Napoli vs Udinese Predictions and Betting Tips
22nd May 2026
Napoli round off a brilliant Serie A campaign at home to Udinese on the final day. The Partenopei are 2nd on 73 points with a goal difference of +21 – this has been a proper title challenge season and they’ll want to sign off in style. Udinese sit 10th on 50 points and have had a decent run of their own, winning 4 of their last 10. Let’s see what the Statz H2H data throws up.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Predicted XIs from the Statz H2H page:
Lineups not yet confirmed – check the H2H page closer to kickoff. The predicted lineup has Scott McTominay, Kevin De Bruyne, and Rasmus Hojlund all in the starting XI for Napoli. That’s some attack.
Key Stats
McTominay has been absolutely ridiculous this season – projected 0.49 goals per game with a massive 3.58 shots and 1.23 SOT. He draws 1.92 fouls per game too. He’s been the signing of the season. De Bruyne brings 1.90 shots and 0.35 assists per game, while Hojlund chips in with 2.17 shots and 0.43 projected goals per game. Giovane is another threat off the bench with 2.87 shots and 1.31 SOT per game.
For Udinese, Nicolo Zaniolo is the key man – 1.61 shots, 1.56 fouls committed, and 1.72 fouls drawn per game. He’s box office. Keinan Davis leads the line with 0.22 projected goals and 1.31 fouls drawn per game.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections heavily favour the hosts:
- Projected score: Napoli 1.75 – 0.83 Udinese
- Shots: Napoli 15.31 – 7.93 Udinese
- Shots on target: Napoli 4.82 – 2.61 Udinese
- Corners: Napoli 5.48 – 2.99 Udinese
- Fouls: Napoli 8.85 – 10.93 Udinese
- Yellow cards: Napoli 1.06 – 1.56 Udinese
Napoli absolutely dominate the shot numbers here – nearly double Udinese’s output. That 15.31 shots per game projection is elite. Udinese will be doing a lot of fouling to try and slow this Napoli attack down.
Referee
Referee not yet confirmed for this fixture. Check the H2H page closer to kickoff for the official appointment.
Bet Builder Angles
The Statz Bet Builder has a spicy 4-leg combo at 9.47 (bet365):
- Nicolo Zaniolo 1+ shots on target – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (avg 1.0 SOT/game). Best odds: 1.91 (bet365).
- Oumar Solet 1+ shots – 100% hit rate in his last 5 (avg 1.6 shots/game). Best odds: 1.95 (Ladbrokes).
- Keinan Davis 1+ shots on target – 80% hit rate in his last 5 (avg 1.2 SOT/game). Best odds: 1.90 (Stake).
- Jesper Karlstrom 1+ shots – 80% hit rate in his last 5 (avg 0.8 shots/game). Best odds: 2.40 (Ladbrokes).
Combined price: 9.47 (bet365). This one’s built around Udinese player stats – they’ll be chasing the game and having a go. Three of the four legs are Udinese players, which makes sense given they’ll need to be active to stay in the contest.
Verdict
This should be Napoli’s day. They’ve won 6 of their last 10, they’re at home, and the projections have them scoring nearly twice as many goals. McTominay is in the form of his life and the attacking talent on show is frightening. Udinese are no pushovers on the road (4 wins in 10 away) but the quality gap is clear. Napoli win with the bet builder at 9.47 for a bit of extra juice feels like a solid way to close out the Serie A campaign.