Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

16th July 2026

Hampshire host Nottinghamshire at Edgbaston on Friday in a T20 Blast clash with both sides chasing a top-four finish. First ball is at 13:30 BST on 18 July.

Hampshire sit 2nd in the table on 32 points from 12 matches, level with Nottinghamshire in 3rd. Both teams have won 8 and lost 4 – a dead heat on points but Hampshire hold a marginally superior net run rate of 0.283 to Nottinghamshire’s 0.169. With six group matches remaining, qualification is within reach for both, but the margin for error is shrinking. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Hampshire vs Nottinghamshire fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Edgbaston is a batting paradise. Across the last 49 T20 matches here, the average match total stands at 376.9 with an average first-innings score of 203.7. The ground has hosted 10 matches in the current T20 Blast season, averaging 372.2 runs per match with 15.5 sixes per game – a high-octane environment for both bat and ball.

Pace bowlers have dominated the wicket-taking charts with 58.9% of dismissals at an economy rate of 10.12, while spinners account for 29.8% of wickets at a more economical 8.64. The pitch is tagged as Batting Paradise by Statz. Home teams at Edgbaston have won 40% of T20 matches since 2021, suggesting the toss and conditions play a significant role. The most recent T20 here saw Warwickshire beat Glamorgan by four wickets on 10 July 2026 (WAR 191/6, GLA 188/4).

Form and Table

Hampshire – 2nd (P12 W8 L4, 32 pts)

Hampshire have steadied the ship with back-to-back wins and sit in the automatic qualification zone. Their last five matches show a team finding rhythm at the right time:

Nottinghamshire – 3rd (P12 W8 L4, 32 pts)

Nottinghamshire are level on points with Hampshire but have momentum on their side. Their last five matches show a side capable of big scores and clinical bowling:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 12 9 3 36
2 Hampshire 12 8 4 32
3 Nottinghamshire 12 8 4 32
4 Yorkshire 12 7 4 30
5 Somerset 12 7 5 28

Both sides have identical records and are separated only by net run rate. A win here would be a statement of intent for either team – the loser drops to 4th and faces a nervous final six matches.

Head-to-Head

This is a fresh fixture. Hampshire and Nottinghamshire have never met in T20 cricket according to Statz data, making this a genuine unknown. Both teams will be writing the opening chapter of what could become a fierce rivalry. With no historical precedent, form and current squad strength become the only guides.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections paint this as an extremely tight contest – a coin-flip with the slimmest of edges.

If Hampshire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 205.9, match total of 396.5. Win probability – HAM 48.4%, NOT 49.6%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 175 to 237.

If Nottinghamshire bat first: Projected first-innings total of 202.9, match total of 393.3. Win probability – HAM 54.2%, NOT 43.8%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 167 to 236.

Both projected match totals (393-396) sit well above the Edgbaston average of 376.9, suggesting the model rates both batting lineups highly. The projected first-innings totals of around 203-206 are marginally above the venue average of 203.7 – expect a high-scoring affair. Match total P10-P90 range: 330 to 460.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Beau Webster Warwickshire 578 12
Aneurin Donald Derbyshire 489 12
George Munsey Nottinghamshire 488 13
Chris Lynn Northamptonshire 475 11
Alex Lees Durham 474 12

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Hasan Ali Yorkshire 27 12
Scott Currie Hampshire 22 13
Andrew Tye Yorkshire 21 13
Usama Mir Worcestershire 20 12
Reece Topley Surrey 20 13

Hampshire Season Leaders

Runs: James Vince – 435 runs, avg 36.25, HS 125 | Joe Weatherley – 428 runs, avg 32.92, HS 63 | Hilton Cartwright – 283 runs, avg 21.77, HS 70

Wickets: Scott Currie – 22 wkts, best 4 | Chris Wood – 17 wkts, best 3 | Sonny Baker – 15 wkts, best 5

Nottinghamshire Season Leaders

Runs: George Munsey – 488 runs, avg 37.54, HS 88 | Jack Haynes – 376 runs, avg 28.92, HS 75 | Tom Moores – 315 runs, avg 24.23, HS 75

