WSF vs MINY Preview – Major League Cricket 2026 | Statz
19th June 2026
Washington Freedom open their Major League Cricket 2026 campaign against MI New York at Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas on Saturday 21 June – 6:00 AM IST (1:30 AM BST). Both sides enter the tournament at 0-0 with everything to play for after Texas Super Kings set an early marker with a six-wicket win over Seattle Orcas in the opening fixture. Full fixture page on Statz.
The Venue
Grand Prairie Stadium is a batting paradise. Across the last 30 T20s here, the average first innings score sits at 180.7 with a combined match total of 348.2. Bat-first sides win just 40% of the time – chasing is king at this ground, with the highest total a staggering 246 and the lowest a modest 124.
Pace bowlers leak runs at 9.50 an over but claim 66.1% of wickets. Spin is more economical at 8.06 but accounts for only 29.2% of dismissals. The most recent game here saw Texas Super Kings chase down Seattle Orcas’ 220/2 with 221/4 – six wickets to spare. That tells you everything about what to expect from this surface.
Form and Table
With only one match played in MLC 2026, the table is largely blank. Texas Super Kings sit top with 2 points from one win; Seattle Orcas are bottom after their opening defeat. Washington Freedom, MI New York, LA Knight Riders, and San Francisco Unicorns all have it all ahead of them.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TSK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2 | LAKR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | SFU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | WSF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | MINY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Washington Freedom – last 5 (MLC 2025): L, L, W, L, W
- vs MINY: 175/5 vs 180/7 – Lost by 5 runs (14 Jul 2025)
- vs SFU: 112/8 vs 113/4 – Lost
- vs LAKR: 142/9 vs 136/4 – Won
- vs SO: 82/10 vs 86/2 – Lost
- vs TSK: 169/6 chasing 168/5 – Won
MI New York – last 5 (MLC 2025): W, W, L, L, W
- vs WSF: 180/7 vs 175/5 – Won by 5 runs (14 Jul 2025)
- vs TSK: 172/3 vs 166/5 – Won
- vs SFU: 131/8 vs 132/8 – Lost
- vs TSK: 184/9 vs 223/4 – Lost
- vs SO: 237/2 vs 238/8 – Won
MINY finished last season the stronger side, winning three of their final five including a comfortable victory over WSF in their most recent meeting. Freedom were inconsistent – capable of chasing 168 against TSK but also bowled out for 82 by Seattle Orcas.
Head to Head
Seven meetings since 2023 (Statz data). Washington Freedom lead 4-3 overall, but MI New York won the last encounter – 180/7 vs 175/5 at this very ground on 14 July 2025. That five-run victory came courtesy of Nicholas Pooran‘s firepower at the top of the order.
At Grand Prairie, WSF have won 9 of 14 matches since 2021 while MINY have managed just 8 wins from 18. The home advantage is real for Freedom at this venue.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections favour Washington Freedom regardless of the toss:
- WSF bat first: WSF 54.6% – MINY 43.4%. Projected 1st innings: 186.2 (P10: 159, P90: 213). Match total: 355.6
- MINY bat first: WSF 58.6% – MINY 39.4%. Projected 1st innings: 177.6 (P10: 144, P90: 210). Match total: 346.3
Freedom are rated between 54.6% and 58.6% depending on the toss outcome. They are stronger when bowling first and chasing – which lines up perfectly with Grand Prairie’s 60% chase-win rate. A projected first innings of 186.2 (WSF batting) is bang in line with the venue average of 180.7.
Competition Season Leaders
With only one match in the books, the leaderboards are thin – but they already tell a story about Grand Prairie’s batting surface.
Orange Cap (Top Run Scorers – MLC 2026):
- Faf du Plessis (TSK) – 113 runs
- Tim Seifert (SO) – 104 runs
- Shayan Jahangir (SO) – 78 runs
- Rilee Rossouw (TSK) – 49 runs
- Wiaan Mulder (TSK) – 31 runs
Purple Cap (Top Wicket Takers – MLC 2026):
Multiple players tied on 1 wicket: Marcus Stoinis, Adam Milne, Cameron Gannon, Jasdeep Singh, Amshi de Silva.
Neither WSF nor MINY have season stats yet – this is their opening fixture of MLC 2026.
