory (c) – Allrounder, RHB/Right-arm Medium-fast
  8. Daniel Sams – Allrounder, LHB/Left-arm Fast-medium
  9. Lewis Goldsworthy – Bowler, LHB
  10. Craig Overton – Bowler, RHB/Right-arm Fast-medium
  11. Jake Ball – Bowler, RHB/Right-arm Fast-medium

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Ned Leonard – Projected 97.3 Dream11 points. The Glamorgan seamer is projected for 2.14 wickets at an economy of 8.08. On a balanced pitch where pace takes 71.7% of wickets, Leonard is the top fantasy pick.

Vice Captain: Daniel Sams – Projected 85.8 Dream11 points. The Somerset allrounder offers dual value with 11.8 projected runs at a strike rate of 173.3 and 1.33 projected wickets. His left-arm pace adds variety to Somerset’s attack.

Other top picks:

Key Players

James Rew (Somerset) – The 2nd-highest run scorer in the entire T20 Blast so far with 140 runs at an average of 70. His highest score of 93 this season shows he can bat deep and take games away from the opposition. Projected for 28.3 runs at a strike rate of 139.9. Somerset’s most important batter by a distance.

Fazalhaq Farooqi (Glamorgan) – The Afghan left-arm quick is 3rd in the T20 Blast wickets chart with 6 in just 2 matches (best 4). Projected for 1.53 wickets at an economy of 8.97. Farooqi is Glamorgan’s biggest threat and the key to their hopes of a first win. On a pitch where pace takes 71.7% of wickets, he is a genuine difference-maker.

Craig Overton (Somerset) – Five wickets in 2 matches at a best of 3, leading Somerset’s bowling. Projected for 1.16 wickets and 6.6 runs at a useful strike rate of 147.6. His right-arm seam at this pace-friendly venue could be decisive.

Tom Banton (Somerset) – The explosive opener has 77 runs at 38.5 this season (HS 47). Projected for 19.5 runs at a strike rate of 141.5. Banton’s ability to set the tone in the powerplay makes him a key figure at the top of the order.

Conditions

Clear skies in Cardiff with temperatures around 19 degrees Celsius at the start of play. Wind at 6.2 km/h from the west. Humidity at 69% – slightly damp air but no rain expected (0mm precipitation). Good conditions for cricket, though the higher humidity could offer a touch of movement for the seamers early on.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Somerset are the clear favourites and rightly so. They have won 6 of 8 meetings since 2022 (Statz data), have a 56% win probability in the Statz model, and their batting lineup – led by James Rew’s 140 runs at 70 – is significantly stronger than Glamorgan’s. At 1.53 on bet365 (531/1000), Somerset are short but justified. Glamorgan are 2.32 (53/40), and while they have lost both games by small margins, they lack the batting depth to compete consistently.

Betting angles from the Statz Bet Builder: