Sweden vs Finland Preview – T20I 2026 | Statz

13th June 2026

Sweden host Finland at the Botkyrka Cricket Center in Stockholm on Saturday in the Nordic Quadrangular T20I series. First ball is at 18:00 IST (13:30 BST). These two met just two days ago at this very ground, and Finland scraped home by a single wicket in a thriller. Now Sweden will be desperate to set the record straight on home turf, while Finland arrive on the back of five straight wins and look the form side in this competition. Full match data, projections and lineups are available on the Statz match page.

The Venue – Botkyrka Cricket Center, Stockholm

Botkyrka has hosted 10 T20Is with an average first innings score of 124 and an average match total of 266. The bat-first win percentage is just 33%, making it a clear chase-friendly venue – the team bowling first has won two-thirds of games here. Seam dominates: 83.1% of wickets fall to pace, with seamers going at 6.94 an over compared to spin at 7.98. Openers have been the top scorers in 7 of 10 matches. The most recent game here saw Finland post 177/7 to beat Norway by 36 runs on 13 June 2026.

Form and Table

Sweden – Last 5 Results

Sweden’s recent record reads 1 win from 5. In this quadrangular they are 1-1, having beaten Norway before losing to Finland. Their batting has been inconsistent – they managed just 107 all out in that Finland defeat but posted 138/5 chasing against Norway the day before. The season average of 122.5 runs scored tells its own story.

Finland – Last 5 Results

Finland are on a five-match winning streak and have won 6 of 7 T20Is this season (85.7% win rate). Their season average of 136.4 runs scored compared to Sweden’s 122.5 tells you which side has been more clinical. That 177/7 against Norway yesterday was their highest score in this quadrangular.

Head-to-Head

5 meetings since 2021 (Statz data). Finland lead the head-to-head 3-2. The most recent meeting was on 12 June 2026 at this same venue – Finland won by 1 wicket in a tight chase. At the Botkyrka Cricket Center specifically, Finland have won all 3 matches they have played here (W3 L0), while Sweden have won just 2 of 6 at home (W2 L4). Every match in this series has been competitive, with margins of 1 wicket, 4 wickets and 6 wickets featuring.

Statz Projections

Statz projections for the Sweden vs Finland fixture show this is a close contest, with the toss potentially decisive.

If Sweden bat first: Finland are projected to win at 56.4%, Sweden at 41.6% (2% tie/NR). Projected first innings total: 126.2 (P10: 106, P90: 147). Projected match total: 244.5 (P10: 210, P90: 277).

If Finland bat first: Sweden are projected to win at 51%, Finland at 47% (2% tie/NR). Projected first innings total: 126.9 (P10: 107, P90: 147). Projected match total: 245.3 (P10: 212, P90: 277).

The projected first innings total of around 126-127 is just above the venue average of 124, suggesting a par-score game. Both scenarios project the match total around 245, which is below the venue average of 266 – the model expects slightly tighter bowling in this fixture. The toss matters: Finland are clear favourites if Sweden bat first, but it flips to near-even if Finland have to set the total.

Competition Season Leaders

T20I Season Run Leaders

  1. Karanbir Singh (Austria) – 284 runs in 7 innings
  2. Musaddiq Ahmed – 277 runs in 5 innings
  3. Shimron Hetmyer (West Indies) – 250 runs in 7 innings
  4. Suryakumar Yadav (India) – 242 runs in 5 innings
  5. Kieron Ferrary – 222 runs in 6 innings

T20I Season Wicket Leaders

  1. Amjad Sher (Finland) – 16 wickets in 7 innings
  2. Keshav Maharaj (South Africa) – 12 wickets in 8 innings
  3. Hammadullah Shinwari (Finland) – 12 wickets in 7 innings
  4. Shahid Afridi – 11 wickets in 5 innings
  5. Mitchell Santner (New Zealand) – 10 wickets in 8 innings

Remarkably, two Finland bowlers sit in the top 3 of the global T20I wicket charts this season. Amjad Sher leads all T20I bowlers with 16 wickets, while Hammadullah Shinwari is joint-second with 12. That bowling firepower is a big part of why Finland have been so dominant.

