Morocco vs Haiti Predictions and Betting Tips – World Cup 2026
24th June 2026
Morocco vs Haiti – World Cup 2026 Group C Preview
Tuesday night football at the World Cup and Morocco are looking to finish the job against Haiti in Group C. Kick-off is at 23:00 BST and if you’ve been watching this group, you’ll know the Atlas Lions have been the team to beat. Haiti, on the other hand, are staring down the barrel of an early exit. Let’s dig into what the data says.
Predicted Lineups and Team News
Lineups aren’t confirmed yet, but the predicted XIs give us plenty to work with.
Morocco (4-2-3-1)
Bounou; Hakimi, Diop, Riad, Mazraoui; Bouaddi, El Aynaoui; Saibari, Ounahi, El Khannouss; El Kaabi
The big names are all there. Achraf Hakimi at right-back continues to be a force going forward – projected at 0.39 assists and 1.62 shots per game. In midfield, Ayyoub Bouaddi and Neil El Aynaoui anchor things, while the attacking trio of Ismael Saibari, Azzedine Ounahi, and Bilal El Khannouss is full of creativity. Ayoub El Kaabi leads the line as the top projected goalscorer with a projected 0.58 goals per game.
Haiti (4-3-3)
Placide; Arcus, Delcroix, Expérience, Duverne; Bellegarde, Jean Jacques, Sainté; Isidor, Pierrot, Nazon
Haiti are expected to go with experience up front. Frantzdy Pierrot leads the fouls committed charts with 1.96 per game – he’s a handful but not always in the right way. Wilson Isidor and Duckens Nazon offer pace, though Nazon’s projected goal output of 0.13 per game tells you everything about Haiti’s attacking limitations.
Form and Recent Performance
The gap here is massive. Morocco are unbeaten in their last 10 – W6 D4 L0 – scoring 20 and conceding just 4. That’s 2.0 goals scored per game and only 0.4 conceded. In the group, they sit 2nd on 4 points (W1 D1 L0, GD +1) and a win here likely seals top spot or at least guarantees progression.
Haiti‘s record reads W4 D1 L5 across their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded. In the group, it’s been brutal – bottom on 0 points with a goal difference of -4 after two defeats. They need a miracle and then some.
Key Player Stats
Morocco are stacked with individual quality. Ismael Saibari is projected at 2.87 shots and 1.15 shots on target per game – he’s a constant threat from midfield. Brahim Diaz draws fouls like nobody else, averaging 2.31 fouls drawn per game, and chips in with 0.48 projected goals per game.
Neil El Aynaoui is a tackling machine at 2.02 per game and also contributes 1.60 shots per game from deep. On the other side, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde is Haiti’s most industrious player, projected at 1.40 tackles per game but also likely to pick up a card with 0.24 projected yellows per game.
Achraf Hakimi is projected at 1.81 tackles and 0.39 assists per game – operating as a genuine attacking weapon from the back.
Betting Angles
Projections
The projected scoreline is Morocco 2.20 – 0.57 Haiti. That’s a comfortable home win in the data’s eyes, and given Morocco’s form and Haiti’s struggles, it’s hard to argue. Over 2.5 goals looks reasonable with Morocco projected to score over 2 on their own.
Bet Builder Slip
The Statz Bet Builder has pulled out a 4-leg slip at combined odds of roughly 4.84:
- Ismael Saibari 1+ shots on target – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 1, 1, 1, 4, 2). Averaging 1.8 SOT per game across that sample. Best odds 1.28 @ Ladbrokes.
- Wilson Isidor 1+ shots – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 2, 2, 2, 2, 1). Averaging 1.8 shots per game. Best odds 1.48 @ Ladbrokes.
- Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab 1+ tackles – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 1, 3, 2, 2, 1). Averaging 1.8 tackles per game. Best odds 1.67 @ bet365.
- Neil El Aynaoui 2+ tackles – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (values: 5, 4, 2, 2, 3). Averaging 3.2 tackles per game. Best odds 1.53 @ bet365.
All four legs have hit in every one of their last 5 appearances. The Amaimouni-Echghouyab tackle leg at 1.67 is the longest-priced leg and adds decent value to the slip.
Referee
Danny Desmond Makkelie takes charge, averaging 2.80 yellows and 24.00 fouls per game across 5 matches. A relatively moderate card-shower by World Cup standards.
Summary and Suggestions
This should be straightforward for Morocco. They’re unbeaten in 10, scoring at 2.0 per game, and Haiti have lost 5 of their last 10 with zero group-stage points. The projected 2.20 – 0.57 scoreline feels about right. Morocco win and over 1.5 goals is the sensible play. If you want more value, that bet builder at ~4.84 with four 100% hit-rate legs is well worth a look. El Kaabi to score at 0.58 projected goals per game is another angle if you fancy the goalscorer markets.