Brazil vs Norway Predictions and Betting Tips – World Cup 2026

5th July 2026

Brazil vs Norway kicks off at 21:00 BST on Sunday 5 July as both sides make their push through the World Cup 2026 Round of 32. The Selecao go in as clear favourites on the back of a strong group stage, but Norway will fancy their chances with Erling Haaland in the squad and plenty to prove on the biggest stage. Here is a full breakdown pulled from Statz H2H data.

Lineups and Player News

Brazil are expected to line up with Alisson in goal behind a back four of Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel Magalhaes and Douglas Santos. Bruno Guimaraes slots into midfield alongside Casemiro and Fabinho, with Rayan, Matheus Cunha and Vinicius Junior leading the attack.

Norway should go with Orjan Nyland between the sticks, a back four of Fredrik Aursnes, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjorn Heggem and David Moller Wolfe, Martin Odegaard pulling strings in midfield, and Erling Haaland leading the line with Alexander Sorloth and Antonio Nusa in support.

These are predicted lineups only – not confirmed by either manager. Raphinha carries strong Statz numbers (1.8 SOT avg, 100% hit rate last 5 games) but does not feature in Brazil’s predicted XI – check the confirmed lineup before using him in any markets.

Recent Team Form

Brazil arrive in superb shape. They topped their group with 7 points (W2 D1 L0) and a goal difference of +6. Across their last 10 games they have gone W7 D2 L1, hitting 24 goals and conceding just 9 – a fluid attack backed by genuine defensive solidity.

Norway are no slouches either. They qualified second in their group on 6 points (W2 D0 L1, GD +1). Their last 10 reads W6 D2 L2 with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded. The goals are there – the question is whether they can stay tight enough at the back against a Brazil side of this quality.

Player Stats and Projections

According to Statz World Cup projections, the expected scoreline sits at Brazil 1.75 – Norway 1.03. Both sides can score, but Brazil’s edge is clear.

Erling Haaland is Norway’s standout threat. He averages 0.49 projected goals per game with 1.74 SOT and 3.09 shots per game – the volume and intent are both there. Alexander Sorloth adds physicality up front and picks up 1.72 fouls per game, making him an option in card markets if they are available.

On the Brazil side, Vinicius Junior leads with 0.53 projected goals per game and a 2.4 SOT average. He has hit at least 1 SOT in each of his last 5 games – a 100% hit rate. Sander Berge is worth noting too with 2.08 tackles per game, while Martin Odegaard averages 1.8 tackles per game with a 100% hit rate across his last 5 outings.

Full squad data for both sides is available on the Statz H2H page.

Betting Angles

No combined odds are available for World Cup markets at this stage, but the Statz hit rate data gives us clear player stat angles to work with.

All projections sourced from Statz.

Summary

Brazil are the data-backed pick here. The projected scoreline favours them, their recent form is better, and Vinicius Junior is flying. Norway’s best hope rests on Haaland getting into the game – he has the shot volume and class to cause problems, but he will need service.

Referee Ismail Elfath has averaged 3.50 yellows per game across his 2 World Cup fixtures, so card markets could be worth exploring depending on what is available with your bookmaker.

Check the full H2H page and the World Cup hub on Statz for live updates before kickoff at 21:00 BST.