Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants Preview – The Hundred 2026 | Statz
26th July 2026
Sunrisers Leeds take on Manchester Super Giants at Headingley on Monday in the 10th match of The Hundred 2026. First ball is at 17:30 BST on 28 July.
Leeds sit fourth in the table on 4 points from two matches (W1 L1), while Manchester Super Giants lead the standings on 8 points from two wins. This is a crucial fixture for Leeds if they are to keep pace with the early leaders. For full match data, head-to-head records and live projections, check the Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants fixture page on Statz.
The Venue
Headingley has been a run-fest in The Hundred. Across the last 10 matches here, the average match total stands at 309.6 with an average first-innings score of 171.5. The pitch is tagged as Balanced by Statz, but the numbers tell a story of a ground that favours the bat – 62.1% of runs come from boundaries, with an average of 13.7 sixes per match.
Seam bowlers have taken 59.1% of wickets at an economy rate of 12.31, while spinners have been more economical at 11.05 but account for 31.8% of dismissals. Teams batting first at Headingley have won 52.9% of matches since 2021. The most recent Hundred match here saw Sunrisers Leeds beat Southern Brave by 5 runs on 25 July 2026 (SL 187/5, SB 182/5).
Form and Table
Sunrisers Leeds – 4th (P2 W1 L1, 4 pts)
Leeds have made a mixed start to their campaign. They opened with a win over Southern Brave but fell to MI London in their second outing:
- 25 Jul vs SB (H): W – SL 187/5, SB 182/5
- 21 Jul vs MIL (H): L – SL 143/10, MIL 144/3
Manchester Super Giants – 1st (P2 W2 L0, 8 pts)
Manchester have been imperious so far. Two wins from two matches, including a dominant display against Birmingham Phoenix:
- 26 Jul vs BP (A): W – MSG 187/5, BP 100/10
- 23 Jul vs LS (A): W – MSG 138/9, LS 131/6
Standings Snapshot
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester Super Giants | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3.45 |
| 2 | Welsh Fire | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.632 |
| 3 | MI London | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1.198 |
| 4 | Sunrisers Leeds | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1.63 |
| 5 | Birmingham Phoenix | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3.166 |
Both sides have six group matches remaining. Manchester’s perfect record and superior net run rate give them a commanding position at the top. Leeds need to arrest their slide and pick up wins to stay in contention.
Head-to-Head
Manchester Super Giants hold the edge in this fixture. From 10 meetings, Manchester have won five to Leeds’ four, with one no-result. The most recent clash came on 26 August 2025 at Headingley, where Manchester chased down 140 with ease, winning by 7 wickets in just 84 balls. Leeds’ last win over Manchester came in August 2025, but Manchester have dominated the recent record.
At Headingley specifically, the picture is more balanced. From five away visits to this ground since 2021, Manchester have won three and lost two. Leeds have a strong home record at Headingley with 10 wins from 20 matches since 2021 – they will need to lean on that advantage here.
Statz Projections
The Statz projections favour Sunrisers Leeds slightly, but only just.
If Sunrisers bat first: Projected first-innings total of 172.3, match total of 332.2. Win probability – SL 50.6%, MSG 42.9%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 147 to 198.
If Manchester bat first: Projected first-innings total of 169.5, match total of 329.5. Win probability – SL 49.0%, MSG 44.5%, tie/no-result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 141 to 198.
Both projected match totals (330-332) sit just above the Headingley average of 309.6, suggesting a tight contest. The model rates both sides’ bowling attacks highly. Match total P10-P90 range: 262 to 349.
Competition Season Leaders
Top 5 Run-Scorers
| Player | Team | Runs | Inn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rachin Ravindra | Welsh Fire | 122 | 2 |
| Mitchell Marsh | Sunrisers Leeds | 110 | 2 |
| Jos Buttler | Manchester Super Giants | 106 | 2 |
| Joe Clarke | Birmingham Phoenix | 88 | 2 |
| James Vince | MI London | 83 | 2 |
Top 5 Wicket-Takers
| Player | Team | Wkts | Inn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleeson | MI London | 5 | 2 |
| Liam Dawson | Manchester Super Giants | 4 | 2 |
| Lockie Ferguson | Welsh Fire | 4 | 2 |
| Sonny Baker | Manchester Super Giants | 4 | 2 |
| Adil Rashid | Southern Brave | 3 | 2 |
Sunrisers Leeds Season Leaders
Runs: Mitchell Marsh – 110 runs, avg 55.0, HS 69 | Ryan Rickelton – 62 runs, avg 31.0, HS 37 | Daniel Lawrence – 53 runs, avg 26.5, HS 51
Wickets: Abrar Ahmed – 2 wkts | Brydon Carse – 2 wkts | Nathan Ellis – 2 wkts
Manchester Super Giants Season Leaders
Runs: Jos Buttler – 106 runs, avg 53.0, HS 90 | Tim Seifert – 68 runs, avg 34.0, HS 67 | Tom Moores – 39 runs, avg 19.5, HS 39
Wickets: Liam Dawson – 4 wkts | Sonny Baker – 4 wkts | Gus Atkinson – 3 wkts
Predicted XIs
Sunrisers Leeds (based on XI vs Southern Brave, 25 Jul 2026)
- Mitchell Marsh
- Ryan Rickelton (wk)
- Harry Brook
- Zak Crawley (c)
- Daniel Lawrence
- Tom Alsop
- Matthew Revis
- Brydon Carse
- Matty Potts
- Nathan Ellis
- Abrar Ahmed
Manchester Super Giants (based on XI vs Birmingham Phoenix, 26 Jul 2026)
- Aiden Markram (c)
- Tim Seifert (wk)
- Jos Buttler
- Heinrich Klaasen
- Leus du Plooy
- Tom Moores
- Liam Dawson
- Gus Atkinson
- Noor Ahmad
- Josh Tongue
- Sonny Baker
These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Based on projected fantasy points for players in the most recent XIs:
Captain: Josh Tongue (MSG) – projected 93.2 pts. The fast bowler has been exceptional for Manchester with 2.26 projected wickets per match and an economy rate of 11.23. His bowling prowess makes him the standout captain choice.
Vice Captain: Jos Buttler (MSG) – projected 77.7 pts. Manchester’s talisman with 106 runs at 53.0 average from just two matches. Projected for 35.4 runs with genuine match-winning ability.
Also consider:
- Mitchell Marsh (SL) – projected 74.6 pts – 110 season runs, avg 55.0, all-rounder value
- Harry Brook (SL) – projected 61.2 pts – consistent batter with 187 runs in 8 Hundred matches at Headingley
- Liam Dawson (MSG) – projected 62.5 pts – 4 wickets this season, reliable bowling points
Key Players
Jos Buttler (Manchester Super Giants)
Manchester’s captain and their most dangerous batter. Buttler has 106 runs at an average of 53.0 from just two matches, with a high score of 90. He has struck 13 sixes already this season – a devastating strike rate of 142.7. The Statz projections show him at 35.4 runs when Manchester bat first, making him the most bankable batting option in this fixture.
Mitchell Marsh (Sunrisers Leeds)
Leeds’ standout performer so far. Marsh has 110 runs at an average of 55.0 with a high score of 69, combining aggressive batting with valuable all-rounder contributions. His projected 35.1 runs and 157.5 strike rate make him essential to Leeds’ hopes. He has hit 9 sixes in just two matches – a player in explosive form.
Josh Tongue (Manchester Super Giants)
Manchester’s pace spearhead has been exceptional. Tongue is projected for 2.26 wickets per match with an economy rate of 11.23 – a bowler who takes wickets without being expensive. His consistency and skill make him a key factor in Manchester’s perfect record so far.
Harry Brook (Sunrisers Leeds)
Leeds’ most prolific batter at Headingley. Brook has 187 runs from 8 Hundred matches at this ground with 5 sixes and 19 fours. His projected 28.2 runs and 162.1 strike rate show a batter who can take on any bowling attack. He is Leeds’ best hope of matching Manchester’s firepower.
Conditions
Overcast skies are forecast for Headingley with temperatures around 19 degrees at the start. Humidity is moderate at 61%. A light breeze is expected from the west at 4.8 km/h. No rain is anticipated – conditions should remain stable throughout the match.
Verdict and Betting Angles
Manchester Super Giants arrive at Headingley as the form side – two wins from two with a net run rate of 3.45. Their batting depth, led by Buttler and supported by Klaasen and Markram, is formidable. However, Sunrisers Leeds have home advantage and the Statz projections give them a slight edge (50.6% win probability if they bat first).
This is a coin-flip contest on the numbers, but Manchester’s momentum and perfect record tilt the balance their way. The bookmakers reflect this uncertainty – indicative odds show Sunrisers Leeds around 1.90 and Manchester Super Giants around 1.85.
I am leaning Sunrisers Leeds here. Home advantage at Headingley is real – they have won 10 of 20 matches here since 2021. Mitchell Marsh is in explosive form, and Harry Brook’s record at this ground is outstanding. If Leeds can get early wickets and restrict Manchester’s scoring, they have the batting firepower to chase down any target.
Bet Builder Angles
Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time hit rates and odds on this fixture:
- Zak Crawley Over 13.5 Runs – 64.8% true probability with 10.2% edge at 1.83 odds. The Statz model rates this as a best bet with four-star confidence. Crawley has projected 28.2 runs in this matchup.
- Jos Buttler 30+ Runs – Manchester’s captain is in devastating form with 106 runs from two matches. His 35.4 projected runs make him a strong play for a big score.
- Josh Tongue 1+ Wicket – 100% hit rate across his recent matches. Tongue is projected for 2.26 wickets per match – one of the most reliable bowling bets available.
- Mitchell Marsh 25+ Runs – Leeds’ talisman with 110 season runs at 55.0 average. His 35.1 projected runs and aggressive approach make him a strong selection.