Real Betis vs Levante Preview – La Liga Matchday 38

22nd May 2026

Real Betis are the form team in this one on paper, but Levante have been quietly dangerous all month – and the projections make this more of a contest than the standings suggest.

Match Context

Real Betis head into the final day of the La Liga season sitting 5th on 57 points – W14 D15 L8, with a goal difference of +10. European football is on the cards and they will want to finish the campaign with a win at Benito Villamarin. Levante are 17th on 42 points – W11 D9 L17, GD -13 – and depending on other results, they could yet be dragged into a relegation fight on the final day. That gives this game genuine edge from both ends.

Betis’ last 10 reads DLDDWDWDWL – three wins, five draws, two defeats – a side that has found it hard to be clinical despite creating plenty. Levante’s form reads DWLWWDLWWW – six wins in their last 10, which is a remarkable run from a side in the bottom half. They come into this one in form and will not be rolled over. All the latest head-to-head data is at Statz.

Key Stats

The output from Betis is genuinely impressive. Statz projections model a 1.64-1.06 scoreline, with Betis generating 15.67 shots per game and 4.93 on target – comfortably the highest in this set of fixtures. Levante bring 9.12 shots and 3.13 on target. Betis also lead on corners (5.46 vs 3.36). The numbers paint a picture of a home side that will dominate possession and territory – the question is whether they can take their chances against a Levante side playing with confidence.

Fouls will be a feature – Betis commit 9.61 per game and Levante 10.90. Carlos Espi leads Levante’s foul chart with 1.80 per 90, which makes him one to watch in booking markets.

Players to Watch

Cucho Hernandez is the danger man for Betis – projecting at 0.47 goals per game with 3.35 shots and 0.96 on target per 90. He is the most prolific attacker on either team sheet and leads the Betis forward line with a combination of physicality and pace. If Betis win this, Cucho will likely be involved.

Alongside him, Abde Ezzalzouli and Antony give Betis serious width. Ezzalzouli projects 0.35 goals, 3.16 shots, and 1.07 on target per 90 – he has hit at least one shot on target in four of his last five games. Antony adds 0.31 goals and 3.19 shots, with an average of 1.09 on target per 90. Three forwards projecting over three shots each per game is rare quality.

For Levante, Carlos Espi carries their main threat with a 0.34 goals projection and 1.98 shots per game – enough of an outlet to keep Betis honest at the back.

Betting Angles

Real Betis to win – At home, with five times the shot volume in some areas, and projecting 1.64 goals to Levante’s 1.06. Betis are the better team and have the motivation of a positive finish to their season. The form of Levante makes this not a certainty, but the underlying numbers strongly favour the hosts.

Over 2.5 goals – Betis have 15 goals in their last 10 and are generating nearly 16 shots per game. Levante have scored 17 in their last 10 – they are not shy in front of goal either. Both teams projecting over a goal each makes goals likely in this one.

Bet builder @ 6.38 (bet365) – Jose Luis Morales 1+ tackle (100% hit rate last 5), Abde Ezzalzouli 1+ shot on target (80% last 5), Antony 2+ tackles (80% last 5), Chimy Avila 1+ shot on target (60% last 5). All built from Statz hit rate data at a combined price of 6.38.

Verdict

Real Betis win this at home. They have the quality, the shot volume (15.67 per game), and a front three that are among the most threatening in this round. Levante’s run of form deserves respect – six wins in 10 is not a fluke – but Betis at the Benito Villamarin with a point to prove is a tough ask. Back the home win and Cucho Hernandez to find the net.