Texas Super Kings vs Washington Freedom Preview – Major League Cricket 2026

10th July 2026

Texas Super Kings host Washington Freedom at Grand Prairie Stadium on Saturday for a Major League Cricket clash with both sides fighting for playoff positioning. First ball is at 20:30 UTC on 11 July 2026.

Texas sit sixth in the standings on 6 points from 8 matches (W3 L5), while Washington occupy fifth on 8 points (W4 L4). The gap is just two points, making this a pivotal encounter in the race for the top four. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Texas Super Kings vs Washington Freedom fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Grand Prairie Stadium has been a batting paradise this season. Across 10 matches here, the average match total stands at 358.6 runs with an average first-innings score of 179.6. The ground has hosted 20 innings with an average of 18.5 sixes per match – a clear indicator of short boundaries and explosive cricket.

Seam bowlers have dominated the wicket-taking, accounting for 80.6% of dismissals at an economy rate of 9.93, while spinners have been more economical at 8.93 but claim only 14.5% of wickets. The pitch is tagged as a batting paradise by Statz. Texas have won 8 of their 19 home matches here since 2021, while Washington have won 10 of 17 away visits – the visitors hold a slight edge at this venue.

Form and Table

Texas Super Kings – 6th (P8 W3 L5, 6 pts)

Texas have struggled in recent matches, losing three of their last five. Their most recent outing saw them fall to Los Angeles by 2 runs on 4 July, followed by a narrow 9-run defeat to Seattle on 5 July. However, they did beat MI New York on 26 June (132/4 vs 127/9), showing they can compete when form aligns:

Washington Freedom – 5th (P8 W4 L4, 8 pts)

Washington have been more consistent, though their last outing was a loss. They fell to Los Angeles by 18 runs on 10 July (174/8 vs 192/8), but prior to that had won three straight. Their form shows a team capable of stringing wins together:

Standings Snapshot

Pos Team P W L Pts NRR
1 San Francisco Unicorns 8 5 3 10 +0.59
2 Seattle Orcas 8 4 4 8 +0.23
3 Los Angeles Knight Riders 8 4 4 8 +0.187
4 MI New York 8 4 4 8 -0.2
5 Washington Freedom 8 4 4 8 -0.637
6 Texas Super Kings 8 3 5 6 -0.122

Both sides have four matches remaining in the regular season. Washington’s two-point advantage is slim, and a loss here would leave them vulnerable to the chasing pack. Texas must win to keep their playoff hopes alive.

Head-to-Head

Washington hold a commanding record in this fixture. In seven meetings, Washington have won 4 to Texas’ 1, with 2 no-results. Most significantly, Washington beat Texas at this very ground just 13 days ago on 28 June, chasing down 185 with a 187/9 victory – a statement win that showed they can handle Texas’ bowling attack.

The recent form edge belongs firmly to Washington. Full H2H stats, projections and lineups on Statz.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections favour Washington slightly in what is otherwise a tight contest.

If Texas bat first: Projected first-innings total of 182.8, match total of 355.1. Win probability – TSK 42.7%, WSF 55.3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 155 to 210.

If Washington bat first: Projected first-innings total of 183.8, match total of 356. Win probability – TSK 49.7%, WSF 48.3%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 156 to 211.

The projections suggest Washington gain a 12.6-point edge if they bowl first – a significant advantage at the toss. Both projected match totals (355-356) sit just below the Grand Prairie average of 358.6. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349 across both scenarios.

Competition Season Leaders

Top 5 Run-Scorers

Player Team Runs Inn
Lhuan-dre Pretorius San Francisco Unicorns 415 8
Mitchell Owen Washington Freedom 361 8
Tim Seifert Seattle Orcas 282 8
Andre Fletcher Los Angeles Knight Riders 242 8
Colin Munro Los Angeles Knight Riders 233 7

Top 5 Wicket-Takers

Player Team Wkts Inn
Ottneil Baartman Seattle Orcas 16 8
Jasdeep Singh Seattle Orcas 15 8
Matthew Short San Francisco Unicorns 14 8
Andre Russell Los Angeles Knight Riders 13 7
Brody Couch San Francisco Unicorns 13 8

Texas Super Kings Season Leaders

Runs: Saiteja Mukkamalla – 215 runs, avg 26.88, HS 80 | Faf du Plessis – 208 runs, avg 29.71, HS 113 | Wiaan Mulder – 160 runs, avg 20.0, HS 43

Wickets: Amshi de Silva – 12 wkts, avg 1.5 | Adam Milne – 10 wkts, avg 1.43 | Abhimanyu Lamba – 5 wkts, avg 1.0

Washington Freedom Season Leaders

Runs: Mitchell Owen – 361 runs, avg 45.13, HS 155 | Andries Gous – 197 runs, avg 24.63, HS 83 | Steven Smith – 189 runs, avg 23.63, HS 56

Wickets: Saurabh Netravalkar – 10 wkts, avg 1.43 | Ian Holland – 9 wkts, avg 1.5 | Marco Jansen – 6 wkts, avg 1.2

Predicted XIs

Texas Super Kings (based on XI vs Seattle, 5 Jul 2026)

  1. Faf du Plessis (c)
  2. Saiteja Mukkamalla (wk)
  3. Rilee Rossouw
  4. Shubham Ranjane
  5. Dian Forrester
  6. Donovan Ferreira
  7. Wiaan Mulder
  8. Calvin Savage
  9. Amshi de Silva
  10. Abhimanyu Lamba
  11. Adam Milne

Washington Freedom (based on XI vs Los Angeles, 10 Jul 2026)

  1. Steven Smith (c)
  2. Mitchell Owen
  3. Andries Gous (wk)
  4. Lahiru Milantha
  5. Rachin Ravindra
  6. Nikhil Chaudhary
  7. Obus Pienaar
  8. Ian Holland
  9. Jack Edwards
  10. Saurabh Netravalkar
  11. Ben Dwarshuis

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Key Players

Mitchell Owen (Washington Freedom)

The Washington all-rounder is the competition’s second-highest run-scorer with 361 runs at an average of 45.13 and a high score of 155. Owen has been the backbone of Washington’s batting, and his projected 29.3 runs in this fixture makes him a captain-calibre option. He has also taken 3 wickets this season, adding genuine value across both disciplines. His 50% hit rate for 30+ runs this season shows he can deliver match-winning performances.

Faf du Plessis (Texas Super Kings)

The Texas captain has 208 runs at 29.71 with a high score of 113, and his experience in high-pressure situations is invaluable. Du Plessis is projected for 36.9 runs in this match – the highest of any batter on the field. His strike rate of 154.8 shows he can accelerate when needed, and his 2 catches demonstrate his value in the field. At 62.5% for 20+ runs this season, du Plessis is a reliable captain pick.

Saurabh Netravalkar (Washington Freedom)

Washington’s leading wicket-taker with 10 from 8 matches at an average of 1.43. Netravalkar has taken at least one wicket in 71.4% of his matches this season and 2+ wickets in 42.9% – a bowler who consistently impacts the game. His projected 1.5 wickets and 75.8 Dream11 points make him a key player in the Washington attack.

Amshi de Silva (Texas Super Kings)

Texas’ leading wicket-taker with 12 from 8 matches. De Silva has taken at least one wicket in 87.5% of his matches this season – an exceptional hit rate. He is projected for 1.8 wickets in this fixture and 91.3 Dream11 points, making him a critical player in Texas’ bowling attack.

Conditions

Clear skies are forecast for Grand Prairie with temperatures around 32 degrees Celsius. Humidity is moderate at 45%, and wind is light at 3.2 km/h from the south. No rain is expected, ensuring a full 40 overs of cricket.

Verdict and Betting Angles

This is a tight contest, but the Statz projections give Washington a slight edge. The key factor is the toss – if Washington win and bowl first, their win probability jumps to 55.3%. If Texas bat first, the match becomes almost even at 49.7% to 42.7%.

Washington’s recent form, their head-to-head dominance (4-1), and their superior run-scoring firepower through Mitchell Owen and Steven Smith make them the slight favourites. However, Texas’ home advantage at Grand Prairie and their bowling depth cannot be dismissed.

Verdict: Washington Freedom at 51.8% win probability. The visitors’ form, experience, and recent success at this ground tilt the balance in their favour, though this remains a coin-flip contest. Texas will need to execute their bowling plans to perfection and get early wickets to turn the tide.

Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture: