Bournemouth vs Man City Predictions and Betting Tips
19th May 2026
Bournemouth have been quietly excellent in their last 10 – unbeaten, W4 D6, with only 7 goals conceded. That run has them 6th on 55 points. City are not here to admire it though. 2nd on 77 points, W7 D3 in their last 10, GF 21 GA 8 – they need a win in the title race and they have been brutal away from home all season.
Lineups and Player News
Predicted lineups (unconfirmed): Bournemouth: Petrovic; Smith, Hill, Senesi, Truffert; Adams, Scott, Kroupi; Tavernier, Rayan; Evanilson. Man City: Donnarumma; O’Reilly, Khusanov, Guehi, Nunes; Gonzalez, Bernardo Silva; Cherki, Doku; Semenyo, Haaland.
Recent Team Performance
Bournemouth are unbeaten in 10 but six of those are draws – a pattern that suggests a side comfortable holding their shape rather than going for throats. City have W7 D3 in the same window, conceding just 8, and have won their last 5 in all competitions.
Interesting Player Stats
Rayan Cherki is averaging 4.2 shots per game – 4/5 last 5 for 2+ shots. Antoine Semenyo backs that up at 2.4 shots/game, also 4/5 last 5. Referee Anthony Taylor averages 4.14 yellows and 20.21 fouls per game – light on cards relative to the occasion.
Betting Angles
Statz projects Man City at 2.01 goals, 14.28 shots, 4.60 SOT – against a Bournemouth side that has conceded 52 this season. City to win and over 2.5 goals is the structural case. For the bet builder, the Cherki and Semenyo shots legs are grounded in volume data from Statz projections.
Bet Builder – ~14/1 on Coral
– Eli Kroupi 2+ Fouls @ 3.30 (Coral) | 3/5 last 5 | avg 2.2 fouls/game
– Alex Scott 2+ Fouls @ 2.40 (Ladbrokes) | 3/5 last 5 | avg 2.0 fouls/game
– Rayan Cherki 2+ Shots @ 1.41 | 4/5 last 5 | avg 4.2 shots/game
– Antoine Semenyo 2+ Shots @ 1.48 (Ladbrokes) | 4/5 last 5 | avg 2.4 shots/game
Summary and Suggestions
City are the value pick here. Check the full H2H on Statz for live lineups and updated projections. City win and over 2.5 goals is the main market. The SGP at 14/1 carries more risk but the shot volume legs are well-supported by the Statz team projections.