Wickets: Mohammad Ali – 19 wkts, best 3 | George Linde – 17 wkts, best 3 | Olly Stone – 12 wkts, best 2

Predicted XIs

Hampshire (based on XI vs Sussex, 12 Jul 2026)

  1. Toby Albert (wk)
  2. James Vince (c)
  3. Joe Weatherley
  4. Ben Mayes
  5. Hilton Cartwright
  6. Delano Potgieter
  7. James Fuller
  8. Andrew Neal
  9. Scott Currie
  10. Chris Wood
  11. Sonny Baker

Nottinghamshire (based on XI vs Surrey, 15 Jul 2026)

  1. Joe Clarke (c)
  2. George Munsey
  3. Jack Haynes
  4. Tom Moores (wk)
  5. George Linde
  6. Benny Howell
  7. Liam Patterson-White
  8. Olly Stone
  9. Binura Fernando
  10. Mohammad Amir
  11. Joe Pocklington

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: George Munsey (NOT) – projected 71.6 pts. The Nottinghamshire opener has 488 runs at 37.54 this season and sits third in the Orange Cap race. His projected 35.6 runs combined with consistent batting make him the safest captain choice on a high-scoring ground.

Vice Captain: James Vince (HAM) – projected 73.5 pts. Hampshire’s captain has 435 runs at 36.25 with a high score of 125. His projected 34.5 runs at a strike rate of 152 make him a devastating option in a batting paradise.

Also consider:

Key Players

George Munsey (Nottinghamshire)

The Scottish left-hander is in the form of his life. With 488 runs at an average of 37.54 and a high score of 88, Munsey sits third in the Orange Cap race and is the standout batter in this fixture. His consistency is remarkable – he has scored 20+ runs in 61.5% of his matches this season, though his last five matches show a dip to just 20% (8, 9, 11, 31, 23). Even in a quiet spell, his class remains undeniable.

James Vince (Hampshire)

Hampshire’s captain and talisman has been the driving force behind their push for the top four. With 435 runs at 36.25 and a high score of 125, Vince has scored 30+ runs in 41.7% of his matches this season. His last five matches show 1, 9, 125, 40 and an unbeaten 40 – a player capable of match-winning performances on any given day. At Edgbaston, a batting paradise, he could be devastating.

Scott Currie (Hampshire)

The Hampshire seamer has been a revelation this season with 22 wickets in 13 matches – second in the Purple Cap race. His economy rate of 10.12 at Edgbaston is elevated, but his wicket-taking ability is undeniable. He has taken 1+ wicket in 84.6% of his matches and 2+ wickets in 53.8% – a bowler who delivers under pressure on high-scoring grounds.

Mohammad Ali (Nottinghamshire)

The Nottinghamshire pace bowler has taken 19 wickets in 13 matches and maintains a 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket across his 10 appearances. His economy rate of 9.21 is tight for a batting paradise, and he has taken 2+ wickets in 60% of his matches – a bowler who can stem the flow of runs when it matters most.

Conditions

Partly cloudy skies are forecast for Edgbaston with temperatures around 24 degrees at the start and humidity at 42%. No rain is expected. Wind is light at 4.2 km/h from the south-west – conditions that should remain favourable for cricket throughout the afternoon and early evening.

Verdict and Betting Angles

This is a genuine 50-50 contest on paper. The Statz projections make it essentially a coin-flip, with Hampshire gaining a marginal edge if they bowl first (54.2% to 43.8%). Both teams are level on points, level on wins and losses, and level on recent form – the only differentiator is net run rate, which slightly favours Hampshire.

The bookmakers reflect the tightness of this match. Indicative odds have Hampshire at around 1.85 and Nottinghamshire at around 1.95. This is a match that could go either way.

I am leaning Hampshire here. The home advantage at Edgbaston is real – they have won 4 of their 6 matches here this season. James Vince’s form is undeniable, and Scott Currie’s wicket-taking ability gives them a cutting edge in a high-scoring environment. Nottinghamshire are a fine side, but Hampshire’s recent wins over Essex and Sussex show a team peaking at the right time.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture: