TSK vs MINY Preview – MLC 2026 | Statz

20th June 2026

The Major League Cricket 2026 season is just getting started, and this early fixture already carries real intrigue. Texas Super Kings, currently 1st in the table after a thumping opening-day win, host MI New York, who sit 4th and are yet to play a game this season. The match gets underway at 06:00 IST (01:30 BST) on Sunday 22 June at the Grand Prairie Stadium in Dallas.

For the full fixture breakdown, head to Texas Super Kings vs MI New York on Statz.

The Venue – Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas

Grand Prairie is a proper batting paradise. Across 30 T20s at this ground since July 2024, the average first innings score sits at 182.4 with an average match total of 351.6. Teams batting first have won just 40% of the time – chasing sides have the edge under lights here.

Pace has dominated the wicket-taking column with 66.8% of dismissals at an economy of 9.59, while spinners have been more economical at 8.04 but only account for 28.5% of wickets. The highest total recorded at the venue is 246, the lowest 124, and seven of 30 first innings have gone past 210.

The most recent game at this ground – Seattle Orcas vs Washington Freedom on 20 June – saw WSF post 216/10 before SO chased it down with 219/5 in 17.4 overs. The game before that? TSK themselves smashing 221/4 to chase down SO’s 220/2. Runs flow at Grand Prairie.

Form and Table

Texas Super Kings (1st – P1, W1, L0, 2pts) opened their MLC 2026 campaign with a statement win. They chased down Seattle Orcas’ 220/2 with six wickets in hand, Faf du Plessis smashing an unbeaten 113 off 52 balls. Last five results (most recent first across seasons): W (221/4 beat SO 220/2), L (166/5 lost to MINY 172/3), NR (abandoned vs WSF), W (188/4 beat SO 137), L (147/7 lost to SFU 148/6).

MI New York (4th – P0, W0, L0, 0pts) have not played a game in MLC 2026 yet. Their most recent MLC form comes from 2025 where they finished the regular season strongly. Last five results: W (180/7 beat WSF 175/5), W (172/3 beat TSK 166/5), W (132/8 beat SFU 131), L (112/8 lost to WSF 113/4), W (142/9 beat LAKR 136/4). Three wins on the bounce heading into the off-season.

MLC 2026 Table (Top 4):

1. Texas Super Kings – P1, W1, L0, 2pts
2. Los Angeles Knight Riders – P1, W1, L0, 2pts
3. Seattle Orcas – P2, W1, L1, 2pts
4. MI New York – P0, W0, L0, 0pts

With 34 regular season matches in total and the tournament only a few days old, both sides have plenty of games ahead.

Head-to-Head

These two have met 8 times since 2023 (Statz data). TSK lead 5-2 with one no result. The last meeting was on 12 July 2025 at this same venue – MINY won by 7 wickets, chasing down TSK’s 166/5 with 172/3 in 19 overs. Before that, TSK had won four straight against MINY including a 39-run demolition at Grand Prairie where they posted 223/4.

TSK’s all-time record at Grand Prairie: P17, W8, L8, NR1. Faf du Plessis is their top scorer at the venue with 720 runs. MINY at Grand Prairie: P18, W8, L10 with Nicholas Pooran their leading run-scorer (570 runs) and Trent Boult their top wicket-taker (32 wickets).

Statz Projections

Statz projects this as a tight contest. If TSK bat first, their win probability is 49.9% to MINY’s 48.1%, with the projected first innings total at 188.3 and match total at 363. If MINY bat first, TSK become slight favourites at 55.3% vs 42.7%, with a projected first innings of 185.6 and match total of 360.1.

Full projections: TSK vs MINY Projections.

The P10/P90 range for first innings (TSK batting first) is 161-217, underlining the volatility at this ground. The projected match total of 363 sits above the venue average of 351.6 – expect runs.

MLC 2026 Season Leaders

Orange Cap (Top Run-Scorers):
1. Tim Seifert (SO) – 182 runs, 2 innings
2. Faf du Plessis (TSK) – 113 runs, 1 inning
3. Shayan Jahangir (SO) – 95 runs, 2 innings
4. Matthew Breetzke (SO) – 66 runs, 1 inning
5. Colin Munro (LAKR) – 64 runs, 1 inning

Purple Cap (Top Wicket-Takers):
1. Ottneil Baartman (SO) – 5 wickets, 2 innings
2. Dasun Shanaka (SO) – 3 wickets, 2 innings
3. Jasdeep Singh (SO) – 3 wickets, 2 innings
4. Peter Siddle (SFU) – 2 wickets, 1 inning
5. Sunil Narine (LAKR) – 2 wickets, 1 inning

TSK Season Leaders: Faf du Plessis leads with 113 runs (avg 113.0, HS 113*). Adam Milne and Amshi de Silva share the bowling lead with 1 wicket each from the opener.

MINY Season Leaders: Yet to play in MLC 2026 – no season data available.

Predicted XIs

Texas Super Kings (based on XI vs Seattle Orcas, 19 Jun 2026):
Faf du Plessis (c), Saiteja Mukkamalla, Rilee Rossouw, Donovan Ferreira (wk), Wiaan Mulder, Shubham Ranjane, Amshi de Silva, Milind Kumar, Mohammad Mohsin, Nandre Burger, Adam Milne

MI New York (based on XI vs Washington Freedom, 14 Jul 2025 – prior season):
Quinton de Kock (wk), Monank Patel, Nicholas Pooran (c), Kieron Pollard, Kunwarjeet Singh, Tajinder Singh, Tristan Luus, Trent Boult, Nosthush Kenjige, Rushil Ugarkar

Note: MINY’s lineup is from last season and may change significantly. Check the fixture page for confirmed XIs after the toss.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Wiaan Mulder (TSK) – projected 108.4 Dream11 points. The South African all-rounder bats in the middle order and bowls four overs of medium pace, giving him dual points avenues. He scored 31 runs in the opener and is projected to contribute with both bat (28.3 runs) and ball (1.01 wickets).

Vice Captain: Faf du Plessis (TSK) – projected 85.5 Dream11 points. After his stunning 113* off 52 in the tournament opener, du Plessis is projected for 40.7 runs at a strike rate of 157.6. Pure batting points machine.

Other picks:
Adam Milne (TSK) – 78.6 pts – pace bowler projected for 1.52 wickets
Quinton de Kock (MINY) – 73.6 pts – destructive opener with wicketkeeping bonus
Donovan Ferreira (TSK) – 72.6 pts – keeper-batter projected for 23.7 runs at SR 177.1

Key Players

Faf du Plessis (TSK) – The veteran produced an extraordinary unbeaten 113 off 52 balls in the tournament opener, including 7 sixes and 9 fours. Across all MLC seasons he has 327 runs with 18 sixes in 7 matches at Grand Prairie. The 41-year-old looks in the form of his life. Projected for 40.7 runs in this match.

Quinton de Kock (MINY) – MINY’s destructive left-hander opens alongside Monank Patel and is projected for 31.3 runs at a strike rate of 152.1. De Kock scored 49 runs with 4 catches and 3 sixes across 3 MLC matches at this venue last year. He loves these flat Grand Prairie decks.

Trent Boult (MINY) – The left-arm quick is the all-time leading wicket-taker at Grand Prairie with 32 wickets from 18 matches. Projected for 1.2 wickets in this game. Boult took 8 wickets in 5 MLC innings last season and his new ball skill will be key on a ground where powerplay runs flow freely.

Wiaan Mulder (TSK) – The all-rounder is the Dream11 top pick for good reason. His dual role – projected for 28.3 runs and 1.01 wickets when TSK bat first – makes him the most valuable Fantasy asset in this match. Scored 31 and bowled 4 overs in the opener.

Conditions

Clear skies in Dallas with temperatures around 33°C at the start, humidity at 53% and negligible wind – perfect conditions for batting under lights.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Texas Super Kings get the nod here. They have the home advantage, the better head-to-head record (5-2), match sharpness from the opener, and a captain in sizzling form. MINY are a quality outfit with de Kock, Pooran, Pollard and Boult, but coming in cold for their first game of the season is a genuine disadvantage at a venue where you need to be up to pace from ball one. Statz projects TSK at 55.3% if MINY bat first, and even 49.9% if they bat first themselves – essentially a coin flip, but the intangibles favour the home side.

Odds are not yet available for this fixture – check back closer to match time for live prices.

Betting angles:

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