WSF vs TSK Preview – Major League Cricket 2026 | Statz

26th June 2026

Washington Freedom (6th, 2 pts) take on Texas Super Kings (3rd, 4 pts) at Oakland Coliseum in Major League Cricket 2026. First ball is at 07:00 IST (02:30 BST) on Saturday, June 28. Full match page and live data available on the Statz WSF vs TSK fixture page.

Freedom are rock bottom after three games with just one win, while the Super Kings sit third on four points from four matches. Both teams need momentum heading into the back half of the group stage – and this could be a pivotal clash at a ground that has been an absolute run-fest so far.

The Venue

Oakland Coliseum has hosted 11 T20s in MLC and it is a batting paradise. The average first-innings score is 193.6 and teams batting first have won 73% of decided games. Pace and spin economy rates are identical at 9.15, with seamers claiming 73.5% of wickets and spinners 21.6%. Expect big totals – the venue averages 23.4 sixes and 22.3 fours per match. The most recent game here saw Seattle Orcas smash 227/6 before bowling Washington Freedom out for 139 (26 Jun 2026).

Form and Table

Washington Freedom are 6th with 1 win and 2 losses from 3 games.

Last 5 results:

Texas Super Kings are 3rd with 2 wins and 2 losses from 4 games.

Last 5 results:

MLC 2026 Standings (Top 4)

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 LA Knight Riders 2 2 0 4
2 Seattle Orcas 4 2 2 4
3 Texas Super Kings 4 2 2 4
4 MI New York 2 1 1 2

Head-to-Head

6 meetings since 2023 (Statz data). Washington Freedom lead 3-1, with 2 no results. The last decisive fixture was on 23 Jun 2025 when Freedom chased down TSK’s 220/6 with 223/3 to win by 7 wickets.

A key factor here – Texas Super Kings are unbeaten at Oakland Coliseum, winning all 4 of their T20s at this venue. Washington Freedom’s record here is more modest at 2 wins and 2 losses from 4 games.

Statz Projections

Statz data from the WSF vs TSK projections page gives Washington Freedom a 62.2% win probability in the batting-first scenario.

The model projects a first-innings total of 195.1 – right in line with the Oakland Coliseum average of 193.6. The projected match total of 371.3 comfortably exceeds the venue average of 340.2, suggesting this could be one of the higher-scoring contests of the tournament.

Even if TSK bat first, Freedom are still favoured at 56.4%, with a projected first-innings total of 185.3 and match total of 361.9.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap (Top 5 Run-Scorers)

  1. Tim Seifert (SO) – 224 runs (4 inns)
  2. Mitchell Owen (WSF) – 221 runs (3 inns)
  3. Faf du Plessis (TSK) – 159 runs (3 inns)
  4. Lhuan-dre Pretorius (SFU) – 144 runs (3 inns)
  5. Shayan Jahangir (SO) – 129 runs (4 inns)

Purple Cap (Top 5 Wicket-Takers)

  1. Jasdeep Singh (SO) – 11 wickets (4 inns)
  2. Ottneil Baartman (SO) – 9 wickets (4 inns)
  3. Amshi de Silva (TSK) – 7 wickets (4 inns)
  4. Peter Siddle (SFU) – 6 wickets (3 inns)
  5. Dasun Shanaka (SO) – 5 wickets (4 inns)

Washington Freedom Season Leaders

Texas Super Kings Season Leaders

Predicted XIs

Washington Freedom (based on XI vs Seattle Orcas, 26 Jun 2026)

  1. Steven Smith (C)
  2. Mitchell Owen
  3. Mark Chapman
  4. Glenn Maxwell
  5. Jack Edwards
  6. Andries Gous (WK)
  7. Obus Pienaar
  8. Marco Jansen
  9. Ian Holland
  10. Amila Aponso
  11. Saurabh Netravalkar

Texas Super Kings (based on XI vs San Francisco Unicorns, 25 Jun 2026)

  1. Faf du Plessis (C)
  2. Rilee Rossouw
  3. Saiteja Mukkamalla
  4. Donovan Ferreira (WK)
  5. Shubham Ranjane
  6. Milind Kumar
  7. Wiaan Mulder
  8. Adam Milne
  9. Hardus Viljoen
  10. Amshi de Silva
  11. Abhimanyu Lamba

Check the WSF vs TSK fixture page after the toss for confirmed lineups.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Amshi de Silva (TSK) – projected 88.1 Dream11 points. The right-arm seamer has been TSK’s standout bowler with 7 wickets in 4 games, hitting 1+ wickets in every match this season. Projects 1.82 wickets in this fixture.

Vice Captain: Marco Jansen (WSF) – projected 86.9 Dream11 points. The left-arm quick offers all-round value with both bat and ball. Projects 1.28 wickets and 13 runs batting at 7.

Also consider:

Key Players

Mitchell Owen (WSF) – The explosive opener has 221 runs this MLC season at an average of 73.67, including a stunning 155. He has a 66.7% hit rate for 20+ runs and is second in the competition’s Orange Cap race. When Owen fires, Freedom win.

Faf du Plessis (TSK) – The TSK captain has 159 runs at 53.00 this season with a century (113) to his name. Du Plessis has a 66.7% hit rate for 20+ runs and 66.7% for 30+ runs – he is the batting anchor TSK need at the top.

Amshi de Silva (TSK) – Third in the Purple Cap standings with 7 wickets in 4 innings and a perfect 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets. De Silva is TSK’s most reliable threat with the ball, highlighted by a 4-wicket haul in his most recent outing.

Ian Holland (WSF) – Freedom’s leading wicket-taker with 5 wickets in 3 matches. Holland has hit 1+ wickets in every single game this season – a 100% hit rate. His all-round contributions (31 runs batting) add extra value.

Conditions

Clear sky, 18 degrees C with light winds at 7.3 km/h and 60% humidity. No rain expected – all 40 overs should be completed.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Statz data favours Washington Freedom at 62.2% in the batting-first scenario. That advantage drops to 56.4% if TSK bat first, but Freedom are the clear favourites on paper. That said, Freedom’s recent collapse (bowled out for 139 vs Seattle) is a concern, and TSK are unbeaten in 4 games at Oakland Coliseum.

Match odds were not yet available at the time of writing.

Bet builder angles (check the Statz WSF vs TSK bet builder for live odds):

This is a batting paradise with 73% of decided games won by the team batting first. Expect a big first-innings score and back the bowlers who can break through on this surface.