Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview – 3 April 2026

3rd April 2026

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies betting preview

Memphis host Toronto tonight as 1.14 moneyline favourites – but here’s the thing: the Grizzlies are only at 20% win rate this season vs Toronto’s 40%. The market is pricing this based on home court and recent form rather than season record, and there might be some value in the Raptors here.

Injury Report

Memphis are without four key players: Cedric Coward, Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells and Chucky Hepburn. Coward (13.8 PPG) and Jerome (18 PPG – their top scorer in last 10) both out is significant. GG Jackson (17.4) and Olivier-Maxence Prosper (16) carry the load.

Toronto have a clean injury report. Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, Sandro Mamukelashvili and Jakob Poeltl all available. This is actually a fairly full-strength Raptors side.

The Data

Pace is almost identical – MEM 101.3 vs TOR 100.6. This should be a competitive game tempo-wise. Shooting favours Toronto – FG% of 51.4% vs Memphis’s 46.8%, 3PT% 38.6% vs 37%. Toronto’s offensive rating of 107.8 edges MEM’s 100.1. Defensively MEM hold a slight edge (113.2 vs TOR’s 103.9 – wait, that’s MEM’s defensive ALLOWED rating, meaning TOR defend better at 103.9).

H2H: one game this season, Memphis won 117-104 in November. But Ty Jerome scored 0 that night (he was one of their key performers), which is odd. RJ Barrett dropped 27 in defeat – he can clearly score against this team.

Prop Standouts

Sandro Mamukelashvili is the story here. He’s on a 6-game over across multiple markets: Points + Rebounds + Assists (line 18.5, avg 24.4) at 1.83 BetMGM; Points + Rebounds (line 16.5, avg 23) at 1.78 FanDuel; Points alone (line 11.5, avg 16.6) at 1.87 Caesars. He’s the highest-value player in this game right now based on streak data. Scottie Barnes is also on a 6-game over for assists (line 8.5, avg 12.2) at 1.80 – 12 assists a game is elite production.

RJ Barrett (TOR) is on a 7-game under for blocks (line 0.5, avg 0) at 1.40 – he’s not a shot-blocker, nothing to see there.

This is the most interesting game of the night from a value perspective. Toronto are underrated here. Full data: TOR vs MEM on Statz.