Sussex vs Leicestershire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

3rd June 2026

Two sides desperate for a turnaround collide on Thursday evening as Sussex host Leicestershire in the T20 Blast 2026. Both sit on just one win from four matches – Sussex 14th and Leicestershire 17th in the standings – making this a must-win for anyone harbouring knockout-stage ambitions. First ball at 23:30 IST (19:00 BST) on 5 June 2026.

For the full head-to-head breakdown, projections and live odds, visit the Statz fixture page.

The Venue

The venue for this fixture is currently TBC on Statz. We will update this section once confirmed. No venue-specific stats are available at the time of writing.

Form and Table

Sussex – 14th (P4, W1, L3, 4 pts)

It has been a rough start for Sussex. Three consecutive losses since their opening-round chase of 192 against Essex have left them propping up the South Group. Their batting has shown flashes – 197 against Kent, 182 against Middlesex – but the bowling has been unable to defend or restrict. Season averages tell the story: 178.8 scored per match but 194 conceded.

Last 5 results:

Leicestershire – 17th (P4, W1, L3, 4 pts)

Leicestershire look even more vulnerable. That sole win came chasing 146 against Lancashire, and outside of that they have been hammered – conceding 230/5 to Derbyshire and losing to Durham with six overs to spare. They average just 152.3 with the bat this season against 178.3 conceded. The run-scoring depth beyond the top four has been a real concern.

Last 5 results:

Note: Full group-stage table positions for the top 4 are not yet available in the Statz data at this stage of the tournament. Both sides currently sit in the bottom half and need wins urgently.

Head-to-Head

No T20 Blast meetings between these sides in the Statz database. This will be the first encounter tracked by Statz Cricket, so there is no historical head-to-head to lean on here.

Statz Projections

View the full projections breakdown on the Statz projections page.

In the batting-first scenario (Sussex bat first), Statz gives Sussex a 51.8% win probability versus Leicestershire’s 46.2% (2% tie/no result). It is tight, but the hosts get the edge.

Projected 1st innings total: 167.3
Projected match total: 321.7
1st innings P10/P90 range: 142-193
Match total P10/P90 range: 278-364

Sussex are projected to score at 8.37 runs per over batting first with 6 sixes and 14.8 fours. Leicestershire’s chase is modelled at 154.4 off 20 overs. That wide P10-P90 range on the match total (278-364) reflects genuine uncertainty in a game between two inconsistent sides.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run Scorers (T20 Blast 2026)

  1. Martin Andersson (Derbyshire) – 237 runs, 5 inn
  2. Chris Lynn (Northamptonshire) – 207 runs, 4 inn
  3. Matthew Montgomery (Derbyshire) – 199 runs, 5 inn
  4. Aneurin Donald (Derbyshire) – 182 runs, 5 inn
  5. George Munsey – 171 runs, 4 inn

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket Takers (T20 Blast 2026)

  1. James Sales – 11 wkts, 4 inn
  2. Scott Currie (Hampshire) – 10 wkts, 5 inn
  3. Duan Jansen – 10 wkts, 4 inn
  4. Matty Potts (Durham) – 9 wkts, 4 inn
  5. Jack Morley (Derbyshire) – 9 wkts, 5 inn

Sussex Season Leaders

Runs: Tom Clark 122 runs (avg 40.67, HS 79) | Daniel Hughes 115 runs (avg 28.75, HS 44) | James Coles 113 runs (avg 28.25, HS 50)

Wickets: Tymal Mills 5 wkts (best 3, 4 matches) | Danny Briggs 4 wkts (best 1, 4 matches) | James Coles 3 wkts (best 2, 4 matches)

Leicestershire Season Leaders

Runs: Ashton Turner 123 runs (avg 30.75, HS 52) | Nick Kelly 119 runs (avg 29.75, HS 61) | Ben Cox 94 runs (avg 23.50, HS 51)

Wickets: Josh Davey 5 wkts (best 3, 4 matches) | Ben Green 5 wkts (best 2, 4 matches) | Liam Trevaskis 4 wkts (best 2, 4 matches)

Predicted XIs

Based on the most recent team sheets available on Statz. Sussex XI from vs Hampshire on 02 Jun. Leicestershire XI from vs Lancashire on 29 May. Always check the fixture page closer to the toss for any changes.

Sussex Predicted XI

  1. Daniel Hughes
  2. Harrison Ward
  3. James Coles
  4. John Simpson (wk)
  5. Tom Alsop
  6. Jack Leaning
  7. Danny Lamb
  8. Tom Price
  9. Danny Briggs
  10. Tymal Mills (c)
  11. Henry Crocombe

Leicestershire Predicted XI

  1. Rishi Patel
  2. Stevie Eskinazi
  3. Sol Budinger
  4. Nick Kelly
  5. Ashton Turner
  6. Ben Cox (wk)
  7. Ben Green (c)
  8. Liam Trevaskis
  9. Ben Mike
  10. Ian Holland
  11. Josh Davey

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Statz projected Dream11 points for players in the most recent XI:

Captain: James Coles (SUS) – 95.3 projected D11 points. The all-rounder is projected for 28 runs at a 149.1 strike rate plus 0.78 wickets with his left-arm spin. Top scorer for Sussex this season with 113 runs and 3 wickets in 4 matches.

Vice Captain: Danny Briggs (SUS) – 81.9 projected D11 points. Briggs is projected for 1.4 wickets at an economy of 7.6 – comfortably the best economy projection in the match. His 100% hit rate for taking 1+ wickets this season (4 from 4) makes him a reliable floor pick.

Also consider:

Key Players

James Coles (Sussex) – The Match-Winner

James Coles is the standout player in this fixture by some distance. His 20+ run hit rate sits at 75% this season (3 from 4 matches) and he has hit 30+ in 50% of his innings. With the ball, his 1+ wicket hit rate is 50%. The all-round contribution makes him the most impactful player on either side – 113 runs and 3 wickets from 4 matches at the heart of Sussex’s batting order.

Ashton Turner (Leicestershire) – The Overseas Enforcer

Ashton Turner has been Leicestershire’s most consistent performer with a 100% hit rate for 20+ runs this season (4 from 4). The Australian has 123 runs at 30.75 with a high score of 52 and has also chipped in with wickets – 75% hit rate for 1+ wickets. He bats at 5 and bowls useful off-spin, giving him two routes to points. Projected for 19.9 runs at a 166.3 strike rate.

Danny Briggs (Sussex) – The Spin Banker

Danny Briggs has taken a wicket in every match this season – a 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets across 4 games. His projected economy of 7.6 is the tightest in the match. Against a Leicestershire side averaging just 152.3 with the bat, Briggs could be devastating. Projected for 1.4 wickets.

Daniel Hughes (Sussex) – The Opener

Daniel Hughes has hit 20+ runs in 75% of his matches this season (3 from 4) and 30+ in half of them. The left-hander has 115 runs at 28.75 with a projected strike rate of 142.7 for this match. As Sussex’s opening bat, he sets the tone and is projected for 28 runs.

Conditions

Weather data unavailable at time of writing. Check the Statz fixture page closer to match day for updated conditions.

Verdict and Betting Angles

This is a contest between two struggling sides, but Sussex hold the edge. They average 178.8 runs per match compared to Leicestershire’s 152.3, they have the superior all-round threat in James Coles, and the Statz model gives them a 51.8% win probability batting first. Leicestershire’s bowling has been leaky and their batting collapses have been alarming – bowled out for 145 against Derbyshire and 148 against Durham.

Live odds: Sussex 1.80-1.91 | Leicestershire 1.91 (via Midnite, Ladbrokes, Coral)

Sussex at 1.91 (Ladbrokes/Coral) look fair value given the projection advantage and home comforts. Not a huge edge, but enough to lean their way.

Bet Builder Angles

Build your own on the Statz Bet Builder.

Statz pick: Sussex to win, with a Coles 20+ runs and Briggs 1+ wicket bet builder as the value play.