Sweden Season Leaderboard

Runs: Yatharth Chauhan 53 (avg 26.5), Wynand Boshoff 51 (avg 25.5), Hamid Mahmood 36 (avg 18.0).
Wickets: Naser Baluch 5 (best 3/), Samiullah Rahmani 4 (best 3/), Hamid Mahmood 2.

Finland Season Leaderboard

Runs: Faraaz Mehti Abbas 163 (avg 23.3, HS 50), Vanraaj Padhaal 117 (avg 29.3, HS 84), Aniketh Pusthay 114 (avg 19.0, HS 43).
Wickets: Amjad Sher 16 (best 3/), Hammadullah Shinwari 12 (best 6/), Muhammad Junaid Khan 7.

Predicted XIs

Sweden Predicted XI

Based on the XI that played vs Finland on 12 June 2026.

Imal Zuwak (c), Ajay Mundra (wk), Awais Ahmad, Darshan Lakhani, Wynand Boshoff, Yatharth Chauhan, Hamid Mahmood, Zaid Ahmad, Samiullah Rahmani, Naser Baluch, Advait Dhabe.

Finland Predicted XI

Based on the XII that played vs Norway on 13 June 2026.

Amjad Sher (c), Jordan O’Brien (wk), Faraaz Mehti Abbas, Aniketh Pusthay, Vanraaj Padhaal, Zahidullah Kamal, Faheem Nellancheri, Akhil Arjunan, Nicholas Salonen, Mahesh Tambe, Hammadullah Shinwari, Muhammad Junaid Khan.

Dream11 Tips

Captain: Amjad Sher – projected 122 Dream11 points. The Finland skipper offers the complete package: 2.14 projected wickets at an economy of 4.72, plus handy lower-order runs at a projected strike rate of 163.5. He has taken at least 1 wicket in 100% of T20I innings this season.

Vice Captain: Samiullah Rahmani – projected 120 Dream11 points. Sweden’s explosive all-rounder is projected for 1.37 wickets with an economy of 6.16 and 22+ runs at a strike rate of 158.7. Picked up 3 wickets and scored 16 in his last outing.

Also consider:

Key Players

Amjad Sher (Finland)

The tournament’s leading wicket-taker with 16 scalps in 7 innings. Amjad Sher has a 100% hit rate for taking 1+ wickets this season and an 85.7% hit rate for 2+ wickets. He is also contributing with the bat – 105 runs including 6 sixes across 5 matches. Sweden will know exactly what is coming and still struggle to stop it.

Faraaz Mehti Abbas (Finland)

Finland’s leading run-scorer this season with 163 runs at an average of 23.3 across 7 innings, including a high score of 50. Faraaz Mehti Abbas has a 57.1% hit rate for 20+ runs this season – the highest of any batter in this fixture. He anchors the top order and gives Finland consistent starts.

Samiullah Rahmani (Sweden)

Sweden’s game-changer. Samiullah Rahmani took 3 wickets in his last match and is projected for 1.37 wickets plus 22+ runs at a strike rate of 158.7. If Sweden are going to turn this series around, Rahmani’s all-round contribution needs to fire. His 3/21 against Norway showed what he is capable of.

Hammadullah Shinwari (Finland)

Joint-second on the global T20I wicket charts with 12 scalps in 7 innings this season. Hammadullah Shinwari has a 42.9% hit rate for 2+ wickets and is projected for 1.99 wickets at an economy of just 4.36 – comfortably the lowest projected economy in this match. When he and Amjad Sher bowl in tandem, Finland’s attack is genuinely threatening.

Conditions

Weather data is unavailable for this venue, but mid-June in Stockholm typically brings long daylight hours and mild conditions around 15-20C – good for cricket.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Finland to win. The numbers all point one way. Finland have won 6 of 7 T20Is this season (85.7%), hold a 3-2 head-to-head advantage including a win at this ground two days ago, and boast the tournament’s two leading wicket-takers in Amjad Sher and Hammadullah Shinwari. Sweden have lost 4 of their last 5 and looked fragile in the previous meeting. Even in the batting-first scenario where Sweden set a target, Statz gives Finland a 56.4% win probability. No live odds are available for this fixture.

Bet Builder Angles

Build your own selections on the Statz Bet Builder:

All projections and hit rates from Statz Cricket. Data correct as of 13 June 2026.