Finland vs Portugal Preview – T20I 2026 | Statz

1st July 2026

Finland take on Portugal in a T20 International on Thursday, July 3. First ball is at 20:30 IST (16:00 BST).

Finland have been in strong form with six wins from eight T20I matches this season, while Portugal are unbeaten in their two outings. With Portugal ranked 40th in the ICC T20I rankings and Finland unranked, this is a chance for both sides to build their international credentials. Full match data available on the Statz fixture page.

The Venue

No venue details are available for this fixture on Statz. Without ground data, there is no average first innings score, bat-first win percentage, or pace/spin economy split to reference. Both sides will be going in blind from a venue intelligence standpoint.

Form and Table

Finland – Season record: P8 W6 L2 (75% win rate)

Last 5: L W W W W

Finland have won four of their last five, with the only blemish a collapse against Sweden where they were bowled out for 116 and saw the chase completed for the loss of just one wicket. Their bowling has been the standout – they average 6.5 wickets taken per match this season and have bowled out four opponents. Batting has been more variable, ranging from 89/4 to 177/7.

Portugal – Season record: P2 W2 L0 (100% win rate)

Last 5 (across competitions): W W W W L

Portugal come into this match on a four-match winning streak. They beat Sweden twice on July 1, suggesting sharp form heading into this clash. Their batting has been aggressive – averaging 156.5 runs scored per match this season with an average of 20.5 boundaries per innings.

There is no traditional league table for this fixture. Portugal are ranked 40th in the ICC T20I rankings with a rating of 76. Finland are currently unranked.

Head-to-Head

These two have not met in Statz data. This will be their first recorded encounter, adding an element of the unknown to proceedings. Neither side will have specific tactical blueprints for the other, making form and individual quality the key differentiators.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections give Finland the edge in both toss scenarios.

If Finland bat first: Finland 54.3% win probability, Portugal 43.7%. Projected first innings total of 155, second innings 141, match total 296 (P10: 251, P90: 338).

If Portugal bat first: Finland 53.8% win probability, Portugal 44.2%. Projected first innings total of 150, second innings 142, match total 292 (P10: 241, P90: 337).

The model favours Finland at around 54% regardless of who bats first. A projected match total in the 292-296 range suggests a competitive but not explosive contest, with first innings scores expected around the 150-155 mark.

Season Leaders

T20I Season Top Run-Scorers (Competition)

  1. Karanbir Singh – 591 runs in 12 innings (47 fours, 53 sixes)
  2. Shimron Hetmyer – 318 runs in 9 innings (23 fours, 25 sixes)
  3. Musaddiq Ahmed – 277 runs in 5 innings (19 fours, 26 sixes)
  4. Luka Woods – 272 runs in 4 innings (32 fours, 16 sixes)
  5. Hamid Shah – 271 runs in 7 innings (20 fours, 15 sixes)

T20I Season Top Wicket-Takers (Competition)

  1. Amjad Sher (Finland) – 16 wickets in 8 innings
  2. Bilal Zalmai – 15 wickets in 12 innings
  3. Shahid Afridi – 15 wickets in 9 innings
  4. Matthew Humphreys – 14 wickets in 7 innings
  5. Shamar Joseph – 13 wickets in 6 innings

Finland season leaders: Faraaz Mehti Abbas leads the run charts with 206 runs at an average of 25.75 and a high score of 50. Amjad Sher is the competition’s leading wicket-taker with 16 wickets in eight innings at a best of 3.

Portugal season leaders: Carlos Nunes tops the batting with 67 runs at an average of 33.5 from two matches. Edward Fleming has five wickets in two innings at a best of 3.

Predicted XIs

Finland (based on XI vs Sweden, 14 Jun 2026)

  1. Aniketh Pusthay
  2. Vanraaj Padhaal
  3. Jordan O’Brien (WK)
  4. Amjad Sher (C)
  5. Faheem Nellancheri
  6. Muhammad Junaid Khan
  7. Mahesh Tambe
  8. Nicholas Salonen
  9. Piumal Karunarathna
  10. Zahidullah Kamal
  11. Faraaz Mehti Abbas

Portugal (based on XI vs Sweden, 01 Jul 2026)

  1. Carlos Nunes (C/WK)
  2. Chad Potgieter
  3. Dhavalkumar Norotam
  4. Edward Fleming
  5. Md Siraj Nipo
  6. Natim Hassam
  7. Rahulkumar Hashu
  8. Sebastian Cruz De Oliviera
  9. Sharn Gomes
  10. Upen Shantu
  11. Hardeep Khuttan

Check the fixture page for toss changes and confirmed lineups closer to the match.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Player-level Dream11 projections are limited for this fixture, so recommendations are based on season performance and hit rate data from Statz.

Captain: Amjad Sher – Finland’s captain and the competition’s leading wicket-taker with 16 wickets in eight innings. He has taken 1+ wicket in 87.5% of his matches this season and 2+ wickets in 75%. That consistency is phenomenal for a captain pick.

Vice Captain: Faraaz Mehti Abbas – Finland’s leading run-scorer with 206 runs at 25.75. He has scored 20+ in 62.5% of matches this season and chips in with the ball too – a useful all-round option.

Also consider:

Key Players

Amjad Sher (Finland) – The competition’s leading wicket-taker is the most important player in this match. Amjad has a 1+ wicket hit rate of 87.5% and a 2+ wicket hit rate of 75% this season. Those numbers are outstanding. He will look to tear through a Portugal batting lineup making their first appearance against Finnish bowling.

Faraaz Mehti Abbas (Finland) – Finland’s top run-scorer has hit 20+ in 62.5% of his eight matches this season and 30+ in 25%. His consistency at the top of the order gives Finland a reliable platform. Recent scores of 18, 23, and 43 show improving form heading into this match.

Carlos Nunes (Portugal) – Portugal’s captain, wicketkeeper, and leading run-scorer averaged 33.5 across two innings with a high score of 67. He is the focal point of Portugal’s batting and will need to deliver a big performance if the visitors are to upset the odds.

Edward Fleming (Portugal) – Five wickets in two innings with a best of 3 makes Fleming Portugal’s most dangerous bowler. If anyone can check Finland’s batting, it is the left-arm orthodox spinner who took three in his last outing.

Conditions

Weather data is unavailable for this fixture – check closer to match time for updates on conditions.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Finland are the pick here. They have a much larger sample of matches this season (eight vs two), a proven match-winner in Amjad Sher, and the Statz model backs them at 54% win probability. Their bowling unit has been consistently clinical, averaging 6.5 wickets per match.

Portugal are unbeaten in two matches and arrive in form after beating Sweden twice on July 1, but the step up in opposition quality could be significant. Finland’s experience in this tournament – six wins from eight – gives them the edge.

No odds are currently available from bookmakers for this fixture.

Bet builder angles via Statz Bet Builder: