Alaves vs Rayo Predictions and Betting Tips
23rd May 2026
Alaves welcome Rayo to town in the La Liga with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 13th on 43 points while the visitors are 8th on 47 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Lineups and Team News
Alaves (Predicted): Antonio Sivera, Nahuel Tenaglia, Ville Koski, Victor Parada, Ángel Pérez, Jon Guridi, Antonio Blanco, Denis Suárez, Abde Rebbach, Ibrahim Diabaté, Toni Martínez
Rayo (Predicted): Augusto Batalla, Iván Balliu, Nobel Mendy, Florian Lejeune, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Óscar Valentín, Gerard Gumbau, Fran Pérez, Pedro Díaz, Alfonso Espino, Sergio Camello
Recent Form
Alaves come into this with form reading D W D D L W L D W W over their last 10 – that’s W4 D4 L2, scoring 18 and conceding 17.
Rayo have gone D L W L W D W D D W in their last 10 – W4 D4 L2, 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Statz Projections
Projected scoreline: Alaves 1.47 – 1.21 Rayo.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
In the tackling department, Óscar Valentín (Rayo Vallecano) leads the way with 2.82 projected tackles.
Referee
Jesús Gil Manzano takes charge of this one. Across 19 games this season, he averages 4.7 yellows and 25.0 fouls per match – a card-happy official who won’t hesitate to reach for the pocket.
Bet Builder
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 2.94:
- Sergio Camello (Rayo) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.36 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.6/game
- Pedro Díaz (Rayo) – 1+ Shots @ 1.08 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.6/game
- Oscar Trejo (Rayo) – 2+ Tackles @ 2 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 2.4/game
- Toni Martínez (Alaves) – 1+ Shots on Target – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/N/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.0/game
The Angle
With jesús gil manzano in charge, cards are almost guaranteed – he’s averaging 4.7 yellows per game.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.