Predicted XIs
Based on the last meeting between these sides on 14 July 2025. Squads may have changed for MLC 2026.
Washington Freedom:
- Mitchell Owen (AR, RHB/RAFM)
- Rachin Ravindra (BAT/AR, LHB/SLA)
- Andries Gous (WK, RHB)
- Glenn Maxwell (AR, RHB/RAOB) (c)
- Mukhtar Ahmed (BAT, RHB)
- Obus Pienaar (BAT, RHB)
- Jack Edwards (AR, RHB/RAFM)
- Ian Holland (AR, RHB/RAFM)
- Lockie Ferguson (BWL, RHB/RAF)
- Saurabh Netravalkar (BWL, RHB/LAFM)
MI New York:
- Quinton de Kock (WK, LHB)
- Monank Patel (WK, RHB)
- Nicholas Pooran (WK, LHB) (c)
- Kieron Pollard (AR, RHB/RAFM)
- Kunwarjeet Singh (AR, LHB/RAFM)
- Tajinder Singh (AR, RHB/RAOB)
- Tristan Luus (BWL, RHB/RAFM)
- Trent Boult (BWL, RHB/LAFM)
- Nosthush Kenjige (BWL, RHB/SLA)
- Rushil Ugarkar (BAT, RHB/RAFM)
Dream11 Tips
Captain: Jack Edwards (WSF) – 96.5 projected fantasy points. The all-rounder is projected to contribute with both bat and ball, making him the standout pick for captain.
Vice-Captain: Saurabh Netravalkar (WSF) – 73.6 projected points. The left-arm seamer has been a consistent wicket-taker for Freedom and should thrive if there is any early movement.
Top 5 Projected Fantasy Points:
- Jack Edwards (WSF) – 96.5 pts
- Saurabh Netravalkar (WSF) – 73.6 pts
- Mitchell Owen (WSF) – 73.3 pts
- Rachin Ravindra (WSF) – 72.3 pts
- Lockie Ferguson (WSF) – 70.9 pts
The projections lean heavily towards WSF players – four of the top five are from Freedom’s XI. If you need MINY representation, Trent Boult and Quinton de Kock are the obvious picks given their Grand Prairie pedigree.
Key Players
Glenn Maxwell (WSF) – Freedom’s captain and chief match-winner. Eight wickets in four MLC matches shows his off-spin is a genuine weapon on American surfaces, not just a part-time option. With the bat, Maxwell at number four gives WSF the x-factor that swings close games.
Trent Boult (MINY) – Nine wickets in three MLC matches and a staggering 32 career wickets at Grand Prairie. Boult owns this ground. His left-arm swing in the powerplay is MINY’s biggest asset, and in a tournament where early wickets dictate everything, he is the danger man.
Quinton de Kock (MINY) – 132 runs in just two MLC innings tells you everything. De Kock at his destructive best can take any game away from the opposition inside the powerplay. On a batting paradise like Grand Prairie, he is box office.
Rachin Ravindra (WSF) – 120 runs and a wicket in four MLC matches. The New Zealand left-hander offers the dual threat of aggressive top-order batting and tidy slow left-arm spin. On a pitch where spin goes at 8.06 an over, Ravindra’s overs could be gold.
Conditions
Fair weather in Dallas – 29°C with 72% humidity, light winds at 5.2 m/s, and just 24% cloud cover. No rain expected. Perfect conditions for a high-scoring encounter.
Verdict and Betting Angles
Washington Freedom are the pick here. Statz projections have them favoured at 54.6-58.6% regardless of the toss, they boast a strong 9-4 record at Grand Prairie since 2021, and their squad depth – led by Glenn Maxwell – gives them more matchwinners across all phases of the game.
MI New York have firepower at the top with de Kock and Pooran, and Boult’s Grand Prairie record is phenomenal, but their 8-10 record at this venue is a concern. Freedom at home on a pitch they know inside out is the angle.
No live odds are available yet for this fixture. When they drop, look for value on WSF to win – the projections suggest the market should price them as slight favourites. For player props, Jack Edwards as a fantasy all-rounder and Trent Boult’s wicket-taking potential are worth monitoring on the Statz Bet Builder.
All projections and stats sourced from statz.ai. Data correct at time of writing.